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Tyranny of the Old Colin Masterson
Unprecedented Demographic Changes Power of the few over the many Generational strife The promises How we got here What may happen?
Demographics 101 Basic population growth  Birth Rate  Death Rate = Population Growth Fertility Replacement Rate ~ 2.1  Age of women at first child Life expectancy
Life Expectancy
Fertility
油
油
Voter Participation Citizens age 65 and older had the highest registration rate (79 percent) while those age 18 to 24 had the lowest (58 percent). The youngest group also had the lowest voting rate (47 percent), while those age 45 and older had the highest turnout (about 70 percent).
Where the Electorate Power Lies Historical Trends in Elections Maximum Participation occurs at Retirement age Young are disenfranchised by choice
Benefits Largest is OASDI (Social Security) Medicare Disability Supplemental Medical Insurance Prescription Drug Benefit The Supreme Court has established that no one has any legal right to Social Security benefits. The Court decided, in Flemming v. Nestor (1960), that  "entitlement to Social Security benefits is not a contractual right".
Social Security
Where Social Security is now
Where it is Going
Conclusions The Elderly Caucus have increasing influence Very difficult to roll back promises There will be 2 workers for every Retiree Pension Funds will have to be taken over by the Federal Government  More Trust Funds The average annual medical bill for someone over 75 y.o. is >$12,000 It will cost too much for families to maintain a fertility rate of > 2 The cycle will get worse than currently projected
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Tyranny Of The Old

  • 1. Tyranny of the Old Colin Masterson
  • 2. Unprecedented Demographic Changes Power of the few over the many Generational strife The promises How we got here What may happen?
  • 3. Demographics 101 Basic population growth Birth Rate Death Rate = Population Growth Fertility Replacement Rate ~ 2.1 Age of women at first child Life expectancy
  • 6.
  • 7.
  • 8. Voter Participation Citizens age 65 and older had the highest registration rate (79 percent) while those age 18 to 24 had the lowest (58 percent). The youngest group also had the lowest voting rate (47 percent), while those age 45 and older had the highest turnout (about 70 percent).
  • 9. Where the Electorate Power Lies Historical Trends in Elections Maximum Participation occurs at Retirement age Young are disenfranchised by choice
  • 10. Benefits Largest is OASDI (Social Security) Medicare Disability Supplemental Medical Insurance Prescription Drug Benefit The Supreme Court has established that no one has any legal right to Social Security benefits. The Court decided, in Flemming v. Nestor (1960), that "entitlement to Social Security benefits is not a contractual right".
  • 13. Where it is Going
  • 14. Conclusions The Elderly Caucus have increasing influence Very difficult to roll back promises There will be 2 workers for every Retiree Pension Funds will have to be taken over by the Federal Government More Trust Funds The average annual medical bill for someone over 75 y.o. is >$12,000 It will cost too much for families to maintain a fertility rate of > 2 The cycle will get worse than currently projected