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Welcome to the Anthropocene, by Reinhold Leinfelder

Reinhold Leinfelder
Reinhold Leinfelder

This document summarizes a presentation given by Reinhold Leinfelder on September 4, 2015 at the Przemiany Festival in Warsaw, Poland. The presentation introduces the concept of the Anthropocene, discussing how human activity has become a major geological force impacting the Earth. It outlines the extensive changes humans have caused, including altering over 75% of land and depleting marine resources. It also examines the interconnectedness of human and natural systems, the challenges of different timescales involved, and societal issues around legitimizing and addressing human impacts on the planet in the Anthropocene.

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Reinhold Leinfelder, HdZ Berlin. Przemiany Festival, Kopernikus, Warszawa, 4. Sept. 2015 Welcome to the Anthropocene! Prof. Dr. Reinhold Leinfelder Haus der Zukunft gGmbH (House of the Future), Berlin Anthropocene Sciences, Freie Universit辰t Berlin Cluster of Excellence Image Knowledge Gestaltung, Berlin Please respect copyright for personal use only, please ask if you want to use slides, thank you!
Reinhold Leinfelder, HdZ Berlin. Przemiany Festival, Kopernikus, Warszawa, 4. Sept. 2015 Martyna Zalatyte, University of the Arts Berlin , (In: A. Hamann, H. Wagenbreth, H. Trischler, R. Leinfelder, 2014 Geology of Mankind The Anthropocene We live in the Anthropocene Paul Crutzen
Reinhold Leinfelder, HdZ Berlin. Przemiany Festival, Kopernikus, Warszawa, 4. Sept. 2015 Anthropocene Hypotheses: ≒Humankind has become a geological factor ≒Humans have a very strong imprint on the Earth System in the Anthropocene ≒The Anthropocene is geologically preservable ≒Culture and nature are no longer antagonists Geology of Mankind The Anthropocene Paul Crutzen
Reinhold Leinfelder, HdZ Berlin. Przemiany Festival, Kopernikus, Warszawa, 4. Sept. 2015 Challenge 1. The extent of change Reinhold Leinfelder, HdZ Berlin. Przemiany Festival, Kopernikus, Warszawa, 4. Sept..2015
Reinhold Leinfelder, HdZ Berlin. Przemiany Festival, Kopernikus, Warszawa, 4. Sept. 2015 only 23% of land surface pristine nature only 11% photosynth. primary production in pristine nature Challenge 1. The extent of change
Reinhold Leinfelder, HdZ Berlin. Przemiany Festival, Kopernikus, Warszawa, 4. Sept. 2015 ≒ 77% of (ice-free) land surface not pristine any longer ≒ >> 50% of freshwater used / managed by humans ≒ 60-80% overfishing world wide (FAO), ≒ 100 -1000 x higher extinction rate of animals and plants than natural ≒ Biomass of humans and its domestic animals amounts to 90% of biomass of all living mammals ≒ Increase of energy consumption since 1900: > x 16 ≒ Highest atmospheric CO2 and CH4-concentrations since >>800.000 years. ≒ NOx und SO2-emissions now higher than natural sources ≒ Mean erosion rate 10-30x higher than average of last 500 million years) Changed pristine Challenge 1. The extent of change
Reinhold Leinfelder, HdZ Berlin. Przemiany Festival, Kopernikus, Warszawa, 4. Sept. 2015 Syvitski & Kettner 2011
Reinhold Leinfelder, HdZ Berlin. Przemiany Festival, Kopernikus, Warszawa, 4. Sept. 2015 Sediments reaching the Mississippi River delta have declined significantly since 1700 due to dams and levees. Challenge 1. The extent of change
Reinhold Leinfelder, HdZ Berlin. Przemiany Festival, Kopernikus, Warszawa, 4. Sept. 2015
Reinhold Leinfelder, HdZ Berlin. Przemiany Festival, Kopernikus, Warszawa, 4. Sept. 2015 (UNEP) (image: Pravda)
Reinhold Leinfelder, HdZ Berlin. Przemiany Festival, Kopernikus, Warszawa, 4. Sept. 2015 Strongly increased local sea level rise Syvitski & Kettner 2011 Bangkok New Orleans Calcutta etc Shanghai Challenge 1. The extent of change
Reinhold Leinfelder, HdZ Berlin. Przemiany Festival, Kopernikus, Warszawa, 4. Sept. 2015 Use of the Oceans The Ocean as source and infrastructure ≒ Food from the sea: fisheries and aquaculture ≒ Energy from the sea: from fossil to renewable ≒ Resources from the sea ≒ Marine ecosystem services, e.g. genetic resources ≒ Traffic: Shipping and trade from: Hamann et al 2014a Based on WBGU 2013 Challenge 1. The extent of change
Reinhold Leinfelder, HdZ Berlin. Przemiany Festival, Kopernikus, Warszawa, 4. Sept. 2015 Use of the Oceans The Ocean as sinkhole ≒ Food from the sea: fisheries and aquaculture ≒ Energy from the sea: from fossil to renewable ≒ Resources from the sea ≒ Marine ecosystem services, e.g. genetic resources ≒ Traffic: Shipping and trade ≒ Oceans as a dump and sink for waste of all kind Based on WBGU 2013 from: Hamann et al 2014a Challenge 1. The extent of change
Reinhold Leinfelder, HdZ Berlin. Przemiany Festival, Kopernikus, Warszawa, 4. Sept. 2015 Use of the Oceans Threats to the Oceans The ocean as patient ≒ Warming ≒ Sea-level rise ≒ CO2-input and acidification ≒ Dead zones ≒ Pollution (nutrients, toxic substances, plastic), oil spills ≒ Overfishing ≒ Ecosystem destruction, loss of biodiversity (e.g. coral reefs) ≒ Attention to interactions synergistic impacts The oceans have arrived in the anthropocene Based on WBGU 2013 Challenge 1. The extent of change
Reinhold Leinfelder, HdZ Berlin. Przemiany Festival, Kopernikus, Warszawa, 4. Sept. 2015 http://www.sueddeutsche.de/wissen/umweltschutz-als-kunst-ueber鍖schung-der-meere-1.1169440 Challenge 1. The extent of change Reinhold Leinfelder, HdZ Berlin. Przemiany Festival, Kopernikus, Warszawa, 4. Sept. 2015
