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Risk

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Pavol Nagy
Pavol Nagy

The document discusses risk management, providing information on what it is, who uses it, and how it is used. Specifically: - Risk management is a logical methodology used to identify, analyze, treat, and monitor risks in any activity or process. - It is widely used in both public and private sectors, including finance, insurance, healthcare, governments, and more. - The risk management process involves establishing context, identifying risks, analyzing risks, evaluating risks, treating risks, and ongoing communication and review.

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About … Risk Management
Mouse ‘Click’ to move on to the next slide Next What is Risk Management? Who uses Risk Management? How is Risk Management used? Risk Management in Customs How do you use it in Customs?
Good management practice Process steps that enable improvement in decision making A logical and systematic approach Identifying opportunities Avoiding or minimising losses Mouse ‘Click’ to move on to the next slide Next What is Risk Management?
Risk Management is the name given to a logical and systematic method of identifying, analysing, treating and monitoring the risks involved in any activity or process. Mouse ‘Click’ to move on to the next slide Next What is Risk Management?
Risk Management is a methodology that helps managers make best use of their available resources Mouse ‘Click’ to move on to the next slide Next What is Risk Management?
Risk Management practices are widely used in public and the private sectors, covering a wide range of activities or operations. These include: Next Who uses Risk Management? Finance and Investment Insurance Health Care Public Institutions Governments
Effective Risk Management is a recognised and valued skill. Educational institutions have formal study courses and award degrees in Risk Management. The Risk Management process is well established. (International RM process standards.) Next Who uses Risk Management?
Risk Management is now an integral part of business planning. Next Who uses Risk Management?
The Risk Management process steps are a generic guide for any organisation, regardless of the type of business, activity or function. How is Risk Management used? Next There are 7 steps in the RM process
The basic process steps are: Next Establish the context Identify the risks Analyse the risks Evaluate the risks Treat the risks
‘ Risk’ is dynamic and subject to constant change, so the process includes continuing : Next Communication & consultation Monitoring and review and
The Risk Management process: Next The strategic and organisational context in which risk management will take place. For example, the nature of your business, the risks inherent in your business and your priorities. Communicate & consult Establish the context
The Risk Management process: Next Communicate & consult Monitor and review Defining types of risk, for instance, ‘Strategic’ risks to the goals and objectives of the organisation. Identifying the stakeholders, (i.e.,who is involved or affected). Past events, future developments. Identify the risks
The Risk Management process: Next Communicate & consult Monitor and review Analyse the risks How likely is the risk event to happen? (Probability and frequency?) What would be the impact, cost or consequences of that event occurring? (Economic, political, social?)
The Risk Management process: Next Communicate & consult Monitor and review Evaluate the risks Rank the risks according to management priorities, by risk category and rated by likelihood and possible cost or consequence. Determine inherent levels of risk.
The Risk Management process: Next Treat the risks Develop and implement a plan with specific counter-measures to address the identified risks. Consider: Priorities (Strategic and operational) Resources (human, financial and technical) Risk acceptance, (i.e., low risks)
The Risk Management process: Next Document your risk management plan and describe the reasons behind selecting the risk and for the treatment chosen. Record allocated responsibilities, monitoring or evaluation processes, and assumptions on residual risk. Communicate & consult Monitor and review Treat the risks
The Risk Management process: Next Communicate & consult Risk Management policies and decisions must be regularly reviewed. Monitor and review In identifying, prioritising and treating risks, organisations make assumptions and decisions based on situations that are subject to change, (e.g., the business environment, trading patterns, or government policies).
