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2013 30
2
01‫ﺧﻼﻝ‬‫ﺍﻹﻗﺘﺼﺎﺩﻱ‬‫ﺮﻑ‬ّ‫ﻈ‬‫ﺍﻟ‬
2013‫ﻟﺴﻨﺔ‬‫ﺍﻷﻭﻝ‬‫ﺍﻟﺴﺪﺍﺳﻲ‬
.‫ﺍﻻﻗﺘﺼﺎﺩﻱ‬‫ﺍﻟﻨﻤﻮ‬
.‫ﺍﻻﺳﺘﺜﻤﺎﺭ‬
.‫ﺍﻷﺳﻌﺎﺭ‬
.‫ﺍﻟﺸﻐﻞ‬‫ﺇﺣﺪﺍﺛﺎﺕ‬
.‫ﺍﻟﺨﺎﺭﺟﻴﺔ‬‫ﺍﻟﻤﺪﻓﻮﻋﺎﺕ‬‫ﻣﻴﺰﺍﻥ‬
.‫ﺍﻟﺠﺎﺭﻳﺔ‬‫ﺍﻟﻌﻤﻠﻴﺎﺕ‬‫ﻣﻴﺰﺍﻥ‬
‫ﺍﻟﺼﻌﺒﺔ‬‫ﺍﻟﻌﻤﻠﺔ‬‫ﻣﻦ‬‫ﺍﻻﺣﺘﻴﺎﻃﻲ‬
.‫ﺍﻟﺘﺠﺎﺭﻱ‬‫ﺍﻟﻤﻴﺰﺍﻥ‬
.‫ﺍﻟﺴﻴﺎﺣﺔ‬
03‫ﺳﻮﻕ‬‫ﺮﺍﺕ‬ ّ‫ﻣﺆﺷ‬
‫ﺍﻟﻤﺎﻟﻴﺔ‬‫ﺍﻷﻭﺭﺍﻕ‬
02‫ﺍﻟﻌﻤﻮﻣﻴﺔ‬‫ﺍﻟﻤﺎﻟﻴﺔ‬
.‫ﺍﻟﺠﺒﺎﺋﻴﺔ‬‫ﻏﻴﺮ‬/‫ﺍﻟﺠﺒﺎﺋﻴﺔ‬:‫ﺍﻟﻤﻮﺍﺭﺩ‬
.‫ﺍﻟﺘﻨﻤﻴﺔ‬‫ﻧﻔﻘﺎﺕ‬/‫ﺍﻟﺘﺼﺮﻑ‬‫ﻧﻔﻘﺎﺕ‬:‫ﺍﻟﻨﻔﻘﺎﺕ‬
.‫ﺍﻟﻌﻤﻮﻣﻲ‬‫ﺍﻟﺪﻳﻦ‬
.‫ﺍﻟﻤﻴﺰﺍﻧﻴﺔ‬‫ﺗﻮﺍﺯﻥ‬
04‫ﺍﻟﻤﻘﺘﺮﺣﺔ‬‫ﺍﻹﺟﺮﺍﺀﺍﺕ‬
‫ﺍﻟﻤﻘﺒﻠﺔ‬‫ﻟﻠﻔﺘﺮﺓ‬
‫ﺍﻻﻗﺘﺼﺎﺩﻱ‬‫ﺍﻟﻤﺠﺎﻝ‬‫ﻓﻲ‬
‫ﺍﻟﻤﺎﻟﻲ‬‫ﺍﻟﻤﺠﺎﻝ‬‫ﻓﻲ‬
2013
3
‫ﺍﻟﺤﺎﻟﻴﺔ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﺴﻨﺔ‬ ‫ﻣﻦ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﺜﺎﻧﻴﺔ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﺜﻼﺛﻴﺔ‬ ‫ﺧﻼﻝ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﻘﺎﺭﺓ‬ ‫ﺑﺎﻷﺳﻌﺎﺭ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﻤﺤﻠﻲ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﻨﺎﺗﺞ‬ ‫ﺇﺟﻤﺎﻟﻲ‬ ‫ﺗﻄﻮﺭ‬ -
3.2% ‫ﺑﻨﺴﺒﺔ‬ (2012 ‫ﺳﻨﺔ‬ ‫ﻣﻦ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﺜﺎﻧﻴﺔ‬ ‫ﺑﺎﻟﺜﻼﺛﻴﺔ‬ ‫ﻣﻘﺎﺭﻧﺔ‬ ‫)ﺃﻱ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﺴﻨﻮﻱ‬ ‫ﺍﻹﻧﺰﻻﻕ‬ ‫ﻭﺑﺤﺴﺎﺏ‬