Reinhold Leinfelder, HdZ Berlin. Przemiany Festival, Kopernikus, Warszawa, 4. Sept. 2015 No simple solutions possible. Aquaculture often increases fishing pressure http://www.sueddeutsche.de/wissen/umweltschutz-als-kunst-ueber鍖schung-der-meere-1.1169440 Challenge 1. The extent of change Reinhold Leinfelder, HdZ Berlin. Przemiany Festival, Kopernikus, Warszawa, 4. Sept. 2015
Reinhold Leinfelder, HdZ Berlin. Przemiany Festival, Kopernikus, Warszawa, 4. Sept. 2015 http://visual.ly/most-dangerous-species-mediterranean The Most Dangerous Species in the Mediterranean 400 600 y 1000s y 30 y 300-500 y 25-30 y 4 weeks 200-500 y 30-60 y 10 y 450 y 300 y 100s y toxic, variable 10 y 20-30 y 5 y 1000s y 25 y Reinhold Leinfelder, HdZ Berlin. Przemiany Festival, Kopernikus, Warszawa, 4. Sept. 2015
Reinhold Leinfelder, HdZ Berlin. Przemiany Festival, Kopernikus, Warszawa, 4. Sept. 2015 Sketch R.Leinfelder 44% of all sea bird species unintentionally swallow plastic 280 Mio t/year(2011), incl. 75-80 Mio t/y packaging Ca. 4,8-12,7 Mio t/y into seas Ca. 4% 18% from 鍖sheries 80% of ocean litter is plastic >1900 micro鍖bres per wash virgin pellets Microbeads from cosmetics Tracking plastics
Reinhold Leinfelder, HdZ Berlin. Przemiany Festival, Kopernikus, Warszawa, 4. Sept. 2015 A Global Map of Human Impact on Marine Ecosystems Benjamin S. Halpern et al. Science 319, 948 (2008); DOI: 10.1126/science.1149345 cumulative anthropogenic effects in the oceans Challenge 1. The extent of change
Reinhold Leinfelder, HdZ Berlin. Przemiany Festival, Kopernikus, Warszawa, 4. Sept. 2015 Challenge 2: Understanding Systemic Interactions and the One-System-Fact Source: Rockstr旦m et al., Nature, 24. Sept. 2009 1. State of Planet Chem. Pollution, incl. plastics, not yet quantified ? Change of land use Phosphorus cycle Nitrogen cycle Ocean acidification Climate change Biodiversity loss Atmosph. aerosoe loadig (not yet quantified) Stratospheric ozone depletion Global freshwater use
Reinhold Leinfelder, HdZ Berlin. Przemiany Festival, Kopernikus, Warszawa, 4. Sept. 2015 Cosmic evolution Biological evolution Human evolution Cultural time scale Industrial time scale Individual time scale Challenge 3: Understanding Time-Related Problems
Reinhold Leinfelder, HdZ Berlin. Przemiany Festival, Kopernikus, Warszawa, 4. Sept. 2015 Steffen et al 2015 The Great Acceleration; since ca.1950 Challenge 3: Understanding Time-Related Problems Atmospheric gases Climate change effects Ocean structure Ecosystems and biodiversity
Reinhold Leinfelder, HdZ Berlin. Przemiany Festival, Kopernikus, Warszawa, 4. Sept. 2015 Steffen et al 2015 The Great Acceleration; since ca.1950 Challenge 3: Understanding Time-Related Problems Population and economy Cities, Energy, Fertilizers Land and water use Infrastructures, communication, tourism
Reinhold Leinfelder, HdZ Berlin. Przemiany Festival, Kopernikus, Warszawa, 4. Sept. 2015 The Tipping Point Problem Challenge 3: Understanding Time-Related Problems New York 2012 anthropogenic vs. natural??
Legitimization Justice Life Style and Ethics New solutions From Hamann, Zea- Schmidt, Leinfelder 2013 Challenge 4: Understanding societal problems Reinhold Leinfelder, HdZ Berlin. Przemiany Festival, Kopernikus, Warszawa, 4. Sept..2015
Excuse systems: a) Lets wait Lets wait for be/er technologies! Its too late anyhow! Nature is stronger than us and will 鍖x this! Challenge 4: Understanding societal problems Reinhold Leinfelder, HdZ Berlin. Przemiany Festival, Kopernikus, Warszawa, 4. Sept..2015
others will bene鍖t if Id do something I am just one out of 7 billion people, wont make a di鍖erence I would do something but cant decide whats best Personal excuse systems: Challenge 4: Understanding societal problems Reinhold Leinfelder, HdZ Berlin. Przemiany Festival, Kopernikus, Warszawa, 4. Sept..2015
Reinhold Leinfelder, HdZ Berlin. Przemiany Festival, Kopernikus, Warszawa, 4. Sept. 2015Reinhold Leinfelder, HdZ Berlin. Przemiany Festival, Kopernikus, Warszawa, 4. Sept..2015
Reinhold Leinfelder, HdZ Berlin. Przemiany Festival, Kopernikus, Warszawa, 4. Sept. 2015
Reinhold Leinfelder, HdZ Berlin. Przemiany Festival, Kopernikus, Warszawa, 4. Sept. 2015 Exhibition Welcome to the Anthropocene, Deutsches Museum, Munich
Reinhold Leinfelder, HdZ Berlin. Przemiany Festival, Kopernikus, Warszawa, 4. Sept. 2015 From left to right: Reinhold Leinfelder, Paul Crutzen, Christian Schw辰gerl
Reinhold Leinfelder, HdZ Berlin. Przemiany Festival, Kopernikus, Warszawa, 4. Sept. 2015 Different Aspects of the Anthropocene-Concept
Reinhold Leinfelder, HdZ Berlin. Przemiany Festival, Kopernikus, Warszawa, 4. Sept. 2015 Possible geological definitions 1800 1945/50 Late Pleistocene Neolithic Revolution 1610 Aus Ruddiman et al. 2015, Science
Reinhold Leinfelder, HdZ Berlin. Przemiany Festival, Kopernikus, Warszawa, 4. Sept. 2015 Design Class University of Arts Berlin for Deutsches Museum (A. Hamann/ R. Leinfelder / H. Trischler / H. Wagenbreth 2014 )
Reinhold Leinfelder, HdZ Berlin. Przemiany Festival, Kopernikus, Warszawa, 4. Sept. 2015 for internal use only 2014
Reinhold Leinfelder, HdZ Berlin. Przemiany Festival, Kopernikus, Warszawa, 4. Sept. 2015 AWG-majority presently for 1945/50-Boundary 36 2014 (online 鍖rst)
Reinhold Leinfelder, HdZ Berlin. Przemiany Festival, Kopernikus, Warszawa, 4. Sept. 2015 Zalasiewicz et al (2015) (Colonization paper), AR