The Risk Management process: Next Risk Managers must monitor activities and processes to determine the accuracy of planning assumptions and the effectiveness of the measures taken to treat the risk. Methods can include data evaluation, audit, compliance measurement. Communicate & consult Monitor and review
The Risk Management process: Next Establish the context Identify the risks Analyse the risks Evaluate the risks Treat the risks Monitoring and review Communication & consultation
Customs administrations have turned increasingly to Risk Management as an effective means of meeting national objectives. Administrations provide facilitation while maintaining control over the international movement of goods and persons. Risk management helps in matching Customs priorities to resources. Next Risk Management in Customs
International Organisations encourage and support the adoption of modern Customs control techniques, using Risk Management principles., e.g., WTO/Kyoto Convention. APEC Sub-Committee on Customs Procedures. Transport Industry representative bodies. Next Risk Management in Customs
Risk management within Customs can be strategic, operational or tactical. Next Risk Management in Customs Strategic: Risks to Customs goals and objectives, e.g.,prohibitions and restrictions, (social or economic), health, revenue, environment. - usually longer term strategies
Risk management within Customs can be strategic, operational or tactical. Next Risk Management in Customs Operational: Decisions and action plans on measures taken to deal with the assessed risks. Deployment of resources; monitoring and review. - medium term strategies
Risk management within Customs can be strategic, operational or tactical. Next Risk Management in Customs Tactical: Used by officers at their workplace, to deal with immediate situations, working within set parameters and to approved procedures. - short term strategies
Economic benefits, by facilitating the movement of goods, ships, aircraft and people – when rated low risk. Makes more effective use of existing skills and experience – giving better results. Improves the quality of Customs controls – information and accountability. Next Risk Management in Customs Why you should use Risk Management:
The process helps Administrations focus on priorities and in decisions on deploying limited resources to deal with the highest risks. Next Risk Management in Customs Why you should use Risk Management:
Where do you start? Next How do you use it in Customs? The first step is to look at your Customs context. What is the role of Customs? What are your national priorities and the expectations of the government and the public? What is the nature of your operational environment?
Next How do you use it in Customs? The next steps in the Risk Management process are to:- Identify the risks Analyse the risks; and Evaluate the risks, … but, if you are just starting on Risk Management planning: Where does the information come from? Who does this?
Who does the Risk Assessment? Next Responsibilities must be allocated: Appoint a Risk Management champion with appropriate qualifications, including experience and analytical skills. Form a Risk Management Committee, representative of operational areas. Conduct Risk Management Workshops. Determine operating procedures.
Sources of information for Risk Assessments Next Identify commodity or control risks; e.g., high duty rates or quantity controls, the demand for prohibited goods, such as drugs, pornography, traffic in CITES wildlife. Research existing databases and records on commodity and trader histories. Evaluate current procedures to identify potential control weaknesses.
Evaluate the risks Next After identifying and analysing the risks, you can evaluate. What is the likelihood of the risk event occurring? Almost certain Likely Moderate Unlikely Rare? What is the consequence if the risk event occurs? Extreme Very high Moderate Low Negligible?
Evaluate the risks Next You need to describe or to quantify exactly what the ‘Likelihood’ and ‘Consequence’ terms means to you. This helps in ensuring a consistent approach in future risk assessment and review and monitoring. It promotes a common understanding within the Administration.
Evaluate the risks Next After establishing ‘ Likelihood ’ and ‘ Consequence ’ you can use a table like this to set a level of risk. You must define what these risk levels mean to you. Very Low Very low Low Moderate Significant Rare Very low Low Moderate Significant Major Unlikely Low Moderate Significant Major High Moderate Moderate Significant Major High Severe Likely Moderate Major High Severe Severe Almost certain Negligible Low Moderate Very high Extreme
Treating the risks Next Low and very low level risks can normally be accepted, subject to on-going monitoring. All other risks are included in the management plan. The plan catalogues the risks, the level of risk, and describes a treatment. The treatment is the action proposed, (and perhaps the resources allocated).
Treating the risks Next Targeted selections Development of Risk Profiles Physical examination Industry audits Random examinations Compliance improvement
Treating the risks Next A common method of treating risks is to develop risk profiling and targeting systems . This means – in the case of goods – selecting transactions for specific checks, according to trader, agent, origin of goods, commodity code, duty rate, routing, value, etc.