.2013‫ﺳﻨﺔ‬‫ﻣﻦ‬‫ﺍﻷﻭﻝ‬‫ﺍﻟﺜﻼﺛﻲ‬‫ﺧﻼﻝ‬‫ﻣﺴﺠﻠﺔ‬%2.6‫ﻣﻘﺎﺑﻞ‬
‫ﻣﻘﺎﺭﻧﺔ‬ 2013 ‫ﺳﻨﺔ‬ ‫ﻣﻦ‬ ‫ﺍﻷﻭﻝ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﺴﺪﺍﺳﻲ‬ ‫ﻓﺘﺮﺓ‬ ‫ﻟﻜﺎﻣﻞ‬ % 3 ‫ﺑـ‬ ‫ﻧﻤﻮ‬ ‫ﻧﺴﺒﺔ‬ ‫ﺗﺴﺠﻴﻞ‬ -
.‫ﺍﻟﻤﺎﺿﻴﺔ‬‫ﺍﻟﺴﻨﺔ‬‫ﻣﻦ‬‫ﺍﻟﻔﺘﺮﺓ‬‫ﺑﻨﻔﺲ‬
‫ﻣﺆﺷﺮﺍﺕ‬
‫ﻋـﺎﻣﺔ‬‫ﺍﻟﻨﻤﻮ‬
‫ﺳﺠﻠﺖ‬‫ﺍﻟﻠﺘﻲ‬‫ﺍﻟﻘﻄﺎﻋﺎﺕ‬
(2013‫ﺍﻟﺜﺎﻧﻲ‬‫)ﺍﻟﺜﻼﺛﻲ‬ ً‫ﺎ‬‫ﺇﻳﺠﺎﺑﻴ‬ً‫ﺍ‬‫ﻧﻤﻮ‬
+
4,3٪
‫ﺍﻟﻤﺴﻮﻗﺔ‬‫ﺍﻟﺨﺪﻣﺎﺕ‬‫ﺍﻟﺨﺪﻣﺎﺕ‬‫ﺃﻧﺸﻄﺔ‬
‫ﺍﻟﻤﺴﻮﻗﺔ‬‫ﺍﻟﻐﻴﺮ‬
‫ﺍﻟﻤﻌﻤﻠﻴﺔ‬‫ﺍﻟﺼﻨﺎﻋﺎﺕ‬
+
6,3٪
+
4,8٪
‫ﺳﺠﻠﺖ‬‫ﺍﻟﻠﺘﻲ‬‫ﺍﻟﻘﻄﺎﻋﺎﺕ‬
(2013‫ﺍﻟﺜﺎﻧﻲ‬‫)ﺍﻟﺜﻼﺛﻲ‬ ً‫ﺎ‬‫ﺳﻠﺒﻴ‬ً‫ﺍ‬‫ﻧﻤﻮ‬
-
1,4٪
‫ﻏﻴﺮ‬‫ﺍﻟﺼﻨﺎﻋﺎﺕ‬
‫ﺍﻟﻤﻌﻤﻠﻴﺔ‬
‫ﺍﻟﺨﺪﻣﺎﺕ‬‫ﺃﻧﺸﻄﺔ‬
‫ﺍﻟﻤﺴﻮﻗﺔ‬‫ﺍﻟﻐﻴﺮ‬
-
3,0٪
6
4
3
2
1
0
5
1-20122-20121/20133-20124-20121-20132-20131/2013
4,9
3,23,33,23,9
2,63,23
‫ﺍﻟﻤﺤﻠﻲ‬‫ﺍﻟﻨﺎﺗﺞ‬‫ﻧﻤﻮ‬
(٪)‫ﺍﻟﺴﻨﻮﻱ‬‫ﺍﻹﻧﺰﻻﻕ‬‫ﺑﺤﺴﺎﺏ‬
‫ﻡ.ﺩ‬1079.42013‫ﺳﻨﺔ‬‫ﻣﻦ‬‫ﺍﻷﻭﻟﻰ‬‫ﺍﻟﺴﺒﻊ‬‫ﺍﻷﺷﻬﺮ‬‫ﺧﻼﻝ‬‫ﺍﻟﺨﺎﺭﺟﻴﺔ‬‫ﺍﻹﺳﺘﺜﻤﺎﺭﺍﺕ‬‫ﺣﺠﻢ‬‫ﺑﻠﻎ‬-
‫ﻡ.ﺩ‬1116.2‫ﺑـ‬‫ﻣﻘﺎﺭﻧﺔ‬%3.3‫ﺑـ‬‫ﺗﻘﺪﺭ‬‫ﺗﺮﺍﺟﻊ‬‫ﺑﻨﺴﺒﺔ‬(‫ﺃﻣﻮﺍﻝ‬‫ﻣﺤﻔﻈﺔ‬‫ﺇﺳﺘﺜﻤﺎﺭﺍﺕ‬‫ﻡ.ﺩ‬120‫)ﻣﻨﻬﺎ‬
.2012‫ﺳﻨﺔ‬‫ﻣﻦ‬‫ﺍﻟﻔﺘﺮﺓ‬‫ﻧﻔﺲ‬‫ﺧﻼﻝ‬‫ﻣﺴﺠﻠﺔ‬
‫ﺍﻟﻤﻌﻤﻠﻴﺔ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﺼﻨﺎﻋﺎﺕ‬ ‫ﻗﻄﺎﻉ‬ ‫ﻓﻲ‬ ‫ﺑﻬﺎ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﻤﺼﺮﺡ‬ ‫ﺍﻹﺳﺘﺜﻤﺎﺭﺍﺕ‬ ‫ﺣﺠﻢ‬ ‫ﺑﻠﻎ‬ -
‫ﺗﻘﺪﺭ‬‫ﺑﺰﻳﺎﺩﺓ‬،2013‫ﺳﻨﺔ‬‫ﻣﻦ‬‫ﺍﻷﻭﻟﻰ‬‫ﺍﻟﺴﺒﻌﺔ‬‫ﺍﻷﺷﻬﺮ‬‫ﺧﻼﻝ‬‫ﻡ.ﺩ‬2261.8
