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The New Rules of War
WHY DONT WE WIN
MORE WARS?
Forget what you knowwars of the future
will look nothing like the past.
ON SALE 1.22.19
Sean McFate, PhD
Associate Professor, National Defense University
Adjunct Professor, Georgetown University's
School of Foreign Service
McFate NRW 30 Jan 19 - February 2, 2019
McFate NRW 30 Jan 19 - February 2, 2019
McFate NRW 30 Jan 19 - February 2, 2019
McFate NRW 30 Jan 19 - February 2, 2019
What are todays biggest threats?
McFate NRW 30 Jan 19 - February 2, 2019
McFate NRW 30 Jan 19 - February 2, 2019
These threats are bad
McFate NRW 30 Jan 19 - February 2, 2019
These threats are bad
but they are not the worst
McFate NRW 30 Jan 19 - February 2, 2019
Durable Disorder
McFate NRW 30 Jan 19 - February 2, 2019
The Westphalian order of states is disrupted and being
replaced by Durable Disorder
Durable Disorder contains rather than solves problems
World will not collapse in anarchy but simmer in
persistent con鍖ict and entropy
Durable Disorder is a systemic threat
Not new
McFate NRW 30 Jan 19 - February 2, 2019
McFate NRW 30 Jan 19 - February 2, 2019
The Italian Wars (1494-1559)
McFate NRW 30 Jan 19 - February 2, 2019
 50% of peace agreements fail in 5 years
 Majority of countries are fragile or failed
 Number of armed con鍖icts has doubled since WWII
 Half the worlds countries are experiencing some form of armed
con鍖ict
 Armed con鍖icts today rarely end but smolder in Forever Wars
 Return of mercenaries
 The rules-based order is being replaced by something more organic
and wild: Durable Disorder
Signs of Durable Disorder Today
McFate NRW 30 Jan 19 - February 2, 2019
Those who exploit durable disorder will prevail
Those who do not will be exploited
U.S. Foreign Policy?
McFate NRW 30 Jan 19 - February 2, 2019
New kind of world order
New kind of warfare
McFate NRW 30 Jan 19 - February 2, 2019
Why does everyone assume a war with China or Russia
will be conventional?
McFate NRW 30 Jan 19 - February 2, 2019
It wont. Conventional war is dead.
McFate NRW 30 Jan 19 - February 2, 2019
Rule 1: Conventional war is dead.
McFate NRW 30 Jan 19 - February 2, 2019
Are we already at war with Russia and/or China?
McFate NRW 30 Jan 19 - February 2, 2019
Durable Disorder is the new environment for war
We're not set up to 鍖ght in this environment
Our habits and systems refuse to recognize that
reality  or adapt to it
We buy, train, deploy, and 鍖ght according to rules
that don't apply anymore  and then are frustrated
by the outcome
McFate NRW 30 Jan 19 - February 2, 2019
What does war look like in Durable Disorder?
McFate NRW 30 Jan 19 - February 2, 2019
War is getting Sneakier
McFate NRW 30 Jan 19 - February 2, 2019
Victory will belong to the
cunning
not the strong
McFate NRW 30 Jan 19 - February 2, 2019
McFate NRW 30 Jan 19 - February 2, 2019
War has moved on
and we must move on too
McFate NRW 30 Jan 19 - February 2, 2019
War as we imagine it.
McFate NRW 30 Jan 19 - February 2, 2019
McFate NRW 30 Jan 19 - February 2, 2019
War as it is.