Reinhold Leinfelder, HdZ Berlin. Przemiany Festival, Kopernikus, Warszawa, 4. Sept. 2015 Different Aspects of the Anthropocene-Concept
All resources are produced by nature From Hamann, Zea- Schmidt, Leinfelder 2013 Living with Earth History We use them like hunters and gatherers Reinhold Leinfelder, HdZ Berlin. Przemiany Festival, Kopernikus, Warszawa, 4. Sept..2015
From: The Atlas of Economic Complexity: Visualizing Global Economic Growth Electronics Machinery Aircraft Boilers Ships Metal Products Constr.Mat.&Equipm. Home&Office Pulp&Paper Chemicals&Health Agrochemicals Other Chemicals Inorg.Salts&Acids Petrochemicals Leather Milk&Cheese Animal Fibres Meat&Eggs Fish&Seafood Tropical Agricult. Cereals&Vegs Cotton/Rice/Soy/etc Tobacco Fruit Misc.Agriculture Not Classified Textile&Fabrics Garments Food Processing Beer/Spirits/Cigs Precious Stones Coal Oil Mining We depend on biological and geological resources produced during the History of the Earth Reinhold Leinfelder, HdZ Berlin. Przemiany Festival, Kopernikus, Warszawa, 4. Sept..2015
Reinhold Leinfelder, HdZ Berlin. Przemiany Festival, Kopernikus, Warszawa, 4. Sept. 2015 An Interdisciplinary Laboratory Anthroposphere atmosphere hydrosphere biosphere pedosphere lithosphere Resources industrial energy agro building chemical metallic mineral animal plant Resource Consumption Areas Food mobility cons.goods buildings infrastruct. energy production processing transport marketing cooking eating Human supply type diet type household global local fast food slow food all-season seasonal catering self- catering omniv. red meat flexitarian pescetar. poultry insects veggie ovo-lacto pudding veggie vegan fruitarian single flat-share family Kitchen static elements mobile tools equipm. furniture food cleaning energy draft J. Kirstein BWG, modified System Earth 息 Anthropocene-Kitchen Project @BWG. Humboldt-University Berlin
Reinhold Leinfelder, HdZ Berlin. Przemiany Festival, Kopernikus, Warszawa, 4. Sept. 2015 Homosapiensas hunerandgatherer www.lechrain-geschichte.de/VFG_Steinzeit-Alt.html Cartoons from: Hamann et al., 2014. Pleistocene Holocene ca 5-10 Million people worldwide? Stone Age
Reinhold Leinfelder, HdZ Berlin. Przemiany Festival, Kopernikus, Warszawa, 4. Sept. 2015 Homosapiensas hunerandgatherer www.lechrain-geschichte.de/VFG_Steinzeit-Alt.html Neolithic Revolution agriculture, farming, craftmanship, cities, trade, infrastructures. etc. IPCC 4th AR 2007 Holocene Homosapiensas hunerandgatherer Holocene Cartoons from: Hamann et al. 2014 Neolithicum
Reinhold Leinfelder, HdZ Berlin. Przemiany Festival, Kopernikus, Warszawa, 4. Sept. 2015 www.lechrain-geschichte.de/VFG_Steinzeit-Alt.html IPCC 4th AR 2007 Homosapiensas hunerandgatherer Holocene Industrial Revolution Holocene Anthropocene Holocene Neolithic Revolution Cartoons from: Hamann et al., 2014
Reinhold Leinfelder, HdZ Berlin. Przemiany Festival, Kopernikus, Warszawa, 4. Sept. 2015 www.lechrain-geschichte.de/VFG_Steinzeit-Alt.html IPCC 4th AR 2007 Neolithic Revolution Industrial Revolution Homosapiensas hunerandgatherer Holocene Holocene Anthropocene Holocene Anthropocenic Revolution ?? Registered damages 1980 today ?
Reinhold Leinfelder, HdZ Berlin. Przemiany Festival, Kopernikus, Warszawa, 4. Sept. 2015 46 際際滷 provided by Will Steffen
Reinhold Leinfelder, HdZ Berlin. Przemiany Festival, Kopernikus, Warszawa, 4. Sept. 2015 際際滷 provided by Will SteffenCartoon from: Hamann et al., 2014
Reinhold Leinfelder, HdZ Berlin. Przemiany Festival, Kopernikus, Warszawa, 4. Sept. 2015 Various Learning Types: Bolstering from History Type Vision: better future, changing values Abolishion of Slavery, EU-Integration Type Crisis: Experiences with hunger- and developmental crises Green Revolution, Structural Adaptation Programs Type Knowledge: Research results, precaution principle Protection of ozone layer Type Technology: massive spread of technical innovation Steam engine, IT-revolution Cartoons from: Hamann et al.:, 2014 Sludgy fruits Anti-sludge gene Preservable fruits
Reinhold Leinfelder, HdZ Berlin. Przemiany Festival, Kopernikus, Warszawa, 4. Sept. 2015 So how to design the future? Even the future was better back then Karl Valentin
Reinhold Leinfelder, HdZ Berlin. Przemiany Festival, Kopernikus, Warszawa, 4. Sept. 2015 So how to design the future? Even the future was better back then Karl Valentin not
Based on Leinfelder 2011, 2012 Necessity for Discourse and Participation Reinhold Leinfelder, HdZ Berlin. Przemiany Festival, Kopernikus, Warszawa, 4. Sept. 2015
A new communication forum The Haus der Zukunft (House of the Future), Berlin Visualise to make future options understandable, imaginable, negotiable liquid exhibition Lets make things transparent, discuss, criticise, debate, deliver input, negotiate, participate! Event and conference venue Try, experience, test, play your part, participate! Special exhibitions and reality lab Reinhold Leinfelder, HdZ Berlin. Przemiany Festival, Kopernikus, Warszawa, 4. Sept..2015
≒Is the future designable? ≒How do science, industry and politics, design the future? ≒How can we design ourselves? ≒How do we want to live? 1. Ask key questions Futures Probabilities Possibilities Desirabilities Reinhold Leinfelder, HdZ Berlin. Przemiany Festival, Kopernikus, Warszawa, 4. Sept. 2015