Treating the risks Next Risk Profiles are developed as a means of putting risk management into practice at the Operational level. A Risk Profile is normally specific to a Customs office. It describes: The risk areas Assessment of the level of risk The countermeasures adopted Activation date and review dates Means of measuring effectiveness.
Treating the risks Next Using the profile information, consignments of goods, means of transport and people are targeted. The profile information is used as the basis for Selection Criteria. Documents received and processed by Customs, i.e., cargo and passenger manifests, goods declarations, are compared against the Selection Criteria Selection Criteria
Treating the risks Next Selections are made by manual checks of documents, or by using automated systems. Selected transactions or movements are subject to the actions detailed in the profile or plan, e.g., physical examination, audit, etc. Selection Criteria Documents and Data Selected movements
Monitor & Review Next The initial assessment made of the existence and level of risks must be evaluated on a regular basis. You need to measure the effectiveness of risk profiles and update as necessary. Reliable reporting of examination results Compliance measurement activities Feedback from the business community Results analysis and data comparisons
The starting point is the Action Plan : Allocate responsibilities, e.g., a Risk Management Champion and a working party. Evaluate how Risk Management processes can be best applied in your national environment. Survey existing skills and do a training needs assessment. Catalogue existing sources of data or information that can help in identifying risks. Next Using Risk Management
Flow chart existing processes. Communicate and consult – within Customs, with other Agencies, the trading community and transport industry. Obtain IT tools or set up processes for effectively operating a selectivity system. Provide training in profiling/selectivity skills. Test and gain confidence in the Risk Management process. Next Using Risk Management
This presentation endeavors to cover briefly the concepts and the benefits of using Risk Management practices, particularly within Customs Administrations. The processes and the many control options deserve further study, and many other sources of information on this topic are available. Control AND Facilitation By.. Risk Management End

More Related Content

Risk

  • 2. About … Risk Management
  • 3. Mouse ‘Click’ to move on to the next slide Next What is Risk Management? Who uses Risk Management? How is Risk Management used? Risk Management in Customs How do you use it in Customs?
  • 4. Good management practice Process steps that enable improvement in decision making A logical and systematic approach Identifying opportunities Avoiding or minimising losses Mouse ‘Click’ to move on to the next slide Next What is Risk Management?
  • 5. Risk Management is the name given to a logical and systematic method of identifying, analysing, treating and monitoring the risks involved in any activity or process. Mouse ‘Click’ to move on to the next slide Next What is Risk Management?
  • 6. Risk Management is a methodology that helps managers make best use of their available resources Mouse ‘Click’ to move on to the next slide Next What is Risk Management?
  • 7. Risk Management practices are widely used in public and the private sectors, covering a wide range of activities or operations. These include: Next Who uses Risk Management? Finance and Investment Insurance Health Care Public Institutions Governments
  • 8. Effective Risk Management is a recognised and valued skill. Educational institutions have formal study courses and award degrees in Risk Management. The Risk Management process is well established. (International RM process standards.) Next Who uses Risk Management?
  • 9. Risk Management is now an integral part of business planning. Next Who uses Risk Management?
  • 10. The Risk Management process steps are a generic guide for any organisation, regardless of the type of business, activity or function. How is Risk Management used? Next There are 7 steps in the RM process
  • 11. The basic process steps are: Next Establish the context Identify the risks Analyse the risks Evaluate the risks Treat the risks
  • 12. ‘ Risk’ is dynamic and subject to constant change, so the process includes continuing : Next Communication & consultation Monitoring and review and
  • 13. The Risk Management process: Next The strategic and organisational context in which risk management will take place. For example, the nature of your business, the risks inherent in your business and your priorities. Communicate & consult Establish the context
  • 14. The Risk Management process: Next Communicate & consult Monitor and review Defining types of risk, for instance, ‘Strategic’ risks to the goals and objectives of the organisation. Identifying the stakeholders, (i.e.,who is involved or affected). Past events, future developments. Identify the risks
  • 15. The Risk Management process: Next Communicate & consult Monitor and review Analyse the risks How likely is the risk event to happen? (Probability and frequency?) What would be the impact, cost or consequences of that event occurring? (Economic, political, social?)
