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Transition management yokohama

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DRIFT - Erasmus University Rotterdam

My presentation for the LCS-Rnet and ISAP conference in Yokohama on the need to open up the low carbon agenda, develop more transformative science and new tools

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Transition Management for Sustainability and the role of cities Dr. Derk Loorbach LCSRnet, Yokohama, 22-07-2013
DRIFT Dutch Research Institute For Transitions, Rotterdam with 18 employees Established 2004 as part of the national transition research program KSI Action research institute; (international) fundamental and applied research, consultancy, academic/postgraduate education STRN: 600+ members globally
SUSTAINABILITY TRANSITIONS?
Transition management yokohama
Persistent unsustainability Current socio-economic systems are inherently unsustainable Economically, ecologically and socially Incremental improvement is not enough and CO2 is only one of the problems Sub-optimization might make things worse Current crises are symptoms of non-linear systemic shifts happening We need to consider these as windows of opportunity for major change towards sustainability
Symptoms of destabilisation
Dutch Research Institute For Transitions Transitions Long-term (one or two generations) fundamental change ofLong-term (one or two generations) fundamental change of structure, culture and practices in a societal (sub)systemstructure, culture and practices in a societal (sub)system culture:culture: collective set of values, norms, perspectives (sharedcollective set of values, norms, perspectives (shared orientation), paradigmsorientation), paradigms structure:structure: physical infrastructure, economic infrastructure,physical infrastructure, economic infrastructure, institutions, rules, regulations, collective routinesinstitutions, rules, regulations, collective routines practices:practices: behaviour, operation, implementationbehaviour, operation, implementation Periodic, non-linear systemic shift common in ecological and socio-Periodic, non-linear systemic shift common in ecological and socio- economic systemseconomic systems Paradigm to analyse and influence complex societal changeParadigm to analyse and influence complex societal change
Dutch Research Institute For Transitions Transition levels Macro-level: landscape autonomous trends, paradigms, slow changes Meso-level: regime Dominant structure, culture and practices Micro-level: niches innovative ideas, projects, technologies, niche actors Based on Geels and Kemp, 2001
Dutch Research Institute For Transitions Transition phases predevelopment tipping phase reconfiguration stabilisation Based on Rotmans et al, 2001 Sustainable Society? enhanced lock-in decline Time
Japanese energy transition? Regime: High energy consumption Cheap prices Nuclear and imported fossil Landscape Climate change/policies Resouce issues Demography Economic change Niches: alt. Technologies, new practices and regulations (feed-in), new business ?
Sustainability and Transitions Transitions are rare but common processes and most likely do not automatically lead to sustainability Sustainability itself is inherently ambiguous, contested and uncertain It is about the process of sustainable development rather than the end goal
GOVERNANCE OF TRANSITIONS
Transition governance principles long-termlong-term thinking as the basis for short term policythinking as the basis for short term policy thinking in terms of multiple domains (multi-domain),thinking in terms of multiple domains (multi-domain), different actors (multi-actor),different actors (multi-actor), different levels (multi-level)different levels (multi-level) learning as an important aim for policy (learning-by-doinglearning as an important aim for policy (learning-by-doing and doing-by-learning)and doing-by-learning) orient governance towards system innovation besidesorient governance towards system innovation besides system improvementsystem improvement keeping options open, exploring multiple pathwayskeeping options open, exploring multiple pathways selective participation focusing on frontrunnersselective participation focusing on frontrunners
