This document summarizes pessimistic and optimistic views on population growth. Pessimists believe population growth will outstrip resources, while optimists believe human ingenuity will solve resource issues. The views of Thomas Malthus and Ester Boserup are discussed. Malthus believed population would be reduced by disaster when it exceeded food supply, while Boserup believed technological improvements would enable increased food production to match population growth.
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Year 7 Geography - Pessimist vs Optimistic Views of Population
2. PESSIMIST:
¡°A pessimist sees the difficulty
in every opportunity¡±
(Winston Churchill)
Population pessimists (called
¡°Neo-Malthusians¡±) believe
that population growth will
cause unsustainable pressure
on food and other resources.
3. OPTIMIST:
¡°An optimist sees the
opportunity in every difficulty¡±
(Winston Churchill)
Population optimists (called
¡°Anti- Malthusians¡±) believe
that human ingenuity will
enable us to find solutions to
the resource shortages and
problems caused by population
growth.
4. PESSIMIST:
Thomas Malthus (1766 - 1834)
Core ideas:
? Food growths arithmetically,
population grows exponentially.
? Population will therefore
outstrip food supply.
? Population numbers will be
reduced through disaster (war,
famine and disease) or through
human choice to have fewer
children.
5. Time
Population/
FoodProduction
Population
Food
Production
The Malthusian View of Food
and Population Growth
This graph illustrates the argument of
Malthus.
The point at which population exceeds
food is when disaster (war, famine and
disease) sets in (Malthus called these
¡°positive checks¡±).
If people chose to have fewer children
through later marriage (children were
typically born within marriage in
Malthus¡¯ day), which would reduce the
time window in which women could
have children(called ¡°preventative
checks¡±), population would remain in
balance with food supply.
6. OPTIMIST:
Ester Boserup (1910 - 1999)
Core ideas:
? When population grows and
puts pressure on food supply,
solutions will be found to
increase food supply.
? Technology improvements and
increased area of farmland will
enable this increase.
? Population can continue to
grow without any Malthusian
positive checks.
7. Time
Population/
FoodProduction
Population
Food Production
The Optimist¡¯s View of Food
and Population Growth
This graph illustrates the argument of
Boserup.
When population places pressure on
food supply, agricultural solutions are
found to increase food supply.
Each time population catches up with
food production a new solution is
found to ensure enough food is
available.
8. OPTIMISTS PESSIMISTS
Click on the images above and they will take you to organisations that
have either a positive or negative view of global population growth.