Reinhold Leinfelder, HdZ Berlin. Przemiany Festival, Kopernikus, Warszawa, 4. Sept. 2015 health 2. Unravel connectedness in the Anthropocene oceans resources biodiversity climate change mobility robotics land use food energy labour living civilization demographic indigenous knowledge world views values, norms role of arts communication status of science (Neo-)Nature Society & Technology Culture 息 R.Leinfelder, 2014
Reinhold Leinfelder, HdZ Berlin. Przemiany Festival, Kopernikus, Warszawa, 4. Sept. 2015 health oceans resources biodiversity climate change mobility robotics land use food energy labour living civilization demographic indigenous knowledge world views values, norms role of arts communication status of science (Neo-)Nature Society & Technology Culture 2. Unravel connectedness in the Anthropocene 息 R.Leinfelder, 2014
3. Develop and negotiate visions Reinhold Leinfelder, HdZ Berlin. Przemiany Festival, Kopernikus, Warszawa, 4. Sept. 2015 息 R.Leinfelder, 2014
Reinhold Leinfelder, HdZ Berlin. Przemiany Festival, Kopernikus, Warszawa, 4. Sept. 2015 3. Develop and negotiate visions 息 R.Leinfelder, 2014
derzeit Hightech: Focus efficiency collapse: BAU Reactive: ex-post 息 Leinfelder, 2013; 2014 Bioadaptive: ecological Consistency Nutrition Reinhold Leinfelder, HdZ Berlin. Przemiany Festival, Kopernikus, Warszawa, 4. Sept. 2015 3. Develop and negotiate visions
Reinhold Leinfelder, HdZ Berlin. Przemiany Festival, Kopernikus, Warszawa, 4. Sept. 2015 Hightech: Collapse: Reactive: 息 Leinfelder, 2013; 2014 Consistency, bio-adaptive: Energy for the Future CCS, Fracking?, Solar Radiation Management?? Less heating, bicycles, woolen sweater, insulation etc. Solar, wind, Geothermy, Biofuels?, BioCCS Nuclear fusion, CCU, smart grids, Higher ef鍖ciencies + 4-6属 3. Develop and negotiate visions
Reinhold Leinfelder, HdZ Berlin. Przemiany Festival, Kopernikus, Warszawa, 4. Sept. 2015 60 CCU: Carbon Capture and Usage: e.g. fertilisers, plastic, pharmaceutics, paint, laquers, construction materials, industrial processes(e.g.. Power to Gas)
Reinhold Leinfelder, HdZ Berlin. Przemiany Festival, Kopernikus, Warszawa, 4. Sept. 2015 Hightech: Collapse: Reactive: 息 Leinfelder, 2013; 2014 Bioadaptive: Medicine for the future Antibiotics, pain killers, Chemotherapy etc. Nature medicine, Relaxation, meditation etc. Sports, proactive medicine, Self-tracking Apps Evolutionary medicine DNA-Tests Electronic prosthetics Supporting robotics etc. Dominance of resistances 3. Develop and negotiate visions
Reinhold Leinfelder, HdZ Berlin. Przemiany Festival, Kopernikus, Warszawa, 4. Sept. 2015 Living
Reinhold Leinfelder, HdZ Berlin. Przemiany Festival, Kopernikus, Warszawa, 4. Sept. 2015 ≒Perception of ones own interaction with the Earth System ≒Conscious consumption or non-consumption ≒Self moderation to upper limits ≒Rethinking priorities and status symbols ≒Towards a new global ethos: The glocalised World Society? Every human being determines fairness, justice and the characters of the Globalization by ones own actions 1st. Order Wishes 2nd Order Wishes 4) Trigger reflection
Reinhold Leinfelder, HdZ Berlin. Przemiany Festival, Kopernikus, Warszawa, 4. Sept. 2015 ≒Perception of ones own interaction with the Earth System ≒Conscious consumption or non-consumption ≒Self moderation to upper limits ≒Rethinking priorities and status symbols ≒Towards a new global ethos: The glocalised World Society? Every human being determines fairness, justice and the characters of the Globalization by ones own actions. Prioritize 2nd order wishes over 1st Order wishes 4) Trigger reflection
Reinhold Leinfelder, HdZ Berlin. Przemiany Festival, Kopernikus, Warszawa, 4. Sept. 2015 ≒ Accept, that there is no way back to the Holocene ≒ Live and act as an integrative part of the Earth System ≒ Take on responsability for the future ≒ Design today for the Future (and continuously readjust): knowledge based ≒ To do so learn from history (earth history, human history, cultural history), the Present and the Future (Projections, Models, Scenarios) (transdisciplinary, systemic approach) ≒ Be creative, try out, think beyond limits (but check for externalities) Conclusion: The Anthropocene Concept
Reinhold Leinfelder, HdZ Berlin. Przemiany Festival, Kopernikus, Warszawa, 4. Sept. 2015 錫 Designing a functionable Anthropocene needs to trigger interest for the future create the wish to participate in designing the future emphasise and discuss the role of science, technology, society and esp. creativity for designing the future 錫 re-think and start yourself! Conclusion (2) The Anthropocene Concept 錫 錫
Reinhold Leinfelder, HdZ Berlin. Przemiany Festival, Kopernikus, Warszawa, 4. Sept. 2015 No need for fear! There are options...
Reinhold Leinfelder, HdZ Berlin. Przemiany Festival, Kopernikus, Warszawa, 4. Sept. 2015 ... like this!
Reinhold Leinfelder, HdZ Berlin. Przemiany Festival, Kopernikus, Warszawa, 4. Sept. 2015 Thank you! Contact: director@hdz.berlin www.reinhold-leinfelder.de http://tinyurl.com/anthromilestones www.die-grosse-transformation.de www.hdz.berlin http://hausderzukunft.blogspot.de MattiGalekMarcHennes

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Welcome to the Anthropocene, by Reinhold Leinfelder

  • 1. Reinhold Leinfelder, HdZ Berlin. Przemiany Festival, Kopernikus, Warszawa, 4. Sept. 2015 Welcome to the Anthropocene! Prof. Dr. Reinhold Leinfelder Haus der Zukunft gGmbH (House of the Future), Berlin Anthropocene Sciences, Freie Universit辰t Berlin Cluster of Excellence Image Knowledge Gestaltung, Berlin Please respect copyright for personal use only, please ask if you want to use slides, thank you!