Transition Governance Framework Monitoring, evaluating and learning Institutional and structural changes, new networks/ coalitions Breakthrough actions, projects and initiatives, new organisations Problem structuring, shared sense of urgency, guiding visions
Transitions Are not Manageable Makeable Engineerable Predictable Can be Anticipated Influenced Guided Accelerated
society Transition arenasRegular arenas - Short term - Peloton - Incremental change - Problem- and goal oriented - Long term - Frontrunners - System-innovation - Problem- and goal searching Transition arenas
Transition Management Framework Monitoring, evaluating and learning Developing images coalitions and transition- agendas Mobilizing actors and executing projects and experiments establishment of transition arenas, shared problem definitions and visions
Transition Networks Transition Experiments Transition Arena Phase III Framing the transition Phase IV Envisioning a sustainable city Phase V Reconnecting long term & short term Phase VI Going into action Transition Team Phase I Setting the scene Phase II Exploring dynamics Phase VII Engaging & anchoring
Tools SCENE patterns actor analysis problem analysis TRANSCE reflexive monitoring monitoring framework trans. indicators MLP DBU Deepening, broadening, upscaling transitioning actor selection expert-arena system analysis arena agendaexperiments evaluation TM multiple participatory tools
URBAN TRANSITIONS
Aberdeen Ghent Montreuil Rotterdam Ludwigsburg Mitigation in Urban Areas, Solutions for Innovative Cities 5 local governments search for pathways to a low carbon future Supported by two knowledge institutions: CRP Henri Tudor (LUX), DRIFT (NL)
Transition management yokohama
Transition management yokohama
Ghent, great place to live Locally creating added value Energetic city, intelligent cycles Ghentenaar home in the city Transition arena Ghent (Belgium)
20 cultural organizations > 100.000 visitors Transition University Ghent Research biogas from biodegr. Mobility arena 938 mobbers Support for SMEs Climate arena Ghent (Belgium) Inspiration to political parties CWG Urban Farming CWG Energy Efficiency in business CWG Valorisation waste water and biodegradables CWG Art Sector KWG mobiliteit CWG consumer pusher market KWG UGent Assessment of potential for ESCOs CEIP meets GMS
OUTLOOK
New dynamics new agenda Structural changes taking place requiring new strategies Scientific: understanding tipping points, selection, institutional change, Societal: mobilising critical mass, destabilising unsustainable regimes, building new institutions
Transition governance principles (acceleration) Coordination accelerating transition dynamics Guiding build-up towards sustainability Controlled break-down Safe-guarding diversity and flexibility Dealing with/anticipating resistance and barriers Leading roles for transformative business, policy, research citizens, networks
Tools TM 2.0 tipping point ethics transition potential community engagement communiciation & discourse financing (e.g. joint purchase) empowerment coalition building business cases cost-benefit system analysis arena agendaexperiments evaluation TM power analysis institutionalization power strategy social movement
The need for global transition governance Current progress is insufficient to meet global goals Institutional and technological approaches do not deliver the space and guidance for acceleration There is a need for more progressive, socio-economic and frontrunner oriented governance strategies There are many positive initiatives and solutions but they do not scale up The transition framework helps to enable research and governance for transitions but requires new roles Challenge is always to adapt TM to context, this requires skill, knowledge and competence
Transition in roles Transition Management
Thank you for your attention For more information and publications: loorbach@drift.eur.nl www.drift.eur.nl www.transitionsnetwork.org www.twitter.com/drk75