.2012‫ﺳﻨﺔ‬‫ﻣﻦ‬‫ﺍﻟﻔﺘﺮﺓ‬‫ﻧﻔﺲ‬‫ﺧﻼﻝ‬‫ﻡ.ﺩ‬1924.5‫ﺑـ‬‫ﻣﻘﺎﺭﻧﺔ‬%17.5‫ﺑـ‬
‫ﺳﻨﺔ‬ ‫ﻣﻦ‬ ‫ﺍﻷﻭﻟﻰ‬ ‫ﺃﺷﻬﺮ‬ 5 ‫ﺍﻟـ‬ ‫ﺧﻼﻝ‬ ‫ﺗﺄﻫﻴﻞ‬ ‫ﻣﻠﻒ‬ 163 ‫ﻋﻠﻰ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﻤﺼﺎﺩﻗﺔ‬ -
‫ﻣﻊ‬،2012‫ﺳﻨﺔ‬‫ﻣﻦ‬‫ﺍﻟﻔﺘﺮﺓ‬‫ﺑﻨﻔﺲ‬‫ﻣﻘﺎﺭﻧﺔ‬%7.2 ‫ﺑﻨﺴﺒﺔ‬‫ﺑﺰﻳﺎﺩﺓ‬،2013
.%18.3‫ﺑﻨﺴﺒﺔ‬‫ﺍﻹﺳﺘﺜﻤﺎﺭﺍﺕ‬‫ﻗﻴﻤﺔ‬‫ﺗﻄﻮﺭ‬
‫ﺍﻹﺳﺘﺜﻤﺎﺭ‬
‫ﺍﻟﺼﻨﺎﻋﺔ‬‫ﻓﻲ‬‫ﺍﻹﺳﺘﺜﻤﺎﺭ‬‫ﻧﻮﺍﻳﺎ‬‫ﺗﻄﻮﺭ‬
1924,5
%17,5
2261,8
‫ﺃﺷﻬﺮ‬‫ﺍﻟﺴﺒﻊ‬
2013‫ﻣﻦ‬‫ﺍﻷﻭﻟﻰ‬
‫ﺃﺷﻬﺮ‬‫ﺍﻟﺴﺒﻊ‬
2012‫ﻣﻦ‬‫ﺍﻷﻭﻟﻰ‬
‫ﻓﻲ‬‫ﺑﻬﺎ‬‫ﺍﻟﻤﺼﺮﺡ‬‫ﺍﻹﺳﺘﺜﻤﺎﺭﺍﺕ‬
(‫ﺩ‬‫)ﻡ‬‫ﺍﻟﻤﻌﻤﻠﻴﺔ‬‫ﺍﻟﺼﻨﺎﻋﺎﺕ‬‫ﻗﻄﺎﻉ‬
2,500
1,500
1,000
500
0
2,000
3,000
20122013
1924.5
704
954.4
2261.8
623.8
1412.9
4
5
.‫ﺟﻮﺍﻥ‬‫ﺷﻬﺮ‬‫ﺧﻼﻝ‬%6.4‫ﻭ‬‫ﺟﻮﻳﻠﻴﺔ‬‫ﺷﻬﺮ‬‫ﺧﻼﻝ‬%6.2‫ﻧﺴﺒﺔ‬‫ﺍﻟﺘﻀﺨﻢ‬‫ﻣﺴﺘﻮﻯ‬‫ﺑﻠﻮﻍ‬-
‫ﺧﻼﻝ‬%5.5‫ﻣﻌﺪﻝ‬‫ﻣﻘﺎﺑﻞ‬‫ﺍﻟﺠﺎﺭﻳﺔ‬‫ﺍﻟﺴﻨﺔ‬‫ﻣﻦ‬‫ﺍﻷﻭﻝ‬‫ﻟﻠﺴﺪﺍﺳﻲ‬%6.3‫ﺑـ‬‫ﺗﻀﺨﻢ‬‫ﻣﻌﺪﻝ‬-
.‫ﺍﻟﻤﺎﺿﻴﺔ‬‫ﺍﻟﺴﻨﺔ‬‫ﻣﻦ‬‫ﺍﻷﻭﻝ‬‫ﺍﻟﺴﺪﺍﺳﻲ‬
:(2013‫)ﺟﻮﻳﻠﻴﺔ‬‫ﺍﻟﺘﻀﺨﻢ‬‫ﻧﺴﺒﺔ‬
‫ﺍﻷﺳﻌﺎﺭ‬
3,5%
2013‫ﺳﻨﺔ‬‫ﻣﻦ‬‫ﺍﻷﻭﻟﻰ‬‫ﺍﻟﺴﺒﻌﺔ‬‫ﺍﻷﺷﻬﺮ‬‫ﺧﻼﻝ‬‫ﺍﻟﺘﻀﺨﻢ‬‫ﻧﺴﺒﺔ‬‫ﺗﻄﻮﺭ‬
9.99 £
solde
‫ﺍﻟﻄﺎﻗﺔ‬‫ﻣﺠﻤﻮﻋﺔ‬‫ﺩﻭﻥ‬
%5.9‫ﺍﻟﻠﺒﺎﺱ‬‫ﻣﺠﻤﻮﻋﺔ‬‫ﺩﻭﻥ‬
%6.1‫ﻣﺠﻤﻮﻋﺘﻲ‬‫ﺩﻭﻥ‬
‫ﻭﺍﻟﺘﻐﺬﻳﺔ‬‫ﺍﻟﻄﺎﻗﺔ‬
%5.2
01234567
2012
13-
13-
13
13
13
13
5.6
6
5.8
6.5
6.4
6.4
6.4
6.2
13
‫ﺍﻟﺘﺸﻐﻴﻞ‬
3,5%
6
2,482,400
‫ﺍﻟﺜﺎﻧﻲ‬‫ﺍﻟﺜﻼﺛﻲ‬‫ﻓﻲ‬‫ﺍﻟﻤﺸﺘﻐﻠﻴﻦ‬‫ﺍﻟﺴﻜﺎﻥ‬‫ﻋﺪﺩ‬
3,315,300:2013‫ﻟﺴﻨﺔ‬
832,900
34100‫ﺍﻟﺜﺎﻧﻴﺔ‬‫ﺍﻟﺜﻼﺛﻴﺔ‬‫ﻓﻲ‬‫ﺟﺪﻳﺪ‬‫ﺷﻐﻞ‬‫ﻣﻮﻃﻦ‬