  • 2. Reinhold Leinfelder, HdZ Berlin. Przemiany Festival, Kopernikus, Warszawa, 4. Sept. 2015 Martyna Zalatyte, University of the Arts Berlin , (In: A. Hamann, H. Wagenbreth, H. Trischler, R. Leinfelder, 2014 Geology of Mankind The Anthropocene We live in the Anthropocene Paul Crutzen
  • 3. Reinhold Leinfelder, HdZ Berlin. Przemiany Festival, Kopernikus, Warszawa, 4. Sept. 2015 Anthropocene Hypotheses: ≒Humankind has become a geological factor ≒Humans have a very strong imprint on the Earth System in the Anthropocene ≒The Anthropocene is geologically preservable ≒Culture and nature are no longer antagonists Geology of Mankind The Anthropocene Paul Crutzen
  • 4. Reinhold Leinfelder, HdZ Berlin. Przemiany Festival, Kopernikus, Warszawa, 4. Sept. 2015 Challenge 1. The extent of change Reinhold Leinfelder, HdZ Berlin. Przemiany Festival, Kopernikus, Warszawa, 4. Sept..2015
  • 5. Reinhold Leinfelder, HdZ Berlin. Przemiany Festival, Kopernikus, Warszawa, 4. Sept. 2015 only 23% of land surface pristine nature only 11% photosynth. primary production in pristine nature Challenge 1. The extent of change
  • 6. Reinhold Leinfelder, HdZ Berlin. Przemiany Festival, Kopernikus, Warszawa, 4. Sept. 2015 ≒ 77% of (ice-free) land surface not pristine any longer ≒ >> 50% of freshwater used / managed by humans ≒ 60-80% overfishing world wide (FAO), ≒ 100 -1000 x higher extinction rate of animals and plants than natural ≒ Biomass of humans and its domestic animals amounts to 90% of biomass of all living mammals ≒ Increase of energy consumption since 1900: > x 16 ≒ Highest atmospheric CO2 and CH4-concentrations since >>800.000 years. ≒ NOx und SO2-emissions now higher than natural sources ≒ Mean erosion rate 10-30x higher than average of last 500 million years) Changed pristine Challenge 1. The extent of change
  • 7. Reinhold Leinfelder, HdZ Berlin. Przemiany Festival, Kopernikus, Warszawa, 4. Sept. 2015 Syvitski & Kettner 2011
  • 8. Reinhold Leinfelder, HdZ Berlin. Przemiany Festival, Kopernikus, Warszawa, 4. Sept. 2015 Sediments reaching the Mississippi River delta have declined significantly since 1700 due to dams and levees. Challenge 1. The extent of change
  • 9. Reinhold Leinfelder, HdZ Berlin. Przemiany Festival, Kopernikus, Warszawa, 4. Sept. 2015
  • 10. Reinhold Leinfelder, HdZ Berlin. Przemiany Festival, Kopernikus, Warszawa, 4. Sept. 2015 (UNEP) (image: Pravda)
  • 11. Reinhold Leinfelder, HdZ Berlin. Przemiany Festival, Kopernikus, Warszawa, 4. Sept. 2015 Strongly increased local sea level rise Syvitski & Kettner 2011 Bangkok New Orleans Calcutta etc Shanghai Challenge 1. The extent of change
  • 12. Reinhold Leinfelder, HdZ Berlin. Przemiany Festival, Kopernikus, Warszawa, 4. Sept. 2015 Use of the Oceans The Ocean as source and infrastructure ≒ Food from the sea: fisheries and aquaculture ≒ Energy from the sea: from fossil to renewable ≒ Resources from the sea ≒ Marine ecosystem services, e.g. genetic resources ≒ Traffic: Shipping and trade from: Hamann et al 2014a Based on WBGU 2013 Challenge 1. The extent of change
  • 13. Reinhold Leinfelder, HdZ Berlin. Przemiany Festival, Kopernikus, Warszawa, 4. Sept. 2015 Use of the Oceans The Ocean as sinkhole ≒ Food from the sea: fisheries and aquaculture ≒ Energy from the sea: from fossil to renewable ≒ Resources from the sea ≒ Marine ecosystem services, e.g. genetic resources ≒ Traffic: Shipping and trade ≒ Oceans as a dump and sink for waste of all kind Based on WBGU 2013 from: Hamann et al 2014a Challenge 1. The extent of change
  • 14. Reinhold Leinfelder, HdZ Berlin. Przemiany Festival, Kopernikus, Warszawa, 4. Sept. 2015 Use of the Oceans Threats to the Oceans The ocean as patient ≒ Warming ≒ Sea-level rise ≒ CO2-input and acidification ≒ Dead zones ≒ Pollution (nutrients, toxic substances, plastic), oil spills ≒ Overfishing ≒ Ecosystem destruction, loss of biodiversity (e.g. coral reefs) ≒ Attention to interactions synergistic impacts The oceans have arrived in the anthropocene Based on WBGU 2013 Challenge 1. The extent of change
  • 15. Reinhold Leinfelder, HdZ Berlin. Przemiany Festival, Kopernikus, Warszawa, 4. Sept. 2015 http://www.sueddeutsche.de/wissen/umweltschutz-als-kunst-ueber鍖schung-der-meere-1.1169440 Challenge 1. The extent of change Reinhold Leinfelder, HdZ Berlin. Przemiany Festival, Kopernikus, Warszawa, 4. Sept. 2015
  • 16. Reinhold Leinfelder, HdZ Berlin. Przemiany Festival, Kopernikus, Warszawa, 4. Sept. 2015 No simple solutions possible. Aquaculture often increases fishing pressure http://www.sueddeutsche.de/wissen/umweltschutz-als-kunst-ueber鍖schung-der-meere-1.1169440 Challenge 1. The extent of change Reinhold Leinfelder, HdZ Berlin. Przemiany Festival, Kopernikus, Warszawa, 4. Sept. 2015
  • 17. Reinhold Leinfelder, HdZ Berlin. Przemiany Festival, Kopernikus, Warszawa, 4. Sept. 2015 http://visual.ly/most-dangerous-species-mediterranean The Most Dangerous Species in the Mediterranean 400 600 y 1000s y 30 y 300-500 y 25-30 y 4 weeks 200-500 y 30-60 y 10 y 450 y 300 y 100s y toxic, variable 10 y 20-30 y 5 y 1000s y 25 y Reinhold Leinfelder, HdZ Berlin. Przemiany Festival, Kopernikus, Warszawa, 4. Sept. 2015