  • 16. The Risk Management process: Next Communicate & consult Monitor and review Evaluate the risks Rank the risks according to management priorities, by risk category and rated by likelihood and possible cost or consequence. Determine inherent levels of risk.
  • 17. The Risk Management process: Next Treat the risks Develop and implement a plan with specific counter-measures to address the identified risks. Consider: Priorities (Strategic and operational) Resources (human, financial and technical) Risk acceptance, (i.e., low risks)
  • 18. The Risk Management process: Next Document your risk management plan and describe the reasons behind selecting the risk and for the treatment chosen. Record allocated responsibilities, monitoring or evaluation processes, and assumptions on residual risk. Communicate & consult Monitor and review Treat the risks
  • 19. The Risk Management process: Next Communicate & consult Risk Management policies and decisions must be regularly reviewed. Monitor and review In identifying, prioritising and treating risks, organisations make assumptions and decisions based on situations that are subject to change, (e.g., the business environment, trading patterns, or government policies).
  • 20. The Risk Management process: Next Risk Managers must monitor activities and processes to determine the accuracy of planning assumptions and the effectiveness of the measures taken to treat the risk. Methods can include data evaluation, audit, compliance measurement. Communicate & consult Monitor and review
  • 21. The Risk Management process: Next Establish the context Identify the risks Analyse the risks Evaluate the risks Treat the risks Monitoring and review Communication & consultation
  • 22. Customs administrations have turned increasingly to Risk Management as an effective means of meeting national objectives. Administrations provide facilitation while maintaining control over the international movement of goods and persons. Risk management helps in matching Customs priorities to resources. Next Risk Management in Customs
  • 23. International Organisations encourage and support the adoption of modern Customs control techniques, using Risk Management principles., e.g., WTO/Kyoto Convention. APEC Sub-Committee on Customs Procedures. Transport Industry representative bodies. Next Risk Management in Customs
  • 24. Risk management within Customs can be strategic, operational or tactical. Next Risk Management in Customs Strategic: Risks to Customs goals and objectives, e.g.,prohibitions and restrictions, (social or economic), health, revenue, environment. - usually longer term strategies
  • 25. Risk management within Customs can be strategic, operational or tactical. Next Risk Management in Customs Operational: Decisions and action plans on measures taken to deal with the assessed risks. Deployment of resources; monitoring and review. - medium term strategies
  • 26. Risk management within Customs can be strategic, operational or tactical. Next Risk Management in Customs Tactical: Used by officers at their workplace, to deal with immediate situations, working within set parameters and to approved procedures. - short term strategies
  • 27. Economic benefits, by facilitating the movement of goods, ships, aircraft and people – when rated low risk. Makes more effective use of existing skills and experience – giving better results. Improves the quality of Customs controls – information and accountability. Next Risk Management in Customs Why you should use Risk Management:
  • 28. The process helps Administrations focus on priorities and in decisions on deploying limited resources to deal with the highest risks. Next Risk Management in Customs Why you should use Risk Management:
  • 29. Where do you start? Next How do you use it in Customs? The first step is to look at your Customs context. What is the role of Customs? What are your national priorities and the expectations of the government and the public? What is the nature of your operational environment?
  • 30. Next How do you use it in Customs? The next steps in the Risk Management process are to:- Identify the risks Analyse the risks; and Evaluate the risks, … but, if you are just starting on Risk Management planning: Where does the information come from? Who does this?
  • 31. Who does the Risk Assessment? Next Responsibilities must be allocated: Appoint a Risk Management champion with appropriate qualifications, including experience and analytical skills. Form a Risk Management Committee, representative of operational areas. Conduct Risk Management Workshops. Determine operating procedures.