‫ﺍﻷﻭﻟﻰ‬‫ﺍﻟﺜﻼﺛﻴﺔ‬‫ﺧﻼﻝ‬25400‫ﺑـ‬‫ﻣﻘﺎﺭﻧﺔ‬
41%
‫ﺍﻟﺘﺸﻐﻴﻞ‬‫ﻓﻲ‬‫ﺍﻟﺘﻄﻮﺭ‬‫ﻧﺴﺒﺔ‬
30
35
40
20
15
10
5
0
25
2-20123-20124-20121-20132-2013
34.1
16.4
17.7
25.4
15 10.4
12.9
6.7 6.2
11.39.4
1.9
24.5
11
13.5
2013‫ﻟﺴﻨﺔ‬‫ﺍﻷﻭﻝ‬‫ﺑﺎﻟﺜﻼﺛﻲ‬‫ﻣﻘﺎﺭﻧﺔ‬‫ﺑﺎﻵﻻﻑ‬‫ﺍﻹﻗﺘﺼﺎﺩﻱ‬‫ﺍﻟﻨﺸﺎﻁ‬‫ﻗﻄﺎﻉ‬‫ﺣﺴﺐ‬‫ﺍﻟﺸﻐﻞ‬‫ﺇﺣﺪﺍﺛﺎﺕ‬
‫ﺍﻟﺒﺤﺮﻱ‬‫ﻭﺍﻟﺼﻴﺪ‬‫ﺍﻟﻔﻼﺣﺔ‬
-29.6
‫ﺍﻟﻤﻌﻤﻠﻴﺔ‬‫ﺍﻟﺼﻨﺎﻋﺎﺕ‬
+19.7
‫ﺍﻟﻐﺬﺍﺋﻴﺔ‬‫ﺍﻟﺼﻨﺎﻋﺎﺕ‬
-3.3
‫ﻭﺍﻟﻜﻬﺮﺑﺎﺋﻴﺔ‬‫ﺍﻟﻤﻴﻜﺎﻧﻴﻜﻴﺔ‬‫ﺍﻟﺼﻨﺎﻋﺎﺕ‬
+2.4
‫ﺍﻟﻜﻴﻤﻴﺎﺋﻴﺔ‬‫ﺍﻟﺼﻨﺎﻋﺎﺕ‬
+0.4
‫ﻭﺍﻷﺣﺬﻳﺔ‬‫ﻭﺍﻟﻤﻼﺑﺲ‬‫ﺍﻟﻨﺴﻴﺞ‬
+13.6
‫ﺍﻷﺧﺮﻯ‬‫ﺍﻟﻤﻌﻤﻠﻴﺔ‬‫ﺍﻟﺼﻨﺎﻋﺎﺕ‬
+5.3
‫ﺍﻟﻤﻌﻤﻠﻴﺔ‬‫ﻏﻴﺮ‬‫ﺍﻟﺼﻨﺎﻋﺎﺕ‬
+19.9
‫ﻭﺍﻟﻄﺎﻗﺔ‬‫ﺍﻟﻤﻨﺎﺟﻢ‬
+2.2
‫ﺍﻟﻌﺎﻣﺔ‬‫ﻭﺍﻷﺷﻐﺎﻝ‬‫ﺍﻟﺒﻨﺎﺀ‬
+17.7
‫ﻭﺍﻟﺘﺄﻣﻴﻦ‬‫ﺍﻟﺒﻨﻮﻙ‬
+8.3
‫ﺍﻟﺨﺪﻣﺎﺕ‬
+23.7
‫ﺍﻟﺘﺠﺎﺭﺓ‬
+5.8
7
‫ﺑـ‬ ‫ﻣﻘﺎﺭﻧﺔ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﺤﺎﻟﻴﺔ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﺴﻨﺔ‬ ‫ﻣﻦ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﺜﺎﻧﻴﺔ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﺜﻼﺛﻴﺔ‬ ‫ﻓﻲ‬ % 15.9 ‫ﺣﺪﻭﺩ‬ ‫ﻓﻲ‬ ‫ﻟﺘﺴﺘﻘﺮ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﺒﻄﺎﻟﺔ‬ ‫ﺗﺮﺍﺟﻊ‬ -
.2012‫ﺳﻨﺔ‬‫ﻣﻦ‬‫ﺍﻟﺮﺍﺑﻌﺔ‬‫ﺍﻟﺜﺎﻧﻴﺔ‬‫ﺧﻼﻝ‬%16.7‫ﻭﺑـ‬‫ﺍﻷﻭﻟﻰ‬‫ﺍﻟﺜﻼﺛﻴﺔ‬‫ﺧﻼﻝ‬%16.5
‫ﺍﻟﺒﻄﺎﻟﺔ‬
2013‫ﺳﻨﺔ‬‫ﻭﺑﺪﺍﻳﺔ‬ 2012‫ﺳﻨﺔ‬‫ﺧﻼﻝ‬‫ﺍﻟﺒﻄﺎﻟﺔ‬‫ﻧﺴﺒﺔ‬‫ﺗﻄﻮﺭ‬
Job
30