  • 18. Reinhold Leinfelder, HdZ Berlin. Przemiany Festival, Kopernikus, Warszawa, 4. Sept. 2015 Sketch R.Leinfelder 44% of all sea bird species unintentionally swallow plastic 280 Mio t/year(2011), incl. 75-80 Mio t/y packaging Ca. 4,8-12,7 Mio t/y into seas Ca. 4% 18% from 鍖sheries 80% of ocean litter is plastic >1900 micro鍖bres per wash virgin pellets Microbeads from cosmetics Tracking plastics
  • 19. Reinhold Leinfelder, HdZ Berlin. Przemiany Festival, Kopernikus, Warszawa, 4. Sept. 2015 A Global Map of Human Impact on Marine Ecosystems Benjamin S. Halpern et al. Science 319, 948 (2008); DOI: 10.1126/science.1149345 cumulative anthropogenic effects in the oceans Challenge 1. The extent of change
  • 20. Reinhold Leinfelder, HdZ Berlin. Przemiany Festival, Kopernikus, Warszawa, 4. Sept. 2015 Challenge 2: Understanding Systemic Interactions and the One-System-Fact Source: Rockstr旦m et al., Nature, 24. Sept. 2009 1. State of Planet Chem. Pollution, incl. plastics, not yet quantified ? Change of land use Phosphorus cycle Nitrogen cycle Ocean acidification Climate change Biodiversity loss Atmosph. aerosoe loadig (not yet quantified) Stratospheric ozone depletion Global freshwater use
  • 21. Reinhold Leinfelder, HdZ Berlin. Przemiany Festival, Kopernikus, Warszawa, 4. Sept. 2015 Cosmic evolution Biological evolution Human evolution Cultural time scale Industrial time scale Individual time scale Challenge 3: Understanding Time-Related Problems
  • 22. Reinhold Leinfelder, HdZ Berlin. Przemiany Festival, Kopernikus, Warszawa, 4. Sept. 2015 Steffen et al 2015 The Great Acceleration; since ca.1950 Challenge 3: Understanding Time-Related Problems Atmospheric gases Climate change effects Ocean structure Ecosystems and biodiversity
  • 23. Reinhold Leinfelder, HdZ Berlin. Przemiany Festival, Kopernikus, Warszawa, 4. Sept. 2015 Steffen et al 2015 The Great Acceleration; since ca.1950 Challenge 3: Understanding Time-Related Problems Population and economy Cities, Energy, Fertilizers Land and water use Infrastructures, communication, tourism
  • 24. Reinhold Leinfelder, HdZ Berlin. Przemiany Festival, Kopernikus, Warszawa, 4. Sept. 2015 The Tipping Point Problem Challenge 3: Understanding Time-Related Problems New York 2012 anthropogenic vs. natural??
  • 25. Legitimization Justice Life Style and Ethics New solutions From Hamann, Zea- Schmidt, Leinfelder 2013 Challenge 4: Understanding societal problems Reinhold Leinfelder, HdZ Berlin. Przemiany Festival, Kopernikus, Warszawa, 4. Sept..2015
  • 26. Excuse systems: a) Lets wait Lets wait for be/er technologies! Its too late anyhow! Nature is stronger than us and will 鍖x this! Challenge 4: Understanding societal problems Reinhold Leinfelder, HdZ Berlin. Przemiany Festival, Kopernikus, Warszawa, 4. Sept..2015
  • 27. others will bene鍖t if Id do something I am just one out of 7 billion people, wont make a di鍖erence I would do something but cant decide whats best Personal excuse systems: Challenge 4: Understanding societal problems Reinhold Leinfelder, HdZ Berlin. Przemiany Festival, Kopernikus, Warszawa, 4. Sept..2015
  • 28. Reinhold Leinfelder, HdZ Berlin. Przemiany Festival, Kopernikus, Warszawa, 4. Sept. 2015Reinhold Leinfelder, HdZ Berlin. Przemiany Festival, Kopernikus, Warszawa, 4. Sept..2015
  • 29. Reinhold Leinfelder, HdZ Berlin. Przemiany Festival, Kopernikus, Warszawa, 4. Sept. 2015
  • 30. Reinhold Leinfelder, HdZ Berlin. Przemiany Festival, Kopernikus, Warszawa, 4. Sept. 2015 Exhibition Welcome to the Anthropocene, Deutsches Museum, Munich
  • 31. Reinhold Leinfelder, HdZ Berlin. Przemiany Festival, Kopernikus, Warszawa, 4. Sept. 2015 From left to right: Reinhold Leinfelder, Paul Crutzen, Christian Schw辰gerl
  • 32. Reinhold Leinfelder, HdZ Berlin. Przemiany Festival, Kopernikus, Warszawa, 4. Sept. 2015 Different Aspects of the Anthropocene-Concept
  • 33. Reinhold Leinfelder, HdZ Berlin. Przemiany Festival, Kopernikus, Warszawa, 4. Sept. 2015 Possible geological definitions 1800 1945/50 Late Pleistocene Neolithic Revolution 1610 Aus Ruddiman et al. 2015, Science
  • 34. Reinhold Leinfelder, HdZ Berlin. Przemiany Festival, Kopernikus, Warszawa, 4. Sept. 2015 Design Class University of Arts Berlin for Deutsches Museum (A. Hamann/ R. Leinfelder / H. Trischler / H. Wagenbreth 2014 )
  • 35. Reinhold Leinfelder, HdZ Berlin. Przemiany Festival, Kopernikus, Warszawa, 4. Sept. 2015 for internal use only 2014
  • 36. Reinhold Leinfelder, HdZ Berlin. Przemiany Festival, Kopernikus, Warszawa, 4. Sept. 2015 AWG-majority presently for 1945/50-Boundary 36 2014 (online 鍖rst)
  • 37. Reinhold Leinfelder, HdZ Berlin. Przemiany Festival, Kopernikus, Warszawa, 4. Sept. 2015 Zalasiewicz et al (2015) (Colonization paper), AR
  • 38. Reinhold Leinfelder, HdZ Berlin. Przemiany Festival, Kopernikus, Warszawa, 4. Sept. 2015 Different Aspects of the Anthropocene-Concept
  • 39. All resources are produced by nature From Hamann, Zea- Schmidt, Leinfelder 2013 Living with Earth History We use them like hunters and gatherers Reinhold Leinfelder, HdZ Berlin. Przemiany Festival, Kopernikus, Warszawa, 4. Sept..2015