  • 32. Sources of information for Risk Assessments Next Identify commodity or control risks; e.g., high duty rates or quantity controls, the demand for prohibited goods, such as drugs, pornography, traffic in CITES wildlife. Research existing databases and records on commodity and trader histories. Evaluate current procedures to identify potential control weaknesses.
  • 33. Evaluate the risks Next After identifying and analysing the risks, you can evaluate. What is the likelihood of the risk event occurring? Almost certain Likely Moderate Unlikely Rare? What is the consequence if the risk event occurs? Extreme Very high Moderate Low Negligible?
  • 34. Evaluate the risks Next You need to describe or to quantify exactly what the ‘Likelihood’ and ‘Consequence’ terms means to you. This helps in ensuring a consistent approach in future risk assessment and review and monitoring. It promotes a common understanding within the Administration.
  • 35. Evaluate the risks Next After establishing ‘ Likelihood ’ and ‘ Consequence ’ you can use a table like this to set a level of risk. You must define what these risk levels mean to you. Very Low Very low Low Moderate Significant Rare Very low Low Moderate Significant Major Unlikely Low Moderate Significant Major High Moderate Moderate Significant Major High Severe Likely Moderate Major High Severe Severe Almost certain Negligible Low Moderate Very high Extreme
  • 36. Treating the risks Next Low and very low level risks can normally be accepted, subject to on-going monitoring. All other risks are included in the management plan. The plan catalogues the risks, the level of risk, and describes a treatment. The treatment is the action proposed, (and perhaps the resources allocated).
  • 37. Treating the risks Next Targeted selections Development of Risk Profiles Physical examination Industry audits Random examinations Compliance improvement
  • 38. Treating the risks Next A common method of treating risks is to develop risk profiling and targeting systems . This means – in the case of goods – selecting transactions for specific checks, according to trader, agent, origin of goods, commodity code, duty rate, routing, value, etc.
  • 39. Treating the risks Next Risk Profiles are developed as a means of putting risk management into practice at the Operational level. A Risk Profile is normally specific to a Customs office. It describes: The risk areas Assessment of the level of risk The countermeasures adopted Activation date and review dates Means of measuring effectiveness.
  • 40. Treating the risks Next Using the profile information, consignments of goods, means of transport and people are targeted. The profile information is used as the basis for Selection Criteria. Documents received and processed by Customs, i.e., cargo and passenger manifests, goods declarations, are compared against the Selection Criteria Selection Criteria
  • 41. Treating the risks Next Selections are made by manual checks of documents, or by using automated systems. Selected transactions or movements are subject to the actions detailed in the profile or plan, e.g., physical examination, audit, etc. Selection Criteria Documents and Data Selected movements
  • 42. Monitor & Review Next The initial assessment made of the existence and level of risks must be evaluated on a regular basis. You need to measure the effectiveness of risk profiles and update as necessary. Reliable reporting of examination results Compliance measurement activities Feedback from the business community Results analysis and data comparisons
  • 43. The starting point is the Action Plan : Allocate responsibilities, e.g., a Risk Management Champion and a working party. Evaluate how Risk Management processes can be best applied in your national environment. Survey existing skills and do a training needs assessment. Catalogue existing sources of data or information that can help in identifying risks. Next Using Risk Management
  • 44. Flow chart existing processes. Communicate and consult – within Customs, with other Agencies, the trading community and transport industry. Obtain IT tools or set up processes for effectively operating a selectivity system. Provide training in profiling/selectivity skills. Test and gain confidence in the Risk Management process. Next Using Risk Management
  • 45. This presentation endeavors to cover briefly the concepts and the benefits of using Risk Management practices, particularly within Customs Administrations. The processes and the many control options deserve further study, and many other sources of information on this topic are available. Control AND Facilitation By.. Risk Management End