20
15
10
5
0
25
2-20123-20124-20121-20132/2013
24,9
14,1
17
24,2
16,7
13,913,9
16,5
23,3
2013-2012(%)‫ﺍﻟﻌﻠﻴﺎ‬‫ﺍﻟﺸﻬﺎﺩﺍﺕ‬‫ﺣﺎﻣﻠﻲ‬‫ﺑﻄﺎﻟﺔ‬‫ﻧﺴﺒﺔ‬‫ﺗﻄﻮﺭ‬
40
30
20
10
0
50
2-20123-20124-20121-20132/2013
20,6
32,733,2
20,622,6
33,2
46,447,545,3
‫ﺍﻟﻌﻠﻴﺎ‬‫ﺍﻟﺸﻬﺎﺩﺍﺕ‬‫ﺣﻤﻠﺔ‬‫ﻣﻦ‬‫ﺍﻟﻌﻤﻞ‬‫ﻋﻦ‬‫ﺍﻟﻌﺎﻃﻠﻴﻦ‬‫ﻋﺪﺩ‬
218,200:2013‫ﻟﺴﻨﺔ‬‫ﺍﻟﺜﺎﻧﻴﺔ‬‫ﺍﻟﺜﻼﺛﻴﺔ‬‫ﻓﻲ‬
31,6%
‫ﺍﻟﺸﻬﺎﺩﺍﺕ‬‫ﺣﺎﻣﻠﻲ‬‫ﺑﻴﻦ‬‫ﺍﻟﺒﻄﺎﻟﺔ‬‫ﻧﺴﺒﺔ‬
‫ﺍﻟﺜﺎﻧﻲ‬‫ﺍﻟﺜﻼﺛﻲ‬‫ﻓﻲ‬‫ﺍﻟﻌﻠﻴﺎ‬
33,6%
‫ﺍﻟﺸﻬﺎﺩﺍﺕ‬‫ﺣﺎﻣﻠﻲ‬‫ﺑﻴﻦ‬‫ﺍﻟﺒﻄﺎﻟﺔ‬‫ﻧﺴﺒﺔ‬
‫ﺍﻷﻭﻝ‬‫ﺍﻟﺜﻼﺛﻲ‬‫ﻓﻲ‬‫ﺍﻟﻌﻠﻴﺎ‬
33,6%
‫ﺍﻟﺸﻬﺎﺩﺍﺕ‬‫ﺣﺎﻣﻠﻲ‬‫ﺑﻴﻦ‬‫ﺍﻟﺒﻄﺎﻟﺔ‬‫ﻧﺴﺒﺔ‬
‫ﺍﻷﻭﻝ‬‫ﺍﻟﺜﻼﺛﻲ‬‫ﻓﻲ‬‫ﺍﻟﻌﻠﻴﺎ‬
%‫ﻗﺪﺭﻩ‬‫ﺑﺘﺮﺍﺟﻊ‬
‫ﻣﺎﺋﻮﻳﺔ‬‫ﻧﻘﻄﺔ‬ 1.6
‫ﻭﺍﻟﻤﻮﺟﻮﺩﺍﺕ‬‫ﺍﻟﻤﺪﻓﻮﻋﺎﺕ‬‫ﻣﻴﺰﺍﻥ‬
‫ﺍﻷﺟﻨﺒﻴﺔ‬‫ﺍﻟﻌﻤﻠﺔ‬‫ﻣﻦ‬‫ﺍﻟﺼﺎﻓﻴﺔ‬
8
‫ﻣﻘﺎﺑﻞ‬ ‫ﺍﻷﻭﻝ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﺴﺪﺍﺳﻲ‬ ‫ﺧﻼﻝ‬ ‫ﻡ.ﺩ‬ 1280 ‫ﺑـ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﺨﺎﺭﺟﻴﺔ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﻤﺪﻓﻮﻋﺎﺕ‬ ‫ﻣﻴﺰﺍﻥ‬ ‫ﻓﻲ‬ ‫ﻋﺠﺰ‬ ‫ﺗﺴﺠﻴﻞ‬ -
.‫ﺍﻟﻤﺎﺿﻴﺔ‬‫ﺍﻟﺴﻨﺔ‬‫ﻣﻦ‬‫ﺍﻟﻔﺘﺮﺓ‬‫ﻧﻔﺲ‬‫ﺧﻼﻝ‬‫ﻡ.ﺩ‬687
‫ﺑﻘﺎﺀ‬‫ﺇﻟﻰ‬‫ﺇﺿﺎﻓﺔ‬‫ﺍﻟﻤﺎﻟﻴﺔ‬‫ﻭﺍﻟﻌﻤﻠﻴﺎﺕ‬‫ﺍﻟﻤﺎﻝ‬‫ﺭﺃﺱ‬‫ﻟﺤﺴﺎﺑﺎﺕ‬‫ﺍﻹﻳﺠﺎﺑﻲ‬‫ﺍﻟﺤﺎﺻﻞ‬‫ﺑﺘﻘﻠﺺ‬‫ﺫﻟﻚ‬‫ﻭﻳﻔﺴﺮ‬
.‫ﻣﺮﺗﻔﻊ‬‫ﻣﺴﺘﻮﻯ‬‫ﻓﻲ‬‫ﺍﻟﺠﺎﺭﻱ‬‫ﺍﻟﻌﺠﺰ‬
2013‫ﺳﻨﺔ‬‫ﻣﻦ‬‫ﺍﻷﻭﻝ‬‫ﺍﻟﺴﺪﺍﺳﻲ‬‫ﺧﻼﻝ‬‫ﺍﻟﺠﺎﺭﻳﺔ‬‫ﺍﻟﻌﻤﻠﻴﺎﺕ‬‫ﻣﻴﺰﺍﻥ‬‫ﻓﻲ‬‫ﺍﻟﺠﺎﺭﻱ‬‫ﺍﻟﻌﺠﺰ‬‫ﻓﻲ‬‫ﺗﻮﺳﻊ‬-
