Weather Outlook - 2015
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Elwynn Taylor, Iowa State University, from the 2015 World Pork Expo, June 3 - 5, 2015, Des Moines, IA, USA.
![Corn/Soybean Market
Market @9am 4 Jun 2015
ELEC. CORN[10] Jul-15 360'4 -0'4
Dec-15 378'4 -0'4
expect Dec @ $ 385'
ELEC. SOYBEANS[10] Jul-15 942'4 -1'2
Nov-15 921'0 -1'0
expect Nov @ $ 825'](https://image.slidesharecdn.com/weather-outlook-elwynn-171218232640/85/Weather-Outlook-2015-2-320.jpg)
Weather Outlook - 2015
- 1. Weather Outlook 2015 & Beyond Elwynn Taylor Iowa State University
- 2. Corn/Soybean Market Market @9am 4 Jun 2015 ELEC. CORN[10] Jul-15 360'4 -0'4 Dec-15 378'4 -0'4 expect Dec @ $ 385' ELEC. SOYBEANS[10] Jul-15 942'4 -1'2 Nov-15 921'0 -1'0 expect Nov @ $ 825'
- 4. SOI 3 Jun 2015 = -9.2 (-10 is full strength El 鰻庄単看)
- 5. High risk Moderate High Beyond
- 6. El 鰻庄単看 Friend of the Midwest farmer. Better friend of the Argentine farmer (El Nino tends to be a Christmas event that may or may not persist through the Midwest growing season).
- 8. Summer Temperature 2010 This is OPPOSITE of past 3 years
- 9. La Ni単a : Extremes
- 10. El 鰻庄単看: 70% chance of yield greater than the trend. La Ni単a: 70% chance of yield smaller than the trend. Neutral: 52% chance of yield greater than the trend.
- 11. (Oct to date) Extensive Flooding in Northeast IA October 2009 October 2010 to 2012 . El 鰻庄単看 To La Ni単a
- 12. Return to El 鰻庄単看
- 13. 159 $4.85 162.3 178 19581 146 170 $3.85 * 165 $4.15 Example Yield-Price Risk Wheel * Central. IA $3.35 US Corn Wisner
- 15. 41 $10.70 45 50 5923 40 46 $8.25 * 44 $8.50 Example Yield-Price Risk Wheel * Central. IA $7.70 US Soybean Wisner
- 16. Weather Volatility Climate RISK in Agriculture is likely to be greater during the next 20 years Management of RISK is of increasing importance
- 18. stable period 2 stable period 3 stable period 4 137 Beyond
- 19. A Little on the USA: Continental Divide Anomaly
- 20. Boundary is the Continental Divide, do NOT expect change
- 21. Elwynn Taylor Iowa State University Climatologist END WWW.twitter.com/elwynntaylor On Google: Where is elwynn
Editor's Notes
- #5: http://www.ospo.noaa.gov/data/sst/anomaly/anomnight.current.gif https://www.longpaddock.qld.gov.au/seasonalclimateoutlook/southernoscillationindex/30daysoivalues/
- #8: http://www.nass.usda.gov/Charts_and_Maps/Field_Crops/cornyld.asp
- #15: http://www.nass.usda.gov/Charts_and_Maps/Field_Crops/soyyld.asp