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9. Is your investment giving you returns,
or is inflation just eating into your capital?
Avg. Inflation (8.25%)
Lack of good investment options that beat the inflation
So where do you invest today?
10. Today people who hold cash equivalents feel comfortable.
They shouldnt. They have opted for a terrible long-term
asset, one that pays virtually nothing and is certain to
depreciate in value.
You know, people talk about this being an uncertain time.
You know, all time is uncertain. I mean, it was uncertain
back in in 2007, we just didnt know it was uncertain. It
was uncertain on September 10th, 2001. It was uncertain
on October 18th, 1987, you just didnt know it.
12. Real Estate in India
Growth in North Indian Cities
Investments made in 2007 in real estate in NCR would have doubled your
capital by now
Jan-Mar 2013 Index for Noida, Greater Noida and Gurgaon is 188
Source: http://www.nhb.org.in/Residex/Data&Graphs.php)
13. Real Estate Sector in India:
A Snapshot
Past
Unorganised, fragmented
industry
Characterised as local
industry without any
regional and national level
players
Unaccounted sources of
finance
No access to public finance
No transparency, weak
systems and processes
Present
Largely unorganised, in a
phase of consolidation
Institutionalisation on pace
Corporatisation national
and regional level players
Listed real estate companies
Global investments
Improving transparency
Future
Well-organised industry
Marriage of infrastructure
with real estate
Support by growth-oriented
policies
Predominant use of
technology, including
cleantech
Transparency, open
availability of data
Source: iSEC Research | Indian Real Estate Sector | Annual Handbook 2012 | Grant
Thornton
Current size of the Industry: US$57 bn
Percentage of GDP: 6.2%
Size of the Industry: US$105 bn
Percentage of GDP: 7.1%
Next 5 years
14. Real Estate in India
The Growth Drivers : the Demand-Supply Gap
Residential :
There will be a total pending demand of 23 lakh units of
residential property in the next five years, while the estimated
supply in the same period is expected to be approximately 2 lakh
units p.a., leaving a shortfall of over 13 lakh units". (Cushman & Wakefield)
NCR is expected to record highest demand of over 7 lakh units in
next 5 years, followed by Mumbai and Bangalore with demands of
6.51 lakh units and 2.87 lakh units, respectively. ". (Cushman & Wakefield)
"There is an acute shortage of homes, especially in and around the
main cities due to population migration that is happening due to
growth opportunities. As a result, prices have generally tended to
increase over the medium to long term." Balaji Raghavan, CEO & CIO,
Real Estate Fund, IIFL.
15. Real Estate in India
The Growth Drivers : the Demand-Supply Gap
Commercial :
Office space absorption in India to grow 21% in 2014-15 (DTZ report)
over 2.5 lakh additional analytics jobs by the end of 2015.
IT sector to see better growth, create more jobs in 2014-15
(Kris Gopalakrishnan, Infosys)
Office space absorption rose 11 % to 1.38 million sq ft in Delhi-NCR
during the April- June quarter, over the year-ago period, on higher
demand from IT/ITeS sector, global property consultant DTZ said.
http://economictimes.indiatimes.com/markets/real-estate/news/office-space-absorption-up-11-per-cent-in-delhi-ncr/articleshow/39099387.cms
16. Real Estate in India
The Growth Drivers : the FDI Inflow
Between year 2000-11, India attracted cumulative FDI inflow of US$ 237
bn. (Rs. 13,03,500 crores)
For the eight months of FY 2011-12, India garnered US$ 33 bn (Rs.
1,81,500 crores), and expected to increase by 20% in 2013-14
Housing, Real Estate and Construction account for 14% of all FDI
It is estimated that the FDI in the sector will grow from the current
US$4 billion to US$25 billion within a span of 10 years
Source: http://www.cedar-consulting.com/pdf/Cedar_USIBC_%20Report.pdf
)
17. Real Estate in India
The Growth Drivers : the +ve Policy Framework
Some of the recent policy initiatives which are expected to boost further
transparency, confidence and hence investments in the sector include:
The Union Budget 2012-13 proposed 1% Tax Deduction at Source
(TDS) on transfer of immovable property of beyond Rs 50 lakh
Foreign citizens of Indian origin have been granted RBI permission to
purchase property in India for residential or commercial purposes
100% FDI allowed in townships, built-up infrastructure and
construction development projects
51% FDI allowed in multi-brand retail
Source: http://www.cedar-consulting.com/pdf/Cedar_USIBC_%20Report.pdf
)
18. Real Estate in India
The Growth Drivers : Access to Funding
Urban housing fund of Rs 2000 crores set up by the National Housing Bank
HDFC, in association with SBI, raising Rs 750 crore for a real estate fund. It is
likely to invest in residential, commercial, and in IT properties
Kotak is also raising a real estate fund while ICICI Venture is in the process of
raising Rs. 750 crore real estate fund
International investors like the US-based Warburg Pincus, Blackstone Group,
Broadstreet, Morgan Stanley Real Estate Fund (MSREF), Columbia
Endowment Fund, California Public Employees' Retirement System (CalPERS),
Hines, Tishman Speyer, Sam Zell's Equity International, JP Morgan Partners
and Amaranth Advisors have been found to show interest. A few funds
belonging to Warren Buffet's Berkshire Hathway are also interested.
Source : http://www.indianground.com/investments.aspx
)