‫ﺑﺎﻟﻌﻼﻗﺔ‬‫ﺍﻟﻤﺎﺿﻴﺔ‬‫ﺍﻟﺴﻨﺔ‬‫ﻣﻦ‬‫ﺍﻟﻔﺘﺮﺓ‬‫ﻧﻔﺲ‬‫ﺧﻼﻝ‬‫ﻡ.ﺩ‬3249‫ﻣﻘﺎﺑﻞ‬‫ﻡ.ﺩ‬3299‫ﻟﻴﺒﻠﻎ‬‫ﻡ.ﺩ‬50‫ﺑـ‬
‫ﺍﻟﺠﺎﺭﻱ‬‫ﺍﻟﻌﺠﺰ‬‫ﺗﻮﺍﺻﻞ‬‫ﻣﻊ‬ً‫ﺎ‬‫ﺃﺳﺎﺳ‬
‫ﺃﻳﺎﻡ‬104‫ﻳﻐﺎﺩﻝ‬‫ﻣﺎ‬‫)ﺃﻱ‬‫ﻡ.ﺩ‬11276.8‫ﺍﻷﺟﻨﺒﻴﺔ‬‫ﺍﻟﻐﻤﻠﺔ‬‫ﻣﻦ‬‫ﺍﻟﺼﺎﻓﻴﺔ‬‫ﺍﻟﻤﻮﺟﻮﺩﺍﺕ‬‫ﻗﻴﻤﺔ‬‫ﺑﻠﻐﺖ‬-
‫ﻧﻔﺲ‬ ‫ﺧﻼﻝ‬ ‫ﺗﻮﺭﻳﺪ‬ ‫ﺃﻳﺎﻡ‬ 98 ‫ﺃﻭ‬ ‫ﻡ.ﺩ‬ 9830.9 ‫ﺑـ‬ ‫ﻣﻘﺎﺭﻧﺔ‬ ‫ﺍﻷﻭﻝ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﺴﺪﺍﺳﻲ‬ ‫ﻣﻮﻓﻰ‬ ‫ﻓﻲ‬ (‫ﺗﻮﺭﻳﺪ‬
.2012‫ﺳﻨﺔ‬‫ﻣﻦ‬‫ﺍﻟﻔﺘﺮﺓ‬
.2013‫ﺃﻭﺕ‬‫ﺷﻬﺮ‬‫ﻣﻮﻓﻰ‬‫ﻓﻲ‬‫ﺃﻳﺎﻡ‬107‫ﺍﻟﺘﻮﺭﻳﺪ‬‫ﺃﻳﺎﻡ‬‫ﺑﺤﺴﺎﺏ‬‫ﺍﻟﺼﺎﻓﻴﺔ‬‫ﺍﻟﻤﻮﺟﻮﺩﺍﺕ‬‫ﻗﻴﻤﺔ‬‫ﻗﺪﺭﺕ‬-
‫ﻣﻦ‬ ‫ﺇﺣﺼﺎﺋﻴﺔ‬ ‫ﺩﻻﻟﺔ‬ ‫ﻟﻪ‬ ‫ﻭﻟﻴﺴﺖ‬ ‫ﻇﺮﻓﻲ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﻤﺆﺷﺮ‬ ‫ﻫﺬﺍ‬ ‫ﺃﻥ‬ ‫ﺑﺎﻋﺘﺒﺎﺭ‬ ً‫ﺎ‬‫ﻋﻤﻮﻣ‬ ‫ﻣﻘﺒﻮﻝ‬ ‫ﻣﺴﺘﻮﻯ‬ ‫ﻭﻫﻮ‬
.‫ﻷﺧﺮﻯ‬‫ﺳﻨﺔ‬
:‫ﺍﻷﺟﻨﺒﻴﺔ‬‫ﺍﻟﻌﻤﻠﺔ‬‫ﻣﻦ‬‫ﺍﻟﺼﺎﻓﻴﺔ‬‫ﺍﻟﻤﻮﺟﻮﺩﺍﺕ‬
:‫ﺍﻷﺟﻨﺒﻴﺔ‬‫ﺍﻟﻌﻤﻠﺔ‬‫ﻣﻦ‬‫ﺍﻟﺼﺎﻓﻴﺔ‬‫ﺍﻟﻤﻮﺟﻮﺩﺍﺕ‬‫ﺗﻄﻮﺭ‬
(‫)ﻡ.ﺩ‬‫ﺍﻷﺟﻨﺒﻴﺔ‬‫ﺍﻟﻌﻤﻠﺔ‬‫ﻣﻦ‬‫ﺍﻟﺼﺎﻓﻴﺔ‬‫ﺍﻟﻤﻮﺟﻮﺩﺍﺕ‬
‫ﺍﻟﺘﻮﺭﻳﺪ‬‫ﺃﻳﺎﻡ‬‫ﺑﺤﺴﺎﺏ‬
2012
12576.1
119
2012‫ﺃﺷﻬﺮ‬6
2012‫ﺃﺷﻬﺮ‬6
98
2012‫ﺃﺷﻬﺮ‬6
2012‫ﺃﺷﻬﺮ‬6
104
‫ﺍﻟﺴﻴﺎﺣﺔ‬
10
:‫ﻓﻲ‬‫ﺍﻟﺴﻴﺎﺣﻲ‬‫ﺍﻟﻘﻄﺎﻉ‬‫ﺗﻨﺎﺋﺞ‬‫ﺃﻫﻢ‬‫ﺗﺘﻤﺜﻞ‬
.%1.8‫ﺑﻨﺴﺒﺔ‬‫ﺍﻟﻤﻘﻀﺎﺓ‬‫ﺍﻟﺴﻴﺎﺣﻴﺔ‬‫ﺍﻟﻠﻴﺎﻟﻲ‬‫ﻓﻲ‬‫ﺗﻄﻮﺭ‬-
.%0.2‫ﺑﻨﺴﺒﺔ‬‫ﺍﻟﺴﻴﺎﺣﺔ‬‫ﻋﺎﺋﺪﺍﺕ‬‫ﺗﻄﻮﺭ‬
‫ﺧﻼﻝ‬ ‫ﺳﺎﺋﺢ‬ ‫ﺃﻟﻒ‬ 2502.5 ‫ﻣﻘﺎﺑﻞ‬ ‫ﺳﺎﺋﺢ‬ ‫ﺃﻟﻒ‬ 2622.5) % 4.8 ‫ﺑﻨﺴﺒﺔ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﺴﻴﺎﺡ‬ ‫ﻋﺪﺩ‬ ‫ﺗﻄﻮﺭ‬
