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U.S. Pear Trends

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Daniel Suenram

- U.S. pear production has declined over time, with 27% reduction in acres and 3% reduction in tons from 1980 to 2007. However, production per acre has increased 25% over this time period. - Washington state accounts for 50% of U.S. pear production, followed by California at 27% and Oregon at 23%. - Imports of canned and fresh pears have increased substantially in recent years, with Chinese canned pear exports rising 214% in the last five years. This has impacted the U.S. canned pear market. - Future profitability for the U.S. pear industry relies on efficient production, innovative new products, effective marketing, and development of new pear varieties.

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Trends in U.S. Pear Production Chris Zanobini California Pear Advisory Board Sacramento, California [email_address] m Rachel B. Elkins University of California Cooperative Extension, Lakeport, California [email_address] Presented at Great Lakes Expo December 8, 2009
Many Thanks To: Tara Baugher, PA State University Steve Castagnoli, OR State University Bob McClain, CA Pear Advisory Board Tim Smith, WA State University Daniel Suenram, UC Cooperative Extension, Lake County David Sugar, OR State University
North American Pear Production United States 95% West Coast 98% of US Production Washington 50% California 27% Oregon 23% Other Notable States New York Michigan Pennsylvania Mexico & Canada 5% Source: Chris Zanobini, California Pear Advisory Board
U.S. Pear Production 1,000 Tons 1,000 Acres Source: USDA, Economic Research Service 1980 2007: 27% reduction in total acres 3% reduction in total tons 1980: ~11 tons per acre 2007: ~14.7 tons per acre 25% increase in production per acre 897,400 Tons 81,000 Acres 873,000 Tons 59,500 Acres
Bearing Acreage Source: USDA, Economic Research Service 1,000 Acres 2% 20% 9% 40% 20% 11%
US Pear Production by State 1998-2008 Source: USDA, Economic Research Service 1,000 Tons 3% 25% 20% 10% 60% 43%
U.S. Pear Crop Utilization 1,000 Tons Source: USDA, Economic Research Service Fresh pear market has increased 60% Processed pear market has decreased 42%, down 33% in the last 10 years alone! More people are buying fresh pears, fewer are buying canned!
Per Capita Consumption People are eating fewer pears! Source: USDA, Economic Research Service There has been a 22% decrease in total pear consumption, especially canned pears! USA Pounds
Bartlett (Williams) Pear Approximately 22,240 acres Largest produced variety in the US (55%) 421,634 tons ( 5 year average) 35% Fresh Market 59% Canned Fruit 6% Baby Food, Dried and Juice Source: Chris Zanobini, California Pear Advisory Board
Total US Bartlett (Williams) Production 2003-2008 Source: National Agricultural Statistics Service, USDA There has been a 16% decrease in production in the last 10 years. 0 587 448 423 100 1,000 Tons 200 300 400 500 600 700 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008
Anjou Pear Production Source: Final Crop Reports, Winter Pear Control Committee There was a 165% increase in Anjou pear production from 1971 to 1995! Million Boxes
Bartlett (Williams) Utilization by Market Source: National Agricultural Statistics Service, USDA There has been a 28% increase in demand for fresh Bartlett pears. There has been a 30% decline in the demand for processed Bartlett pears. 1,000 Tons
Canned Pear Trends (million cases) Source: Chris Zanobini, California Pear Advisory Board
Source: Chris Zanobini, California Pear Advisory Board U.S. Production by Variety *Reds Include: Red Clapp, Rubaiyat, Red Angelo, Red Comice, Regal Red, Crimson Gem, Red Silk, Red Satin, California, Cascade **Other includes: Packham, Forelle, Nelis, Taylor's Gold, Concorde
U.S. Imported Pears Source: USDA, Economic Research Service 1,000 Tons 67% 34% 1.6m% 970% 47% 78%
Imported Pear Utilization (Percent of Domestic Market) Source: USDA, Economic Research Service
Increase in Imported Pears Fresh imported pears have increased 54% in the last 10 years. In 2006, fresh imported pears captured almost 村 of the U.S. market Imported canned pears have increased 382% in the last 10 years.
Bartlett (Williams) Pear
2007 Canned Pear Imports U.S. Imported 42,195 tons 5.5 times the amount of exports Australia and South Africa displaced by China Quality of Chinese product is and issue Thailand is not a producer, but a packager Source: U.S. International Trade Commission
Cheap imported pears from China and Thailand are taking an increasing bite out of the market for canned pears in the United States.
