際際滷

際際滷Share a Scribd company logo
Thomas Kalbro
Drammenkonferensen, 13th of March 2018
Housing market for all
in Stockholm
?
Low housing production in Sweden
 since the 1990s
Single-family houses
Apartment buildings
A comparison with Norway
Housing investments, percentage of GNP
Stockholm - A Divided City
 Health status
 Education
 Employment
 Security
 Housing and environmental quality
Example
Average income per inhabitant and city part
Example
City quality and socio-economic index
Socioeconomy
Quality
Example
Arsons, 2014-2015
Example
Lower and higher city quality
Housing Construction in Stockholm, 2017
7 200 apartments
Apartment
buildings,
condominiums
Private
developers
Apartment
buildings
for rent
Mainly municipal
housing companies
Single-family houses
Socially Sustainable Housing
Possible strategies?
Kalbro and Lind, 2018
Our starting points
 Facilitate for weaker housholds
 A less segregated city
Segregation  (at least) four dimensions
Geographical level
city part, development area, block, building
Type of buildings
Apartment buildings, single-family houses
Quality
basic or luxurious, rooms/size of apartments etc.
Tenure
rental apartments, condominiums, ownership
If the City wants to reduce the segregation?
Strategy 1 In existing areas: Add what is missing!
Strategy 2 In new areas: Make a mix regarding
 single-family houses, apartment buildings
 ownership, condominiums, rent
 quality
Is it possible to achieve this mix?
The example of M端nchner Mischung
A mix of
 Different types of houses
 Ownership, rental apartments and sozialwohnungen
Prinz Eugen Park
Initial
verdi
Slutlig
verdi,
brutto
Slutlig
verdi,
netto
Initial verdi
kt bruttoverdi
kt nettoverdi
kt bruttoverdi
kt nettoverdi
Bidrag till sosiale boliger
Bidrag till sosial infrastruktur
Bidrag till teknisk infrastruktur
Bidrag med land
Initial
verdi
Slutlig
verdi,
brutto
Slutlig
verdi,
netto
Initial verdi
kt bruttoverdi
kt nettoverdi
kt bruttoverdi
kt nettoverdi
Bidrag till sosiale boliger
Bidrag till sosial infrastruktur
Bidrag till teknisk infrastruktur
Bidrag med land
Initial
verdi
Slutlig
verdi,
Slutlig
verdi,
Initial verdi
kt bruttoverdi
kt nettoverdi
kt bruttoverdi
Bidragtill sosialeboliger
Bidragtill sosial infrastruktur
Bidragtill tekniskinfrastruktur
Bidragmed land
Initial
verdi
Slutlig
verdi,
brutto
Slutlig
verdi,
netto
Initial verdi
kt bruttoverdi
kt nettoverdi
kt bruttoverdi
kt nettoverdi
Bidrag till sosiale boliger
Bidrag till sosial infrastruktur
Bidrag till teknisk infrastruktur
Bidrag med land
Initial
verdi
Slutlig
verdi,
brutto
Slutlig
verdi,
netto
Initial verdi
kt bruttoverdi
kt nettoverdi
kt bruttoverdi
kt nettoverdi
Bidrag till sosiale boliger
Bidrag till sosial infrastruktur
Bidrag till teknisk infrastruktur
Bidrag med land
Initial verdi
kt bruttoverdi
kt nettoverdi
Bidragtill sosialeboliger
Bidragtill sosial infrastruktur
Bidragtill tekniskinfrastruktur
Bidragmed land
Value Capture i M端nchen
Are this strategy possible in Stockholm?
Planning
Implementation
 but has the City
necessary tools
to fulfil the vision?
Visions and planning is
one thing
A crucial factor
The City is a dominationg landowner
70-80 % of the
apartments are built om
municipal land.