.(2012‫ﺳﻨﺔ‬‫ﻣﻦ‬‫ﺍﻷﻭﻟﻰ‬‫ﺍﻟﺴﺪﺍﺳﻴﺔ‬
‫ﺧﻼﻝ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﻤﺴﺠﻠﺔ‬ ‫ﺑﺎﻟﻨﺘﺎﺋﺞ‬ ‫ﻣﻘﺎﺭﻧﺔ‬ 2013 ‫ﺳﻨﺔ‬ ‫ﻣﻦ‬ ‫ﺍﻷﻭﻝ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﺴﺪﺍﺳﻲ‬ ‫ﺧﻼﻝ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﻤﻴﺰﺍﻧﻴﺔ‬ ‫ﺗﻨﻔﻴﺬ‬ ‫ﻧﺘﺎﺋﺞ‬
:‫ﺍﻟﻤﺎﺿﻴﺔ‬‫ﺍﻟﺴﻨﺔ‬‫ﻣﻦ‬‫ﺍﻟﻔﺘﺮﺓ‬‫ﻧﻔﺲ‬
(‫ﻡ.ﺩ‬496‫ﺣﻮﺍﻟﻲ‬‫ﺑﻨﻘﺺ‬‫ﻣﻘﺪﺭﺓ‬%11)%4.4‫ﺑﻨﺴﺒﺔ‬‫ﺍﻟﺠﺒﺎﺋﻴﺔ‬‫ﺍﻟﻤﺪﺍﺧﻴﻞ‬‫ﻧﻤﻮ‬-
‫ﻗﺪﺭﻩ‬‫ﺑﻨﻘﺺ‬‫ﻣﻘﺪﺭﺓ‬‫ﻡ.ﺩ‬1629‫ﻣﻘﺎﺑﻞ‬‫ﺍﻟﺠﺒﺎﺋﻴﺔ‬‫ﻏﻴﺮ‬‫ﺍﻟﻤﺪﺍﺧﻴﻞ‬‫ﺑﻌﻨﻮﺍﻥ‬‫ﻡ.ﺩ‬1218‫ﺍﺳﺘﺨﻼﺹ‬-
‫ﻡ.ﺩ‬411
‫ﺍﻟﺘﻘﺪﻳﺮﺍﺕ‬‫ﺣﺴﺐ‬%20‫ﺑﺤﻮﺍﻟﻲ‬‫ﻭﻧﻘﺺ‬‫ﻡ.ﺩ‬14698‫ﺃﻭ‬%25.8‫ﺑـ‬‫ﺍﻟﺘﺼﺮﻑ‬‫ﻧﻔﻘﺎﺕ‬‫ﺍﺭﺗﻔﺎﻉ‬-
.%42‫ﺍﻟﻤﻮﺯﻋﺔ‬‫ﺍﻹﻋﺘﻤﺎﺩﺍﺕ‬‫ﺍﺳﺘﻬﻼﻙ‬‫ﻧﺴﺒﺔ‬‫ﻭﺑﻠﻐﺖ‬
‫ﺍﻟﻤﻨﺘﻈﺮ‬‫ﺍﻟﻤﺴﺘﻮﻯ‬‫ﺩﻭﻥ‬‫ﻳﺒﻘﻰ‬‫ﺃﻧﻪ‬‫ﻏﻴﺮ‬‫ﻡ.ﺩ‬182+‫ﺃﻭ‬%17‫ﺑـ‬‫ﺍﻟﺘﻨﻤﻴﺔ‬‫ﻧﻔﻘﺎﺕ‬‫ﺇﻧﺠﺎﺯ‬‫ﻧﺴﻖ‬‫ﺗﺤﺴﻦ‬-
‫ﺟﻮﺍﻥ‬ ‫ﻣﻮﻓﻰ‬ ‫ﺇﻟﻰ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﺘﻘﺪﻳﺮﺍﺕ‬ ‫ﻣﻦ‬ % 80 ‫ﺣﺪﻭﺩ‬ ‫ﻓﻲ‬ ‫ﺇﻧﺤﺼﺮﺕ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﻤﺪﻓﻮﻋﺔ‬ ‫ﺍﻹﻋﺘﻤﺎﺩﺍﺕ‬ ‫ﺃﻥ‬ ‫ﺣﻴﺚ‬
‫ﻣﻘﺪﺭﺓ‬%29.8‫ﻣﻘﺎﺑﻞ‬*%23‫ﺑـ‬‫ﺇﺳﺘﻬﻼﻙ‬‫ﻧﺴﺒﺔ‬‫ﺇﻟﻰ‬‫ﻳﻔﻀﻲ‬‫ﻣﻤﺎ‬2013
‫ﺍﻟﻌﻤﻮﻣﻴﺔ‬‫ﺍﻟﻤﺎﻟﻴﺔ‬
2011‫ﺃﺷﻬﺮ‬6
(‫)ﺑﺎﻷﻟﻒ‬‫ﺍﻟﺴﻴﺎﺣﻴﺔ‬‫ﺍﻟﻠﻴﺎﻟﻲ‬
(‫)ﺑﺎﻷﻟﻒ‬‫ﺍﻟﻤﻘﻴﻤﻴﻦ‬‫ﻏﻴﺮ‬‫ﺩﺧﻮﻝ‬
(‫)ﻡ.ﺩ‬‫ﺍﻟﺴﻴﺎﺣﻴﺔ‬‫ﺍﻟﻌﺎﺋﺪﺍﺕ‬
2012‫ﺃﺷﻬﺮ‬62013‫ﺃﺷﻬﺮ‬6(%)11/12‫ﺍﻟﺘﻐﻴﺮﺍﺕ‬(%)13/12‫ﺍﻟﺘﻐﻴﺮﺍﺕ‬
+1.8
+0.2