  • 40. From: The Atlas of Economic Complexity: Visualizing Global Economic Growth Electronics Machinery Aircraft Boilers Ships Metal Products Constr.Mat.&Equipm. Home&Office Pulp&Paper Chemicals&Health Agrochemicals Other Chemicals Inorg.Salts&Acids Petrochemicals Leather Milk&Cheese Animal Fibres Meat&Eggs Fish&Seafood Tropical Agricult. Cereals&Vegs Cotton/Rice/Soy/etc Tobacco Fruit Misc.Agriculture Not Classified Textile&Fabrics Garments Food Processing Beer/Spirits/Cigs Precious Stones Coal Oil Mining We depend on biological and geological resources produced during the History of the Earth Reinhold Leinfelder, HdZ Berlin. Przemiany Festival, Kopernikus, Warszawa, 4. Sept..2015
  • 41. Reinhold Leinfelder, HdZ Berlin. Przemiany Festival, Kopernikus, Warszawa, 4. Sept. 2015 An Interdisciplinary Laboratory Anthroposphere atmosphere hydrosphere biosphere pedosphere lithosphere Resources industrial energy agro building chemical metallic mineral animal plant Resource Consumption Areas Food mobility cons.goods buildings infrastruct. energy production processing transport marketing cooking eating Human supply type diet type household global local fast food slow food all-season seasonal catering self- catering omniv. red meat flexitarian pescetar. poultry insects veggie ovo-lacto pudding veggie vegan fruitarian single flat-share family Kitchen static elements mobile tools equipm. furniture food cleaning energy draft J. Kirstein BWG, modified System Earth 息 Anthropocene-Kitchen Project @BWG. Humboldt-University Berlin
  • 42. Reinhold Leinfelder, HdZ Berlin. Przemiany Festival, Kopernikus, Warszawa, 4. Sept. 2015 Homosapiensas hunerandgatherer www.lechrain-geschichte.de/VFG_Steinzeit-Alt.html Cartoons from: Hamann et al., 2014. Pleistocene Holocene ca 5-10 Million people worldwide? Stone Age
  • 43. Reinhold Leinfelder, HdZ Berlin. Przemiany Festival, Kopernikus, Warszawa, 4. Sept. 2015 Homosapiensas hunerandgatherer www.lechrain-geschichte.de/VFG_Steinzeit-Alt.html Neolithic Revolution agriculture, farming, craftmanship, cities, trade, infrastructures. etc. IPCC 4th AR 2007 Holocene Homosapiensas hunerandgatherer Holocene Cartoons from: Hamann et al. 2014 Neolithicum
  • 44. Reinhold Leinfelder, HdZ Berlin. Przemiany Festival, Kopernikus, Warszawa, 4. Sept. 2015 www.lechrain-geschichte.de/VFG_Steinzeit-Alt.html IPCC 4th AR 2007 Homosapiensas hunerandgatherer Holocene Industrial Revolution Holocene Anthropocene Holocene Neolithic Revolution Cartoons from: Hamann et al., 2014
  • 45. Reinhold Leinfelder, HdZ Berlin. Przemiany Festival, Kopernikus, Warszawa, 4. Sept. 2015 www.lechrain-geschichte.de/VFG_Steinzeit-Alt.html IPCC 4th AR 2007 Neolithic Revolution Industrial Revolution Homosapiensas hunerandgatherer Holocene Holocene Anthropocene Holocene Anthropocenic Revolution ?? Registered damages 1980 today ?
  • 46. Reinhold Leinfelder, HdZ Berlin. Przemiany Festival, Kopernikus, Warszawa, 4. Sept. 2015 46 際際滷 provided by Will Steffen
  • 47. Reinhold Leinfelder, HdZ Berlin. Przemiany Festival, Kopernikus, Warszawa, 4. Sept. 2015 際際滷 provided by Will SteffenCartoon from: Hamann et al., 2014
  • 48. Reinhold Leinfelder, HdZ Berlin. Przemiany Festival, Kopernikus, Warszawa, 4. Sept. 2015 Various Learning Types: Bolstering from History Type Vision: better future, changing values Abolishion of Slavery, EU-Integration Type Crisis: Experiences with hunger- and developmental crises Green Revolution, Structural Adaptation Programs Type Knowledge: Research results, precaution principle Protection of ozone layer Type Technology: massive spread of technical innovation Steam engine, IT-revolution Cartoons from: Hamann et al.:, 2014 Sludgy fruits Anti-sludge gene Preservable fruits
  • 49. Reinhold Leinfelder, HdZ Berlin. Przemiany Festival, Kopernikus, Warszawa, 4. Sept. 2015 So how to design the future? Even the future was better back then Karl Valentin
  • 50. Reinhold Leinfelder, HdZ Berlin. Przemiany Festival, Kopernikus, Warszawa, 4. Sept. 2015 So how to design the future? Even the future was better back then Karl Valentin not
  • 51. Based on Leinfelder 2011, 2012 Necessity for Discourse and Participation Reinhold Leinfelder, HdZ Berlin. Przemiany Festival, Kopernikus, Warszawa, 4. Sept. 2015
  • 52. A new communication forum The Haus der Zukunft (House of the Future), Berlin Visualise to make future options understandable, imaginable, negotiable liquid exhibition Lets make things transparent, discuss, criticise, debate, deliver input, negotiate, participate! Event and conference venue Try, experience, test, play your part, participate! Special exhibitions and reality lab Reinhold Leinfelder, HdZ Berlin. Przemiany Festival, Kopernikus, Warszawa, 4. Sept..2015
  • 53. ≒Is the future designable? ≒How do science, industry and politics, design the future? ≒How can we design ourselves? ≒How do we want to live? 1. Ask key questions Futures Probabilities Possibilities Desirabilities Reinhold Leinfelder, HdZ Berlin. Przemiany Festival, Kopernikus, Warszawa, 4. Sept. 2015
