Global Abs 2010

May 14, 20100 likes262 views

This is an updated version of my rating transition research for Structured Finance bonds - to be shown at the forthcoming Global ABS conference in June 2010.

Global SF Bond Downgrades by CRA
200,000

TOTAL S&P Moody's Fitch

176,046

150,000

111,605
100,000

74,674
68,372
64,186
50,000
49,594 50,968
47,510
36,129
30,749
7,992
1,166 2,042
0
1Q07 2Q07 3Q07 4Q07 1Q08 2Q08 3Q08 4Q08 1Q09 2Q09 3Q09 4Q09 1Q10
(Since January 2007 - Source: Bloomberg / RATT function) Copyright ? 2010 Markus Krebsz, All rights reserved.

Regional problem Global impact
200,000
TOTAL Europe US

175,208

150,000

111,239
100,000

74,150
68,073
64,017
50,000
49,160 50,676
47,284
35,837
30,597
7,981
1,161 2,035
0
1Q07 2Q07 3Q07 4Q07 1Q08 2Q08 3Q08 4Q08 1Q09 2Q09 3Q09 4Q09 1Q10
(Since January 2007 - Source: Bloomberg / RATT function) Copyright ? 2010 Markus Krebsz, All rights reserved.

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Global Abs 2010

1. Global SF Bond Downgrades by CRA 200,000 TOTAL S&P Moody's Fitch 176,046 150,000 111,605 100,000 74,674 68,372 64,186 50,000 49,594 50,968 47,510 36,129 30,749 7,992 1,166 2,042 0 1Q07 2Q07 3Q07 4Q07 1Q08 2Q08 3Q08 4Q08 1Q09 2Q09 3Q09 4Q09 1Q10 (Since January 2007 - Source: Bloomberg / RATT function) Copyright ? 2010 Markus Krebsz, All rights reserved.

2. Regional problem Global impact 200,000 TOTAL Europe US 175,208 150,000 111,239 100,000 74,150 68,073 64,017 50,000 49,160 50,676 47,284 35,837 30,597 7,981 1,161 2,035 0 1Q07 2Q07 3Q07 4Q07 1Q08 2Q08 3Q08 4Q08 1Q09 2Q09 3Q09 4Q09 1Q10 (Since January 2007 - Source: Bloomberg / RATT function) Copyright ? 2010 Markus Krebsz, All rights reserved.

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