Selling land to a price of
5.000 to 40.000 SEK per
sqm floor space
Land price  and market price for housing
 our assumption
The land price is a
residual
Markpris
Projektets vinst
Kostnader f旦r
husbyggande
Kostnader f旦r
infrastruktur
Bostadens pris/hyra
best辰ms av
marknaden
Markpris
Projektets vinst
Kostnader f旦r
husbyggande
Kostnader f旦r
infrastruktur
Bostadens pris/hyra
best辰ms av
marknaden
Markpris
Projektets vinst
Kostnader f旦r
husbyggande
Kostnader f旦r
infrastruktur
Bostadens pris/hyra
best辰ms av
marknaden
Markpris
Projektets vinst
Kostnader f旦r
husbyggande
Kostnader f旦r
infrastruktur
Bostadens pris/hyra
best辰ms av
marknaden
Markpris
Projektets vinst
Kostnader f旦r
husbyggande
Kostnader f旦r
infrastruktur
Bostadens pris/hyra
best辰ms av
marknaden
The market is going up
 land price and market
Markpriset 辰r en
restpost
Markpris
Projektets vinst
Kostnader f旦r
husbyggande
Kostnader f旦r
infrastruktur
Bostadens pris/hyra
best辰ms av
marknaden
Markpris
Projektets vinst
Kostnader f旦r
husbyggande
Kostnader f旦r
infrastruktur
Bostadens pris/hyra
best辰ms av
marknaden
Markpris
Projektets vinst
Kostnader f旦r
husbyggande
Kostnader f旦r
infrastruktur
The market is going down
Markpris
Projektets vinst
Kostnader f旦r
husbyggande
Kostnader f旦r
infrastruktur
Bostadens pris/hyra
best辰ms av
marknaden
Markpris
Projektets vinst
Kostnader f旦r
husbyggande
Kostnader f旦r
infrastruktur
Bostadens pris/hyra
best辰ms av
marknaden
Markpris
Projektets vins
Kostnader f旦
husbyggand
Kostnader f旦
infrastruktu
2017 the (gross) income from the sale of land
was 4,6 billion SEK (460 million ).
Ca 700.000 SEK per each new apartment.
We conclude .
The City of Stockholm has the means to achieve
housing for all. It is in control of
 planning instruments
 land ownership and pricing of land
But, a tricky political balance.
How to use the city卒s resources?
Bostadsbyggande  eller skolor, v奪rd av 辰ldre m.m.

More Related Content

Thomas Kalbro - Drammenkonferansen 2018

  • 1. Thomas Kalbro Drammenkonferensen, 13th of March 2018 Housing market for all in Stockholm ?
  • 2. Low housing production in Sweden since the 1990s Single-family houses Apartment buildings
  • 3. A comparison with Norway Housing investments, percentage of GNP
  • 4. Stockholm - A Divided City Health status Education Employment Security Housing and environmental quality
  • 5. Example Average income per inhabitant and city part
  • 6. Example City quality and socio-economic index Socioeconomy Quality
  • 9. Housing Construction in Stockholm, 2017 7 200 apartments Apartment buildings, condominiums Private developers Apartment buildings for rent Mainly municipal housing companies Single-family houses
  • 10. Socially Sustainable Housing Possible strategies? Kalbro and Lind, 2018 Our starting points Facilitate for weaker housholds A less segregated city
  • 11. Segregation (at least) four dimensions Geographical level city part, development area, block, building Type of buildings Apartment buildings, single-family houses Quality basic or luxurious, rooms/size of apartments etc. Tenure rental apartments, condominiums, ownership
  • 12. If the City wants to reduce the segregation? Strategy 1 In existing areas: Add what is missing! Strategy 2 In new areas: Make a mix regarding single-family houses, apartment buildings ownership, condominiums, rent quality
  • 13. Is it possible to achieve this mix? The example of M端nchner Mischung A mix of Different types of houses Ownership, rental apartments and sozialwohnungen Prinz Eugen Park
