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TRANSCRIPT: https://bit.ly/2XCZS0f
Some of the principles of warfare are ancient, others are new, but all described in The New Rules of War will permanently shape war now and in the future. By following them Sean McFate argues, we can prevail. But if we do not, terrorists, rogue states, and others who do not fight conventionally will succeedand rule the world.
Dr. Sean McFate is an author, novelist and expert in foreign policy and national security strategy. He is a professor of strategy at the National Defense University and Georgetown Universitys School of Foreign Service. His newest book, The New Rules of War: Victory in the Age of Durable Disorder, will be released on January 22, 2019.
Recently, he was a Visiting Scholar at Oxford Universitys Changing Character of War Program. He was also a think tank scholar at the RAND Corporation, Atlantic Council, Bipartisan Policy Center, and New America Foundation.
McFates career began as a paratrooper and officer in the U.S. Armys storied 82nd Airborne Division. He served under Stanley McChrystal and David Petraeus, and graduated from elite training programs, such as Jungle Warfare School in Panama. He was also a Jump Master. Then McFate became a private military contractor in Africa. Among his many experiences, he dealt with warlords, raised small armies, worked with armed groups in the Sahara, transacted arms deals in Eastern Europe, and helped prevent an impending genocide in the Rwanda region.
McFate co-wrote the novels Shadow War and Deep Black, part of the Tom Locke series based on his military experiences. New York Times #1 bestselling author Mark Greaney said: I was blown away. simply one of the most entertaining and intriguing books Ive read in quite some time.
He also authored the non-fiction book The Modern Mercenary: Private Armies and What They Mean for World Order, which explains how the privatization of war is changing world order in the 21st century. The Economist called it a fascinating and disturbing book.
For another perspective on the future of warfare, see Bill Gertzs Westminster talk, iWar: War And Peace In The Information Age.
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Sean McFate: The New Rules of War: Victory in the Age of Durable Disorder
1. The New Rules of War
WHY DONT WE WIN
MORE WARS?
Forget what you knowwars of the future
will look nothing like the past.
ON SALE 1.22.19
Sean McFate, PhD
Associate Professor, National Defense University
Adjunct Professor, Georgetown University's
School of Foreign Service
McFate NRW 30 Jan 19 - February 2, 2019
10. The Westphalian order of states is disrupted and being
replaced by Durable Disorder
Durable Disorder contains rather than solves problems
World will not collapse in anarchy but simmer in
persistent con鍖ict and entropy
Durable Disorder is a systemic threat
Not new
McFate NRW 30 Jan 19 - February 2, 2019
12. The Italian Wars (1494-1559)
McFate NRW 30 Jan 19 - February 2, 2019
13. 50% of peace agreements fail in 5 years
Majority of countries are fragile or failed
Number of armed con鍖icts has doubled since WWII
Half the worlds countries are experiencing some form of armed
con鍖ict
Armed con鍖icts today rarely end but smolder in Forever Wars
Return of mercenaries
The rules-based order is being replaced by something more organic
and wild: Durable Disorder
Signs of Durable Disorder Today
McFate NRW 30 Jan 19 - February 2, 2019
14. Those who exploit durable disorder will prevail
Those who do not will be exploited
U.S. Foreign Policy?
McFate NRW 30 Jan 19 - February 2, 2019
15. New kind of world order
New kind of warfare
McFate NRW 30 Jan 19 - February 2, 2019
16. Why does everyone assume a war with China or Russia
will be conventional?
McFate NRW 30 Jan 19 - February 2, 2019
19. Are we already at war with Russia and/or China?
McFate NRW 30 Jan 19 - February 2, 2019
20. Durable Disorder is the new environment for war
We're not set up to 鍖ght in this environment
Our habits and systems refuse to recognize that
reality or adapt to it
We buy, train, deploy, and 鍖ght according to rules
that don't apply anymore and then are frustrated
by the outcome
McFate NRW 30 Jan 19 - February 2, 2019
21. What does war look like in Durable Disorder?
McFate NRW 30 Jan 19 - February 2, 2019
22. War is getting Sneakier
McFate NRW 30 Jan 19 - February 2, 2019
23. Victory will belong to the
cunning
not the strong
McFate NRW 30 Jan 19 - February 2, 2019
31. Even an undefeated military
can lose a war
McFate NRW 30 Jan 19 - February 2, 2019
32. We must learn how to win in an age of durable disorder
McFate NRW 30 Jan 19 - February 2, 2019
33. Rule 1: Conventional War is Dead
Rule 2: Technology Will Not Save Us
Rule 3: There Is No Such Thing as War or Peace
both co-exist, always
Rule 4: Hearts and Minds Do Not Matter
Rule 5: The Best Weapons Do Not Fire Bullets
Rule 6: Mercenaries Will Return
Rule 7: New Types of World Powers Will Rule
Rule 8: There Will Be Wars Without States
Rule 9: Shadow Wars Will Dominate
Rule 10: Victory is Fungible
McFate NRW 30 Jan 19 - February 2, 2019