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SIU AEC Aug 2011

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1) The document discusses Asia's economic growth and integration over the past few decades as well as potential challenges going forward, including decoupling from other regions. 2) It notes that Asia's share of global GDP growth has significantly increased since the 1970s as emerging Asian economies have rapidly developed. 3) However, ongoing trade tensions and a potential decoupling of certain countries from integrated global supply chains could pose economic risks for Asia in the future.

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“ 2020 ” 26 2554 Siam Intelligence Unit http://www.siamintelligence.com/
AEC 4 5 / /
AEC / ( ) /
AEC
AEC /
AEC AEC
AEC
Asia Decoupling ? : ADB June 2009
-10 -8 -6 -4 -2 0 2 1970 1971 % GDP 1972 1973 1974 1975 Source: IMF October 2009 1976 1977 1978 1979 1980 Fiscal Balance 1981 1982 World 1983 1984 1985 1986 1987 1988 Advanced economies 1989 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 Emerging and developing economies 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014
Public Debt 10 Source: IMF October 2009
Contribution to Growth of Global Economy Source: IMF April 2011
SIU AEC Aug 2011
SIU AEC Aug 2011
SIU AEC Aug 2011
SIU AEC Aug 2011
SIU AEC Aug 2011

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SIU AEC Aug 2011

  • 1. “ 2020 ” 26 2554 Siam Intelligence Unit http://www.siamintelligence.com/
  • 2. AEC 4 5 / /
  • 3. AEC / ( ) /
  • 4. AEC
  • 5. AEC /
  • 7. AEC
  • 8. Asia Decoupling ? : ADB June 2009
  • 9. -10 -8 -6 -4 -2 0 2 1970 1971 % GDP 1972 1973 1974 1975 Source: IMF October 2009 1976 1977 1978 1979 1980 Fiscal Balance 1981 1982 World 1983 1984 1985 1986 1987 1988 Advanced economies 1989 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 Emerging and developing economies 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014
  • 10. Public Debt 10 Source: IMF October 2009
  • 11. Contribution to Growth of Global Economy Source: IMF April 2011