1億5000万円欲しい (ロト6のデータで遊ぶ)

Jun 20, 20156 likes7,206 views

Takuma Hatano

ロト６のデータを作りました

人間とランダム性
先生「箱のなかに、点をランダムに100個打ってください」
僕の解答

人間とランダム性
先生「箱のなかに、点をランダムに100個打ってください」
乱数で作ったもの僕の解答

人間とランダム性
先生「箱のなかに、点をランダムに100個打ってください」
乱数で作ったもの僕の解答
点が多い

人間とランダム性
先生「箱のなかに、点をランダムに100個打ってください」
点が多い
点が少ない僕の解答

人間とランダム性
先生「箱のなかに、点をランダムに100個打ってください」
点が多い
ランダムと言われても、一様に点を打ってしまう

ロト6 ルール
? 43個の数字から６個を選ぶ
? 6個とも一致 -> 1等当選
? 賞金：的中者全員で等分する

ロト6 当選者数と当選金
１等当選者数当選金額
第971回４人 2572万円
第972回１人 1億1780万円
第973回３人 4973万円

ロト6 ルール
? 43個の数字から６個を選ぶ
? 6個とも一致 -> 1等当選
? 賞金：的中者全員で等分する
-> 頭数を減らすように数字を選びたい

? ランダムに選んでも、一様になってしまう？
(1, 15, 22, 23, 37, 41)
(1, 15, 22, 27, 37, 41)
例１
例２
仮説連続した数字

? ランダムに選んでも、一様になってしまう？
(1, 15, 22, 23, 37, 41)
下のような組み合わせを選ぶ人が多そう
(1, 15, 22, 27, 37, 41)
例１
例２
仮説連続した数字

(1, 15, 22, 23, 37, 41)
数字を連続させて選べば、当選金額が上がる？
(1, 15, 22, 27, 37, 41)
例１
例２
? ランダムに選んでも、一様になってしまう？
仮説連続した数字

ロト６過去結果データ
? 先週までの全974回ロト6の結果を整理しました
https://gist.github.com/gghatano/cb867bbc14f1de327ddc

当選番号?連続の有無で場合分けして集計
https://rpubs.com/gg_hatano/85752
確認連続数字と当選人数

確認連続数字と当選人数
連続平均当選者数平均当選金額
あり 2.89人 1億5367万円
なし 3.78人 1億3652万円

連続平均当選者数平均当選金額
あり 2.89人 1億5367万円
なし 3.78人 1億3652万円
確認連続数字と当選人数

確認連続数字と当選人数
連続させたほうが儲かるらしい！
連続平均当選者数平均当選金額
あり 2.89人 1億5367万円
なし 3.78人 1億3652万円

結果ロト６を買ってみた
http://www.takarakuji-loto.jp/tousenp.html
僕の選択：(6, 8, 13, 28, 39, 40)
５等当選！！！！！

まとめ
? 人間はランダムには選べない
? ロト６連続させると期待値UP
ロト６の数字選択戦略
他のギャンブルでは？
? 競馬の当選金額高める戦略?

自己紹介
? Twitter : @gg_hatano
? 4月からSIer見習い
? ブログ：300億円欲しい

最後に「このリンク経由で部屋を決めると賃貸手数料50%Off!」のQRコードが貼ってあります。セミナー参加していない方でもこの資料からお越しいただいた方には特別に50%Offしちゃいますので、ぜひ最後までご覧いただければ(笑 2016年7月17日に行われた「今日から始める人工知能x機械学習 Meetup」セミナー発表資料です。 http://www.bngpartners.jp/engineer100/techsemi/ http://connpass.com/event/33753/ 不動産xITという未開拓分野で人工知能を導入する意味や実践例について解説しています。

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