More Related Content
Viewers also liked (14)
PPT
Sap Inside Track 2009 - Enterprise Architecturemarlosimon油
PDF
舒亰亠舒 "仂仂从仂 仂 于舒亢仆仂仄". 亠从舒弍 2016 gym1797油
Times series plot
- 2. wintermultiplicative
Winteraditif
Forecasts
Period Forecast Lower Upper
37 917,95 27,13 1808,76
38 489,99 -414,78 1394,76
39 778,42 -141,91 1698,75
40 400,14 -537,28 1337,56
41 1200,08 244,13 2156,02
42 473,46 -502,38 1449,30
43 711,05 -285,96 1708,06
44 206,52 -812,86 1225,90
45 600,67 -442,20 1643,54
46 773,43 -293,99 1840,84
47 226,66 -866,27 1319,60
48 294,46 -824,90 1413,83
49 724,57 -422,07 1871,22
50 296,62 -878,09 1471,33
60544842363024181261
2500
2000
1500
1000
500
0
-500
-1000
-1500
Bulan
Penjualan
Alpha (level) 0,2
Gamma (trend) 0,2
Delta (seasonal) 0,2
Smoothing Constants
MAPE 416
MAD 364
MSD 185356
Accuracy Measures
Actual
Fits
Forecasts
95,0% PI
Variable
60544842363024181261
3000
2000
1000
0
-1000
Bulan
Penjualan
Alpha (level) 0,2
Gamma (trend) 0,2
Delta (seasonal) 0,2
Smoothing Constants
MAPE 424
MAD 370
MSD 199554
Accuracy Measures
Actual
Fits
Forecasts
95,0% PI
Variable
- 3. 51 585,05 -618,47 1788,56
52 206,77 -1026,23 1439,77
53 1006,70 -256,41 2269,82
54 280,09 -1013,73 1573,92
55 517,68 -807,40 1842,76
56 13,15 -1343,70 1370,00
57 407,30 -981,80 1796,39
58 580,06 -841,73 2001,84
59 33,29 -1421,60 1488,18
60 101,09 -1387,29 1589,47
0
200
400
600
800
1000
1200
1400
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24
Penjualan
Bulan