+4.8
+68.8 11128.8
1279.6
2622.5
10933.6
1276.9
2502.5
6476.2
883.1
1768.2
+44.6
+41.5
9
‫ﺍﻟﺴﺒﻌﺔ‬‫ﺍﻷﺷﻬﺮ‬‫ﺧﻼﻝ‬‫ﻡ.ﺩ‬6505.9‫ﺍﻟﺘﺠﺎﺭﻱ‬‫ﺍﻟﻌﺠﺰ‬‫ﺑﻠﻎ‬-
‫ﺧﻼﻝ‬ ‫ﻡ.ﺩ‬ 6366.4 ‫ﻣﻘﺎﺑﻞ‬ 2013 ‫ﺳﻨﺔ‬ ‫ﻣﻦ‬ ‫ﺍﻷﻭﻟﻰ‬
.%2.2‫ﺑﺰﻳﺎﺩﺓ‬‫ﺃﻱ‬2012‫ﺳﻨﺔ‬‫ﻣﻦ‬‫ﺍﻟﻔﺘﺮﺓ‬‫ﻧﻔﺲ‬
‫ﻡ.ﺩ‬ 929.4 ‫ﺣﺪﻭﺩ‬ ‫ﻓﻲ‬ ‫ﺷﻬﺮﻱ‬ ‫ﺗﺠﺎﺭﻱ‬ ‫ﻋﺠﺰ‬ ‫ﻣﻌﺪﻝ‬
‫ﻟﻢ‬ ‫ﺣﻴﻦ‬ ‫ﻓﻲ‬ 2013 ‫ﺳﻨﺔ‬ ‫ﻣﻦ‬ ‫ﺍﻷﻭﻝ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﺴﺪﺍﺳﻲ‬ ‫ﺧﻼﻝ‬
‫ﺍﻷﻭﻝ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﺴﺪﺍﺳﻲ‬ ‫ﻓﻲ‬ ‫ﻡ.ﺩ‬ 730 ‫ﺍﻟﻤﻌﺪﻝ‬ ‫ﻫﺬﺍ‬ ‫ﻳﺘﺠﺎﻭﺯ‬
.2012‫ﺳﻨﺔ‬‫ﻣﻦ‬
71‫ﻣﻘﺎﺑﻞ‬(2013‫ﺃﺷﻬﺮ‬7)%71.8‫ﻧﻘﻄﺔ‬0.8‫ﺑـ‬‫ﺑﺎﻟﺼﺎﺩﺭﺍﺕ‬‫ﺍﻟﻮﺍﺭﺩﺍﺕ‬‫ﺗﻐﻜﻴﺔ‬‫ﻧﺴﺒﺔ‬‫ﺗﺤﺴﻨﺖ‬-
‫ﻣﻦ‬‫ﻟﻠﺤﺪ‬2012‫ﺳﻨﺔ‬‫ﺇﺗﺨﺎﺫﻫﺎ‬‫ﺗﻢ‬‫ﺍﻟﻠﺘﻲ‬‫ﺍﻹﺟﺮﺍﺀﺍﺕ‬‫ﻣﻦ‬‫ﺟﻤﻠﺔ‬‫ﺑﻔﻀﻞ‬‫ﻭﺫﻟﻚ‬(2012‫ﺃﺷﻬﺮ‬7)%
.‫ﺍﻟﺘﺠﺎﺭﻱ‬‫ﺍﻟﻌﺠﺰ‬
‫ﺍﻟﺘﺠﺎﺭﻱ‬‫ﺍﻟﻤﻴﺰﺍﻥ‬
(‫)ﻡ.ﺩ‬‫ﺍﻟﺘﺠﺎﺭﻱ‬‫ﻭﺍﻟﺤﺎﺻﻞ‬‫ﻭﺍﻟﻮﺍﺭﺩﺍﺕ‬‫ﺍﻟﺼﺎﺩﺭﺍﺕ‬‫ﺗﻄﻮﺭ‬
%3.7
%6.4
2012 2013
‫ﻟﻠﺼﺎﺩﺭﺍﺕ‬ ‫ﺗﻄﻮﺭ‬
%5.2
2013
‫ﺍﻟﻮﺍﺭﺩﺍﺕ‬ ‫ﺗﺮﺍﺟﻊ‬
2012
%14.7
20000
15000
10000
5000
0
25000
201120122013
15014.3
19239.216571.4
23077.3
15575.5
21941.9
2013‫ﺃﺷﻬﺮ‬7 2012‫ﺃﺷﻬﺮ‬7 2011‫ﺃﺷﻬﺮ‬7
‫ﺑﺎﻟﺼﺎﺩﺭﺍﺕ‬‫ﺍﻟﻮﺍﺭﺩﺍﺕ‬‫ﺗﻐﻄﻴﺔ‬‫ﻧﺴﺒﺔ‬71.8 71.1 78.0
11
‫ﺍﻟﻌﻤﻮﻣﻲ‬‫ﺍﻟﺪﻳﻦ‬
%
4220


3263436658
13565
23093
2009201020112012
--
12

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