  • 14. Initial verdi Slutlig verdi, brutto Slutlig verdi, netto Initial verdi kt bruttoverdi kt nettoverdi kt bruttoverdi kt nettoverdi Bidrag till sosiale boliger Bidrag till sosial infrastruktur Bidrag till teknisk infrastruktur Bidrag med land Initial verdi Slutlig verdi, brutto Slutlig verdi, netto Initial verdi kt bruttoverdi kt nettoverdi kt bruttoverdi kt nettoverdi Bidrag till sosiale boliger Bidrag till sosial infrastruktur Bidrag till teknisk infrastruktur Bidrag med land Initial verdi Slutlig verdi, Slutlig verdi, Initial verdi kt bruttoverdi kt nettoverdi kt bruttoverdi Bidragtill sosialeboliger Bidragtill sosial infrastruktur Bidragtill tekniskinfrastruktur Bidragmed land Initial verdi Slutlig verdi, brutto Slutlig verdi, netto Initial verdi kt bruttoverdi kt nettoverdi kt bruttoverdi kt nettoverdi Bidrag till sosiale boliger Bidrag till sosial infrastruktur Bidrag till teknisk infrastruktur Bidrag med land Initial verdi Slutlig verdi, brutto Slutlig verdi, netto Initial verdi kt bruttoverdi kt nettoverdi kt bruttoverdi kt nettoverdi Bidrag till sosiale boliger Bidrag till sosial infrastruktur Bidrag till teknisk infrastruktur Bidrag med land Initial verdi kt bruttoverdi kt nettoverdi Bidragtill sosialeboliger Bidragtill sosial infrastruktur Bidragtill tekniskinfrastruktur Bidragmed land Value Capture i M端nchen
  • 15. Are this strategy possible in Stockholm? Planning Implementation but has the City necessary tools to fulfil the vision? Visions and planning is one thing
  • 16. A crucial factor The City is a dominationg landowner 70-80 % of the apartments are built om municipal land. Selling land to a price of 5.000 to 40.000 SEK per sqm floor space
  • 17. Land price and market price for housing our assumption The land price is a residual Markpris Projektets vinst Kostnader f旦r husbyggande Kostnader f旦r infrastruktur Bostadens pris/hyra best辰ms av marknaden Markpris Projektets vinst Kostnader f旦r husbyggande Kostnader f旦r infrastruktur Bostadens pris/hyra best辰ms av marknaden Markpris Projektets vinst Kostnader f旦r husbyggande Kostnader f旦r infrastruktur Bostadens pris/hyra best辰ms av marknaden Markpris Projektets vinst Kostnader f旦r husbyggande Kostnader f旦r infrastruktur Bostadens pris/hyra best辰ms av marknaden Markpris Projektets vinst Kostnader f旦r husbyggande Kostnader f旦r infrastruktur Bostadens pris/hyra best辰ms av marknaden The market is going up
  • 18. land price and market Markpriset 辰r en restpost Markpris Projektets vinst Kostnader f旦r husbyggande Kostnader f旦r infrastruktur Bostadens pris/hyra best辰ms av marknaden Markpris Projektets vinst Kostnader f旦r husbyggande Kostnader f旦r infrastruktur Bostadens pris/hyra best辰ms av marknaden Markpris Projektets vinst Kostnader f旦r husbyggande Kostnader f旦r infrastruktur The market is going down Markpris Projektets vinst Kostnader f旦r husbyggande Kostnader f旦r infrastruktur Bostadens pris/hyra best辰ms av marknaden Markpris Projektets vinst Kostnader f旦r husbyggande Kostnader f旦r infrastruktur Bostadens pris/hyra best辰ms av marknaden Markpris Projektets vins Kostnader f旦 husbyggand Kostnader f旦 infrastruktu
  • 19. 2017 the (gross) income from the sale of land was 4,6 billion SEK (460 million ). Ca 700.000 SEK per each new apartment.
  • 20. We conclude . The City of Stockholm has the means to achieve housing for all. It is in control of planning instruments land ownership and pricing of land But, a tricky political balance. How to use the city卒s resources? Bostadsbyggande eller skolor, v奪rd av 辰ldre m.m.