  • 54. Reinhold Leinfelder, HdZ Berlin. Przemiany Festival, Kopernikus, Warszawa, 4. Sept. 2015 health 2. Unravel connectedness in the Anthropocene oceans resources biodiversity climate change mobility robotics land use food energy labour living civilization demographic indigenous knowledge world views values, norms role of arts communication status of science (Neo-)Nature Society & Technology Culture 息 R.Leinfelder, 2014
  • 55. Reinhold Leinfelder, HdZ Berlin. Przemiany Festival, Kopernikus, Warszawa, 4. Sept. 2015 health oceans resources biodiversity climate change mobility robotics land use food energy labour living civilization demographic indigenous knowledge world views values, norms role of arts communication status of science (Neo-)Nature Society & Technology Culture 2. Unravel connectedness in the Anthropocene 息 R.Leinfelder, 2014
  • 56. 3. Develop and negotiate visions Reinhold Leinfelder, HdZ Berlin. Przemiany Festival, Kopernikus, Warszawa, 4. Sept. 2015 息 R.Leinfelder, 2014
  • 57. Reinhold Leinfelder, HdZ Berlin. Przemiany Festival, Kopernikus, Warszawa, 4. Sept. 2015 3. Develop and negotiate visions 息 R.Leinfelder, 2014
  • 58. derzeit Hightech: Focus efficiency collapse: BAU Reactive: ex-post 息 Leinfelder, 2013; 2014 Bioadaptive: ecological Consistency Nutrition Reinhold Leinfelder, HdZ Berlin. Przemiany Festival, Kopernikus, Warszawa, 4. Sept. 2015 3. Develop and negotiate visions
  • 59. Reinhold Leinfelder, HdZ Berlin. Przemiany Festival, Kopernikus, Warszawa, 4. Sept. 2015 Hightech: Collapse: Reactive: 息 Leinfelder, 2013; 2014 Consistency, bio-adaptive: Energy for the Future CCS, Fracking?, Solar Radiation Management?? Less heating, bicycles, woolen sweater, insulation etc. Solar, wind, Geothermy, Biofuels?, BioCCS Nuclear fusion, CCU, smart grids, Higher ef鍖ciencies + 4-6属 3. Develop and negotiate visions
  • 60. Reinhold Leinfelder, HdZ Berlin. Przemiany Festival, Kopernikus, Warszawa, 4. Sept. 2015 60 CCU: Carbon Capture and Usage: e.g. fertilisers, plastic, pharmaceutics, paint, laquers, construction materials, industrial processes(e.g.. Power to Gas)
  • 61. Reinhold Leinfelder, HdZ Berlin. Przemiany Festival, Kopernikus, Warszawa, 4. Sept. 2015 Hightech: Collapse: Reactive: 息 Leinfelder, 2013; 2014 Bioadaptive: Medicine for the future Antibiotics, pain killers, Chemotherapy etc. Nature medicine, Relaxation, meditation etc. Sports, proactive medicine, Self-tracking Apps Evolutionary medicine DNA-Tests Electronic prosthetics Supporting robotics etc. Dominance of resistances 3. Develop and negotiate visions
  • 62. Reinhold Leinfelder, HdZ Berlin. Przemiany Festival, Kopernikus, Warszawa, 4. Sept. 2015 Living
  • 63. Reinhold Leinfelder, HdZ Berlin. Przemiany Festival, Kopernikus, Warszawa, 4. Sept. 2015 ≒Perception of ones own interaction with the Earth System ≒Conscious consumption or non-consumption ≒Self moderation to upper limits ≒Rethinking priorities and status symbols ≒Towards a new global ethos: The glocalised World Society? Every human being determines fairness, justice and the characters of the Globalization by ones own actions 1st. Order Wishes 2nd Order Wishes 4) Trigger reflection
  • 64. Reinhold Leinfelder, HdZ Berlin. Przemiany Festival, Kopernikus, Warszawa, 4. Sept. 2015 ≒Perception of ones own interaction with the Earth System ≒Conscious consumption or non-consumption ≒Self moderation to upper limits ≒Rethinking priorities and status symbols ≒Towards a new global ethos: The glocalised World Society? Every human being determines fairness, justice and the characters of the Globalization by ones own actions. Prioritize 2nd order wishes over 1st Order wishes 4) Trigger reflection
  • 65. Reinhold Leinfelder, HdZ Berlin. Przemiany Festival, Kopernikus, Warszawa, 4. Sept. 2015 ≒ Accept, that there is no way back to the Holocene ≒ Live and act as an integrative part of the Earth System ≒ Take on responsability for the future ≒ Design today for the Future (and continuously readjust): knowledge based ≒ To do so learn from history (earth history, human history, cultural history), the Present and the Future (Projections, Models, Scenarios) (transdisciplinary, systemic approach) ≒ Be creative, try out, think beyond limits (but check for externalities) Conclusion: The Anthropocene Concept
  • 66. Reinhold Leinfelder, HdZ Berlin. Przemiany Festival, Kopernikus, Warszawa, 4. Sept. 2015 錫 Designing a functionable Anthropocene needs to trigger interest for the future create the wish to participate in designing the future emphasise and discuss the role of science, technology, society and esp. creativity for designing the future 錫 re-think and start yourself! Conclusion (2) The Anthropocene Concept 錫 錫
  • 67. Reinhold Leinfelder, HdZ Berlin. Przemiany Festival, Kopernikus, Warszawa, 4. Sept. 2015 No need for fear! There are options...
  • 68. Reinhold Leinfelder, HdZ Berlin. Przemiany Festival, Kopernikus, Warszawa, 4. Sept. 2015 ... like this!
  • 69. Reinhold Leinfelder, HdZ Berlin. Przemiany Festival, Kopernikus, Warszawa, 4. Sept. 2015 Thank you! Contact: director@hdz.berlin www.reinhold-leinfelder.de http://tinyurl.com/anthromilestones www.die-grosse-transformation.de www.hdz.berlin http://hausderzukunft.blogspot.de MattiGalekMarcHennes