Elizabeth Winkle, Managing Director; Philip Wooller, Area Director Middle East and Africa and Jesper Palmqvist, Area Director Asia Pacific share their insights on performance in the respective regions.
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STR Global Breakfast Briefing October 2013
1. STR Global
Client Breakfast Briefing
Grand Connaught Rooms
29th October 2013
STR Global Client Event @2013 STR Global
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2. Our participants
As of September 2013
+30,000 hotels
+3.9 m rooms
+47,000 hotels
+6.4m rooms
+8,000 hotels
+1,1 m rooms
+400 hotels
+120,000 rooms
+800 hotels
+160,000 rooms
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+600 hotels
+100,000 rooms
+5,000 hotels
+1 m rooms
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3. Global performance
RevPAR YTD September 2013 (USD)
+ 0.6%
+ 5.4%
- 4.1%
+5.1%
STR Global Client Event @2013 STR Global
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4. RevPAR % Chg
+4.4%
Europe
YTD 13
STR Global Client Event @2013 STR Global
YE 12
+0.6%
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5. Europe Room Supply and Demand %Chg
12 months moving average YE 2005 to September 2013
Nov 10
6.8%
8%
6%
Jun12
2.1%
4%
Sep13
2.8%
2%
0%
-2%
-4%
Jul 09
-7.3%
-6%
-8%
2005
2006
2007
2008
Supply % Chg
STR Global Client Event @2013 STR Global
2009
2010
2011
2012
Demand % Chg
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6. Europe Occ and ADR %Chg
12 month moving average YE 2005 to September 2013
8%
Jan 11
5.4%
6%
May 11
5.7%
Sep 13
1.8%
4%
2%
0%
-2%
Sep 13
-0.4%
-4%
-6%
-8%
-10%
Jul 09
-8.4%
-12%
-14%
2005
2006
2007
2008
Occ % Chg
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Nov 09
-11.5%
2009
2010
2011
2012
ADR % Chg
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7. Europe actual performance
12 month moving average YE 2005 to September 2013
1,800,000,000
120
1,600,000,000
1,400,000,000
100
1,200,000,000
80
1,000,000,000
60
800,000,000
600,000,000
40
400,000,000
20
200,000,000
0
0
2005
2006
2007
Supply
STR Global Client Event @2013 STR Global
2008
2009
Demand
2010
2011
2012
RevPAR
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9. European Countries RevPAR % Chg
YTD September 2013 (local currency)
30.0
20.0
East
North
South
West
10.0
0.0
-10.0
-20.0
-30.0
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10. Europe Markets RevPAR % Chg
Top and Bottom 5 Markets, YTD September 2013 (local currency)
Warsaw
-18.0 %
Edinburgh
+ 7.7 %
Madrid
- 6.8%
Budapest
+ 9.7%
Tel Aviv
- 6.6%
Dublin
+ 10.3%
Vienna
- 6.2%
Copenhagen
+ 11.7%
Helsinki
- 5.7%
Vilnius
+ 16.6%
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11. P&L 2012 GOPPAR % Chg
Top 5 Countries and Markets in Europe (Local Currency)
LONDON
GBP
AMSTERDAM
EUR
PRAGUE
CZK
SAINT PETERSBURG
RUB
MOSCOW
RUB
IRELAND
EUR
HUNGARY
HUF
RUSSIA
RUB
CZECH REPUBLIC
CZK
POLAND
PLN
0
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13.8
16.1
17.2
22.3
23.8
26.8
26.3
23.6
18.6
15.8
5
10
15
20
25
30
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12. Eurozone Demand & GDP
Quarterly 2004 2015F (GDP Source: Oxford Economics)
10.0
5.0
0.0
-5.0
-10.0
-15.0
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
Demand
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2010
2011
2012
2013
2014f 2015f
GDP
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13. Europe Pipeline Top 5 Countries
Pipeline as a % of existing supply
Azerbaijan
Kazakhstan
Belarus
Tajikistan
Georgia
0%
10%
STR Global Client Event @2013 STR Global
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
100%
www.strglobal.com
14. RevPAR % Chg 贈
United Kingdom
YTD 13
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+1.5%
YE 12
+2.5%
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15. RevPAR % Chg
9.6%
Sept YTD GBP
5.4%
Yorkshire
N
Ireland
5.0%
4.4%
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1.4%
W
Midlands
E
England
London
SE
England
SW
England
-1.7%
E Midlands
5.4%
Wales
6.6%
NW
England
-1.3%
5.6%
NE
England
6.8%
0.9%
Scotland
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16. Key Cities UK Occ and ADR % Chg
YTD September 2013 GBP
30%
25%
20%
15%
10%
5%
0%
-5%
-10%
-15%
Occ
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ADR
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17. RevPAR % Chg 贈
Regional UK
YTD 13
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-0.6%
YE 12
+4.4%
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18. Regional UK Classes Supply and Demand % Chg
YTD September 2013
12%
10%
8%
6%
4%
2%
0%
Luxury
Upper Upscale
Upscale