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Transition management yokohama

  • 1. Transition Management for Sustainability and the role of cities Dr. Derk Loorbach LCSRnet, Yokohama, 22-07-2013
  • 2. DRIFT Dutch Research Institute For Transitions, Rotterdam with 18 employees Established 2004 as part of the national transition research program KSI Action research institute; (international) fundamental and applied research, consultancy, academic/postgraduate education STRN: 600+ members globally
  • 5. Persistent unsustainability Current socio-economic systems are inherently unsustainable Economically, ecologically and socially Incremental improvement is not enough and CO2 is only one of the problems Sub-optimization might make things worse Current crises are symptoms of non-linear systemic shifts happening We need to consider these as windows of opportunity for major change towards sustainability
  • 7. Dutch Research Institute For Transitions Transitions Long-term (one or two generations) fundamental change ofLong-term (one or two generations) fundamental change of structure, culture and practices in a societal (sub)systemstructure, culture and practices in a societal (sub)system culture:culture: collective set of values, norms, perspectives (sharedcollective set of values, norms, perspectives (shared orientation), paradigmsorientation), paradigms structure:structure: physical infrastructure, economic infrastructure,physical infrastructure, economic infrastructure, institutions, rules, regulations, collective routinesinstitutions, rules, regulations, collective routines practices:practices: behaviour, operation, implementationbehaviour, operation, implementation Periodic, non-linear systemic shift common in ecological and socio-Periodic, non-linear systemic shift common in ecological and socio- economic systemseconomic systems Paradigm to analyse and influence complex societal changeParadigm to analyse and influence complex societal change
  • 8. Dutch Research Institute For Transitions Transition levels Macro-level: landscape autonomous trends, paradigms, slow changes Meso-level: regime Dominant structure, culture and practices Micro-level: niches innovative ideas, projects, technologies, niche actors Based on Geels and Kemp, 2001
  • 9. Dutch Research Institute For Transitions Transition phases predevelopment tipping phase reconfiguration stabilisation Based on Rotmans et al, 2001 Sustainable Society? enhanced lock-in decline Time
  • 10. Japanese energy transition? Regime: High energy consumption Cheap prices Nuclear and imported fossil Landscape Climate change/policies Resouce issues Demography Economic change Niches: alt. Technologies, new practices and regulations (feed-in), new business ?
  • 11. Sustainability and Transitions Transitions are rare but common processes and most likely do not automatically lead to sustainability Sustainability itself is inherently ambiguous, contested and uncertain It is about the process of sustainable development rather than the end goal
  • 13. Transition governance principles long-termlong-term thinking as the basis for short term policythinking as the basis for short term policy thinking in terms of multiple domains (multi-domain),thinking in terms of multiple domains (multi-domain), different actors (multi-actor),different actors (multi-actor), different levels (multi-level)different levels (multi-level) learning as an important aim for policy (learning-by-doinglearning as an important aim for policy (learning-by-doing and doing-by-learning)and doing-by-learning) orient governance towards system innovation besidesorient governance towards system innovation besides system improvementsystem improvement keeping options open, exploring multiple pathwayskeeping options open, exploring multiple pathways selective participation focusing on frontrunnersselective participation focusing on frontrunners
  • 14. Transition Governance Framework Monitoring, evaluating and learning Institutional and structural changes, new networks/ coalitions Breakthrough actions, projects and initiatives, new organisations Problem structuring, shared sense of urgency, guiding visions
  • 16. society Transition arenasRegular arenas - Short term - Peloton - Incremental change - Problem- and goal oriented - Long term - Frontrunners - System-innovation - Problem- and goal searching Transition arenas
  • 17. Transition Management Framework Monitoring, evaluating and learning Developing images coalitions and transition- agendas Mobilizing actors and executing projects and experiments establishment of transition arenas, shared problem definitions and visions
  • 18. Transition Networks Transition Experiments Transition Arena Phase III Framing the transition Phase IV Envisioning a sustainable city Phase V Reconnecting long term & short term Phase VI Going into action Transition Team Phase I Setting the scene Phase II Exploring dynamics Phase VII Engaging & anchoring
  • 19. Tools SCENE patterns actor analysis problem analysis TRANSCE reflexive monitoring monitoring framework trans. indicators MLP DBU Deepening, broadening, upscaling transitioning actor selection expert-arena system analysis arena agendaexperiments evaluation TM multiple participatory tools
  • 21. Aberdeen Ghent Montreuil Rotterdam Ludwigsburg Mitigation in Urban Areas, Solutions for Innovative Cities 5 local governments search for pathways to a low carbon future Supported by two knowledge institutions: CRP Henri Tudor (LUX), DRIFT (NL)
  • 24. Ghent, great place to live Locally creating added value Energetic city, intelligent cycles Ghentenaar home in the city Transition arena Ghent (Belgium)
  • 25. 20 cultural organizations > 100.000 visitors Transition University Ghent Research biogas from biodegr. Mobility arena 938 mobbers Support for SMEs Climate arena Ghent (Belgium) Inspiration to political parties CWG Urban Farming CWG Energy Efficiency in business CWG Valorisation waste water and biodegradables CWG Art Sector KWG mobiliteit CWG consumer pusher market KWG UGent Assessment of potential for ESCOs CEIP meets GMS
  • 27. New dynamics new agenda Structural changes taking place requiring new strategies Scientific: understanding tipping points, selection, institutional change, Societal: mobilising critical mass, destabilising unsustainable regimes, building new institutions
  • 28. Transition governance principles (acceleration) Coordination accelerating transition dynamics Guiding build-up towards sustainability Controlled break-down Safe-guarding diversity and flexibility Dealing with/anticipating resistance and barriers Leading roles for transformative business, policy, research citizens, networks
  • 29. Tools TM 2.0 tipping point ethics transition potential community engagement communiciation & discourse financing (e.g. joint purchase) empowerment coalition building business cases cost-benefit system analysis arena agendaexperiments evaluation TM power analysis institutionalization power strategy social movement
  • 30. The need for global transition governance Current progress is insufficient to meet global goals Institutional and technological approaches do not deliver the space and guidance for acceleration There is a need for more progressive, socio-economic and frontrunner oriented governance strategies There are many positive initiatives and solutions but they do not scale up The transition framework helps to enable research and governance for transitions but requires new roles Challenge is always to adapt TM to context, this requires skill, knowledge and competence
  • 32. Thank you for your attention For more information and publications: loorbach@drift.eur.nl www.drift.eur.nl www.transitionsnetwork.org www.twitter.com/drk75

Editor's Notes

  • #22: (Mitigation in Urban areas and Solutions for Innovative Cities)