Chinese Canned Pear Exports China is impacting the world Imports to the U.S. have increased 214% in the last five years Mainly foodservice market Questionable quality Source: U.S. International Trade Commission
Bartlett (Williams) Pear
U.S. Pear Exports Source: USDA, Economic Research Service 1,000 Tons
Change in Top Export Markets 59% 56% 7% 65% 32% 49% 45% 966% 86% 28% 34% 46.5% 4.7% 10% 6.6% 55% 34% 135% 10yr avg Source: USDA, Economic Research Service Taiwan Canada Venezuela Russia Others Mexico 1997-2007 2002-2007 1997-2002 5yr avg 5yr avg
U.S. Imports vs. Exports 1,000 Tons Exports Imports Exports have remained relatively steady while imports have increased. U.S. pear exports still out number imports. Source: USDA, Economic Research Service
Exports: There was a 15.25% increase from 1997 to 2002. There was a 12.9% decrease from 2002 to 2007. There was an over all increase of 0.4% over the last 10 years. Imports: There was a 0.25% decrease between 1997 and 2002. There was a 37.25% increase from 2002 to 2007. There was an increase of 37% over the last 10 years. U.S. Imports vs. Exports Source: USDA, Economic Research Service
Around 3% of total production 7,800 tons Canada and Central America largest market Product to Thailand is repackaged and exported back Canned Pear Exports Source: U.S. International Trade Commission
Exports U.S. vs. China China 317% U.S. 0.4% Source: Foreign Agricultural Service, USDA 1,000 Tons
NC140 trials in California, Oregon, Washington, New York, Nova Scotia (Canada), Chihuahua (Mexico) Keys to Future Profitability Efficient Cost-Effective Production Evaluation of Potential New, Size Controlling Rootstocks for European Pears
Keys to Future Profitability Efficient Cost-Effective Production Mechanization reduce dependence on manual labor
Keys to Future Profitability Efficient Cost-Effective Production Pest management
Keys to Future Profitability Innovative, high quality products Post-harvest quality
Keys to Future Profitability Innovative, high quality products Cultivar breeding and evaluation
Keys to Future Profitability Value-added products Innovative, high quality products
Keys to Future Profitability Innovative, high quality products Value-added products
Effective marketing Domestic, exports Inter-generational Multi-cultural Keys to Future Profitability
New Cultivars Hailey Red(c.LT1) A sport of the Bartlett pear, Hailey Red is the best Red Bartlett discovered to date. It is just like the Bartlett, except it has an exceptional red color. It ripens the same time as the Bartlett. It is very juicy with white flesh. It does not need a pollinizer. Storage life is better than Bartlett, and holds red color better than other red pear varieties.
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U.S. Pear Trends

  • 1. Trends in U.S. Pear Production Chris Zanobini California Pear Advisory Board Sacramento, California [email_address] m Rachel B. Elkins University of California Cooperative Extension, Lakeport, California [email_address] Presented at Great Lakes Expo December 8, 2009
  • 2. Many Thanks To: Tara Baugher, PA State University Steve Castagnoli, OR State University Bob McClain, CA Pear Advisory Board Tim Smith, WA State University Daniel Suenram, UC Cooperative Extension, Lake County David Sugar, OR State University
  • 3. North American Pear Production United States 95% West Coast 98% of US Production Washington 50% California 27% Oregon 23% Other Notable States New York Michigan Pennsylvania Mexico & Canada 5% Source: Chris Zanobini, California Pear Advisory Board
  • 4. U.S. Pear Production 1,000 Tons 1,000 Acres Source: USDA, Economic Research Service 1980 2007: 27% reduction in total acres 3% reduction in total tons 1980: ~11 tons per acre 2007: ~14.7 tons per acre 25% increase in production per acre 897,400 Tons 81,000 Acres 873,000 Tons 59,500 Acres
  • 5. Bearing Acreage Source: USDA, Economic Research Service 1,000 Acres 2% 20% 9% 40% 20% 11%
  • 6. US Pear Production by State 1998-2008 Source: USDA, Economic Research Service 1,000 Tons 3% 25% 20% 10% 60% 43%
  • 7. U.S. Pear Crop Utilization 1,000 Tons Source: USDA, Economic Research Service Fresh pear market has increased 60% Processed pear market has decreased 42%, down 33% in the last 10 years alone! More people are buying fresh pears, fewer are buying canned!
