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May 23, 20110 likes270 views

Vincent and Yosef debated whether the percentage of people in Fresno/Clovis who would talk to scammers for over a minute would be above or below 10%. Vincent claimed it would be 10% or less, while Yosef believed it would be over 9%. To test this, a random sample of 120 people were called pretending to be a scammer. The results found that 15 out of 120 spoke for over a minute, supporting Yosef's hypothesis that the percentage is above 9% with a p-value of 0.089, making Yosef the winner.

TELL OF THE TAPE Tigger is undefeated in arguments/debates.

How the topic got brought up? Based on University of Exeter's research, they found that scam victims and near-victims put more cognitive effort than non-victims.

Therefore, it is reasonable to assume that people who talk on the phone with scammers for over a minute are much more likely to fall for said scam.

What the argument is about? Ignacio's side Vincent claims that 10% of Fresno/Clovis population will not pick up the phone. Of the 90% that do pick up the phone, 90% of those will hang up within one minute of talking to a scammer.

What the argument is about? Tigger's side Yosef disagrees with that assessment on the assumption that there are more stupid people than that.

Yosef believes over 9% will continue talking to a scammer for over a minute.

How I collected my sample data? I used the current 2011-2012 Fresno/Clovis phonebook.

Vincent and Yosef debated whether the percentage of people in Fresno/Clovis who would talk to scammers for over a minute would be above or below 10%. Yosef believed over 9% would talk for over a minute, while Vincent said less than 10% would. To test this, a sample of 120 people were randomly called with a scam script, and the length of each call was recorded. The results found that 15 out of 120 people talked for over a minute, and the p-value was calculated to be 0.089, supporting Yosef's hypothesis that the percentage is above 10%. Therefore, Yosef was determined the winner of the debate.

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1. ��

2. Vincent Ignacio Antonio

3. Yosef 'Tigger' Negussie WWD champion

4. TELL OF THE TAPE Tigger is undefeated in arguments/debates.

5. Vincent is the underdog.

6. Tigger has the experience.

7. How the topic got brought up? Based on University of Exeter's research, they found that scam victims and near-victims put more cognitive effort than non-victims.

8. Therefore, it is reasonable to assume that people who talk on the phone with scammers for over a minute are much more likely to fall for said scam.

9. What the argument is about? Ignacio's side Vincent claims that 10% of Fresno/Clovis population will not pick up the phone. Of the 90% that do pick up the phone, 90% of those will hang up within one minute of talking to a scammer.

10. What the argument is about? Tigger's side Yosef disagrees with that assessment on the assumption that there are more stupid people than that.

11. Yosef believes over 9% will continue talking to a scammer for over a minute.

12. Hypotheses Ho: p = .09

13. Ha: p > .09

14. = .10

15. How I collected my sample data? I used the current 2011-2012 Fresno/Clovis phonebook.

16. Chose 120 people randomly.

17. Pretending to be a con artist, I called these people and recorded the length of the conversation.

18. Template Hello this is Ricky Johnson. Please listen closely, I only have a moment or so. I can only speak to a Mr. Roberts. Is this Mr. Roberts? Please listen closely Mr. Roberts. I'm calling from Club Clover and our computer has chosen you from all the many thousands. Now from federal law, the prize must be awarded to you even if you did not participate in any activities at Club Clover. The only stipulation is you must sign a few documents and make a deposit of $25. I’m only in the area tonight and perhaps tomorrow morning. When do you think would be a suitable time to come?

19. Results 10/120 did not answer their phones.

20. 15/120 lasted more than a minute with a scammer

21. Out of 61 females, 6 lasted more than a minute

22. Out of 59 males, 9 lasted more than a minute

23. ��

24. ��

25. And the P-value is... .089

26. Winner and STILL WWD champion Yosef 'Tigger' Negussie

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