Supply
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Upper Midscale Midscale/Economy
Demand
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19. Regional UK Classes
YTD September 2012 & 2013 Occ and ADR in GBP
85%
贈300.0
贈250.0
80%
贈200.0
75%
贈150.0
70%
贈100.0
65%
贈50.0
60%
贈0.0
Luxury
Upper Upscale
Occ 12
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Upscale
Occ 13
Upper Midscale
ADR 12
Midscale/Economy
ADR 13
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20. RevPAR % Chg 贈
+2.2%
London
YTD 13
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YE 12
-1.7%
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24. RevPAR % Chg $
+5.3%
MEA
YTD 13
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YE 12
+5.1%
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25. MEA Countries REvPAR % Chg
YTD September 2013 (local currency)
30.0
Africa
20.0
Middle East
10.0
0.0
-10.0
-20.0
-30.0
Kenya
Egypt
Mauritius
STR Global Client Event @2013 STR Global
South
Africa
Lebanon Jordan
Saudi
Arabia
Qatar
United
Kuwait
Arab
Emirates
Bahrain
Oman
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26. MEA Overview RevPAR % Chg
YTD September 2013 (local currency)
Beirut -26.9%
Makkah -0.6%
Medina -0.3%
Riyadh 0.4%
Jeddah 9.0%
Dubai +11.0%
Cape Town +16.7%
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Cairo -6.3%
Nairobi -4.9%
Doha +9.1%
Sandton & Sur. +10.4%
Manama +10.5%
Abu Dhabi 11.0%
Muscat +15.9%
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27. RevPAR % Chg AED
UAE
+4.1%
YTD 13
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YE 12
+10.5%
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28. Abu Dhabi vs Dubai Occ and ADR % chg
YTD 19th October 2013 (daily data) AED
35%
30%
Abu Dhabi
Dubai
25%
20%
15%
10%
5%
0%
-5%
-10%
-15%
Abu
Dhabi
Luxury
Upper Upscale Upper Mid &
Upscale
Midscale Eco
Occ
STR Global Client Event @2013 STR Global
Dubai
Luxury
Upper Upscale Upper Mid &
Upscale
Midscale Eco
ADR
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29. Dubai Selected Submarkets Occ and ADR % Chg
YTD 19th October 2013 (daily data) AED
35%
30%
25%
20%
15%
10%
5%
0%
-5%
-10%
-15%
STR Global Client Event @2013 STR Global
Occupancy
ADR
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31. Selected Cities Pipeline MEA
Supply Increase % of existing September 2013
Abu Dhabi
Nigeria
Manama
Muscat
Doha
Al Khobar
Makkah
Lagos
Jeddah
Riyadh
0%
20%
STR Global Client Event @2013 STR Global
40%
60%
80%
100%
120%
140%
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32. MEA Pipeline Top 5 Countries
Pipeline as a % of existing supply
Rwanda
Angola
Libya
Mauritania
Iraq
0%
100%
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200%
300%
400%
500%
600%
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33. RevPAR % Chg $
APAC
-0.4%
YTD 13
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YE 12
-4.1%
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34. Asia Pacific RevPAR growth
YTD September 2013 (local currency)
India -3.1
Singapore -1.3
South Korea -8.1
China -5.7
Malaysia +6.2
Hong Kong -2.1
Indonesia +7.6
Philippines +0.0
Vietnam +8.7
Australia +2.1
Thailand +15.9
Maldives +20.0
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Taiwan +6.9
Japan +11.5
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35. APAC Markets RevPAR growth
YTD September 2013 (local currency)
Seoul -13.2%
Delhi-NCR -11.1%
Bali +0.6%
Kuala Lumpur 1.0%
Ho Chi Minh City +1.4%
Osaka +11.2%
Jakarta +11.4%
STR Global Client Event @2013 STR Global
Beijing -7.4%
Manila -3.1%
Taipei + 4.3%
Sydney + 4.8%
Phuket + 5.4%
Tokyo +12.3%
Bangkok +15.6%
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36. Pipeline | Asia Pacific
By country Q3 2013
16%
Malaysia 4%
8%
Thailand 3%
18%
58%
Philippines 3%
Vietnam 2%
Australia 2%
Japan 2%
Singapore 1%
South Korea 1%
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37. Pipeline | Asia Pacific Size of properties
By country Q3 2013
350
300
250
200
150
100
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38. APAC Pipeline Top 5 Countries
Pipeline as a % of existing supply
Philippines
Sri Lanka
Myanmar
Mongolia
Bangladesh
0%
20%
STR Global Client Event @2013 STR Global
40%
60%
80%
100%
120%
140%
160%
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43. Contacts
STR Global
+44 (0)207 922 1930
info@strglobal.com
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This presentation is based on information compiled by STR Global Ltd. No strategic or marketing recommendations
or advice are intended or implied.
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