  • 8. Per Capita Consumption People are eating fewer pears! Source: USDA, Economic Research Service There has been a 22% decrease in total pear consumption, especially canned pears! USA Pounds
  • 9. Bartlett (Williams) Pear Approximately 22,240 acres Largest produced variety in the US (55%) 421,634 tons ( 5 year average) 35% Fresh Market 59% Canned Fruit 6% Baby Food, Dried and Juice Source: Chris Zanobini, California Pear Advisory Board
  • 10. Total US Bartlett (Williams) Production 2003-2008 Source: National Agricultural Statistics Service, USDA There has been a 16% decrease in production in the last 10 years. 0 587 448 423 100 1,000 Tons 200 300 400 500 600 700 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008
  • 11. Anjou Pear Production Source: Final Crop Reports, Winter Pear Control Committee There was a 165% increase in Anjou pear production from 1971 to 1995! Million Boxes
  • 12. Bartlett (Williams) Utilization by Market Source: National Agricultural Statistics Service, USDA There has been a 28% increase in demand for fresh Bartlett pears. There has been a 30% decline in the demand for processed Bartlett pears. 1,000 Tons
  • 13. Canned Pear Trends (million cases) Source: Chris Zanobini, California Pear Advisory Board
  • 14. Source: Chris Zanobini, California Pear Advisory Board U.S. Production by Variety *Reds Include: Red Clapp, Rubaiyat, Red Angelo, Red Comice, Regal Red, Crimson Gem, Red Silk, Red Satin, California, Cascade **Other includes: Packham, Forelle, Nelis, Taylor's Gold, Concorde
  • 15. U.S. Imported Pears Source: USDA, Economic Research Service 1,000 Tons 67% 34% 1.6m% 970% 47% 78%
  • 16. Imported Pear Utilization (Percent of Domestic Market) Source: USDA, Economic Research Service
  • 17. Increase in Imported Pears Fresh imported pears have increased 54% in the last 10 years. In 2006, fresh imported pears captured almost 村 of the U.S. market Imported canned pears have increased 382% in the last 10 years.
  • 19. 2007 Canned Pear Imports U.S. Imported 42,195 tons 5.5 times the amount of exports Australia and South Africa displaced by China Quality of Chinese product is and issue Thailand is not a producer, but a packager Source: U.S. International Trade Commission
  • 20. Cheap imported pears from China and Thailand are taking an increasing bite out of the market for canned pears in the United States.
  • 21. Chinese Canned Pear Exports China is impacting the world Imports to the U.S. have increased 214% in the last five years Mainly foodservice market Questionable quality Source: U.S. International Trade Commission
  • 23. U.S. Pear Exports Source: USDA, Economic Research Service 1,000 Tons
  • 24. Change in Top Export Markets 59% 56% 7% 65% 32% 49% 45% 966% 86% 28% 34% 46.5% 4.7% 10% 6.6% 55% 34% 135% 10yr avg Source: USDA, Economic Research Service Taiwan Canada Venezuela Russia Others Mexico 1997-2007 2002-2007 1997-2002 5yr avg 5yr avg
  • 25. U.S. Imports vs. Exports 1,000 Tons Exports Imports Exports have remained relatively steady while imports have increased. U.S. pear exports still out number imports. Source: USDA, Economic Research Service
  • 26. Exports: There was a 15.25% increase from 1997 to 2002. There was a 12.9% decrease from 2002 to 2007. There was an over all increase of 0.4% over the last 10 years. Imports: There was a 0.25% decrease between 1997 and 2002. There was a 37.25% increase from 2002 to 2007. There was an increase of 37% over the last 10 years. U.S. Imports vs. Exports Source: USDA, Economic Research Service
  • 27. Around 3% of total production 7,800 tons Canada and Central America largest market Product to Thailand is repackaged and exported back Canned Pear Exports Source: U.S. International Trade Commission
  • 28. Exports U.S. vs. China China 317% U.S. 0.4% Source: Foreign Agricultural Service, USDA 1,000 Tons
  • 29. NC140 trials in California, Oregon, Washington, New York, Nova Scotia (Canada), Chihuahua (Mexico) Keys to Future Profitability Efficient Cost-Effective Production Evaluation of Potential New, Size Controlling Rootstocks for European Pears
  • 30. Keys to Future Profitability Efficient Cost-Effective Production Mechanization reduce dependence on manual labor
  • 31. Keys to Future Profitability Efficient Cost-Effective Production Pest management
  • 32. Keys to Future Profitability Innovative, high quality products Post-harvest quality
  • 33. Keys to Future Profitability Innovative, high quality products Cultivar breeding and evaluation
  • 34. Keys to Future Profitability Value-added products Innovative, high quality products
  • 35. Keys to Future Profitability Innovative, high quality products Value-added products
  • 36. Effective marketing Domestic, exports Inter-generational Multi-cultural Keys to Future Profitability
  • 37. New Cultivars Hailey Red(c.LT1) A sport of the Bartlett pear, Hailey Red is the best Red Bartlett discovered to date. It is just like the Bartlett, except it has an exceptional red color. It ripens the same time as the Bartlett. It is very juicy with white flesh. It does not need a pollinizer. Storage life is better than Bartlett, and holds red color better than other red pear varieties.