McFate NRW 30 Jan 19 - February 2, 2019
McFate NRW 30 Jan 19 - February 2, 2019
Strategic Atrophy
and why we struggle
McFate NRW 30 Jan 19 - February 2, 2019
Even an undefeated military
can lose a war
McFate NRW 30 Jan 19 - February 2, 2019
We must learn how to win in an age of durable disorder
McFate NRW 30 Jan 19 - February 2, 2019
Rule 1: Conventional War is Dead
Rule 2: Technology Will Not Save Us
Rule 3: There Is No Such Thing as War or Peace
 both co-exist, always
Rule 4: Hearts and Minds Do Not Matter
Rule 5: The Best Weapons Do Not Fire Bullets
Rule 6: Mercenaries Will Return
Rule 7: New Types of World Powers Will Rule
Rule 8: There Will Be Wars Without States
Rule 9: Shadow Wars Will Dominate
Rule 10: Victory is Fungible
McFate NRW 30 Jan 19 - February 2, 2019
Website: www.seanmcfate.com
Email: inquire@seanmcfate.com
Twitter: @seanmcfate
McFate NRW 30 Jan 19 - February 2, 2019

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Sean McFate: The New Rules of War: Victory in the Age of Durable Disorder

  • 1. The New Rules of War WHY DONT WE WIN MORE WARS? Forget what you knowwars of the future will look nothing like the past. ON SALE 1.22.19 Sean McFate, PhD Associate Professor, National Defense University Adjunct Professor, Georgetown University's School of Foreign Service McFate NRW 30 Jan 19 - February 2, 2019
  • 2. McFate NRW 30 Jan 19 - February 2, 2019
  • 3. McFate NRW 30 Jan 19 - February 2, 2019
  • 4. McFate NRW 30 Jan 19 - February 2, 2019
  • 5. What are todays biggest threats? McFate NRW 30 Jan 19 - February 2, 2019
  • 6. McFate NRW 30 Jan 19 - February 2, 2019
  • 7. These threats are bad McFate NRW 30 Jan 19 - February 2, 2019
  • 8. These threats are bad but they are not the worst McFate NRW 30 Jan 19 - February 2, 2019
  • 9. Durable Disorder McFate NRW 30 Jan 19 - February 2, 2019
  • 10. The Westphalian order of states is disrupted and being replaced by Durable Disorder Durable Disorder contains rather than solves problems World will not collapse in anarchy but simmer in persistent con鍖ict and entropy Durable Disorder is a systemic threat Not new McFate NRW 30 Jan 19 - February 2, 2019
  • 11. McFate NRW 30 Jan 19 - February 2, 2019
  • 12. The Italian Wars (1494-1559) McFate NRW 30 Jan 19 - February 2, 2019
  • 13. 50% of peace agreements fail in 5 years Majority of countries are fragile or failed Number of armed con鍖icts has doubled since WWII Half the worlds countries are experiencing some form of armed con鍖ict Armed con鍖icts today rarely end but smolder in Forever Wars Return of mercenaries The rules-based order is being replaced by something more organic and wild: Durable Disorder Signs of Durable Disorder Today McFate NRW 30 Jan 19 - February 2, 2019
  • 14. Those who exploit durable disorder will prevail Those who do not will be exploited U.S. Foreign Policy? McFate NRW 30 Jan 19 - February 2, 2019
  • 15. New kind of world order New kind of warfare McFate NRW 30 Jan 19 - February 2, 2019
  • 16. Why does everyone assume a war with China or Russia will be conventional? McFate NRW 30 Jan 19 - February 2, 2019
  • 17. It wont. Conventional war is dead. McFate NRW 30 Jan 19 - February 2, 2019
  • 18. Rule 1: Conventional war is dead. McFate NRW 30 Jan 19 - February 2, 2019
  • 19. Are we already at war with Russia and/or China? McFate NRW 30 Jan 19 - February 2, 2019
  • 20. Durable Disorder is the new environment for war We're not set up to 鍖ght in this environment Our habits and systems refuse to recognize that reality or adapt to it We buy, train, deploy, and 鍖ght according to rules that don't apply anymore and then are frustrated by the outcome McFate NRW 30 Jan 19 - February 2, 2019
  • 21. What does war look like in Durable Disorder? McFate NRW 30 Jan 19 - February 2, 2019
  • 22. War is getting Sneakier McFate NRW 30 Jan 19 - February 2, 2019
  • 23. Victory will belong to the cunning not the strong McFate NRW 30 Jan 19 - February 2, 2019
  • 24. McFate NRW 30 Jan 19 - February 2, 2019
  • 25. War has moved on and we must move on too McFate NRW 30 Jan 19 - February 2, 2019
  • 26. War as we imagine it. McFate NRW 30 Jan 19 - February 2, 2019
  • 27. McFate NRW 30 Jan 19 - February 2, 2019
  • 28. War as it is. McFate NRW 30 Jan 19 - February 2, 2019
  • 29. McFate NRW 30 Jan 19 - February 2, 2019
  • 30. Strategic Atrophy and why we struggle McFate NRW 30 Jan 19 - February 2, 2019
  • 31. Even an undefeated military can lose a war McFate NRW 30 Jan 19 - February 2, 2019
  • 32. We must learn how to win in an age of durable disorder McFate NRW 30 Jan 19 - February 2, 2019
  • 33. Rule 1: Conventional War is Dead Rule 2: Technology Will Not Save Us Rule 3: There Is No Such Thing as War or Peace both co-exist, always Rule 4: Hearts and Minds Do Not Matter Rule 5: The Best Weapons Do Not Fire Bullets Rule 6: Mercenaries Will Return Rule 7: New Types of World Powers Will Rule Rule 8: There Will Be Wars Without States Rule 9: Shadow Wars Will Dominate Rule 10: Victory is Fungible McFate NRW 30 Jan 19 - February 2, 2019
  • 34. Website: www.seanmcfate.com Email: inquire@seanmcfate.com Twitter: @seanmcfate McFate NRW 30 Jan 19 - February 2, 2019