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MEASURING YOUR
SALES OPPORTUNITY
PIPELINE
DataDrivenSalesManagement.com
Swayne Hill, 2012




                                Copyright Swayne Hill, 2012
Sales Pipeline Growth (Erosion)
                                                       ≒ Benchmark Pipeline + Won = the
                Pipeline Erosion                        average open, current-month sales
                     Curve                              opportunity pipeline for each day in
                                                        the month over the past 6 months
           14
Millions




           12                                          ≒ Benchmark Won = the average
           10                                           month-to-date won business for
            8
                                                        each day in the month over the past
                                                        6 months
            6
            4                                          ≒ Current Pipeline + Won = the actual
            2                                           month-to-date won business + the
                                                        remaining open sales opportunity
           -
                1   6    11       16   21    26   31
                                                        pipeline
                    Benchmark Won                      ≒ Current Won = the actual month-to-
                    Benchmark Pipeline+Won              date won business for the current
                    Current Won                         month
                    Current Pipeline+Won

                                                                          Copyright Swayne Hill, 2012
Sales Pipeline Growth
                                                     ≒ CM-Won = actual won business
                Forward 90-Day                            current month-to-date
                 Sales Pipeline                      ≒   CM-Open = remaining open sales
                    Growth                                opportunity pipeline with close dates
           60                                             in the current month
Millions




                                                     ≒   CM+1 = open sales opportunity
           50
                                                          pipeline with close dates in the next
           40                                             month
                                                     ≒   CM+2 = open sales opportunity
           30
                                                          pipeline with close dates in the
           20                                             month two months from now
                                                     ≒   CM+3 = open sales opportunity
           10
                                                          pipeline with close dates in the
           -                                              month three months from now
                WK1      WK2    WK3    WK4    WK5
                                                     ≒   WKx = week number
           CM-Won     CM-Open   CM+1   CM+2   CM+3


                                                                           Copyright Swayne Hill, 2012
Sales Cycle Friction
         Days-To-Win From                                             ≒ Trailing 6-Month Average =
               Stage                                                   average # of days is takes
                              0   20    40   60        80   100 120    to close deals that you
        01-Qualify Prospect                                 88         eventually win, from each
                                                                       stage, over the past 6
     02-Secure Sponsorship                                       96
                                                                       months
   03-Secure DG Preference                                  85


04-Negotiate Business Terms                       60


   05-Negotiate Legal Terms            21


       06-Pending Approval        9



                     Trailing 6-Month Average


                                                                                    Copyright Swayne Hill, 2012
Sales Cycle Friction
      Days-in-Stage Trend                               ≒ CM-n, Stage x = the
120
                                                         trailing 6-months
100                                                      average on number of
 80
                                                         days it takes to move
                                                         an opportunity to close/
 60
                                                         won for all
 40
                                                         opportunities
 20                                                      eventually won (i.e.,
  0
                                                         this excludes close/lost
                                                         and opps still open)
      CM-6   CM-5       CM-4    CM-3     CM-2    CM-1

              Stage 1      Stage 2     Stage 3
              Stage 4      Stage 5     Stage 6


                                                                     Copyright Swayne Hill, 2012
Sales Cycle Friction
          Stage-to-Stage                               ≒ CM-n, Stage x = the
           Conversion                                     trailing 6-months
120%                                                      average on
100%                                                      opportunities that
80%
                                                          advance forward from
                                                          that stage
60%

                                                       ≒ Notice the dramatic
                                                          downward trend in
40%


20%
                                                          sales opportunities
 0%
       CM-6   CM-5      CM-4   CM-3     CM-2    CM-1
                                                          moving forward from
              Stage 1     Stage 2     Stage 3             Stage 4
              Stage 4     Stage 5     Stage 6


                                                                    Copyright Swayne Hill, 2012
Risk Categories




                  Copyright Swayne Hill, 2012
Stage Movement Risk




                      Copyright Swayne Hill, 2012
MEASURING YOUR
SALES OPPORTUNITY
PIPELINE
DataDrivenSalesManagement.com
Swayne Hill, 2012




                                Copyright Swayne Hill, 2012
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Measuring Your Sales Opportunity Pipeline

  • 2. Sales Pipeline Growth (Erosion) ≒ Benchmark Pipeline + Won = the Pipeline Erosion average open, current-month sales Curve opportunity pipeline for each day in the month over the past 6 months 14 Millions 12 ≒ Benchmark Won = the average 10 month-to-date won business for 8 each day in the month over the past 6 months 6 4 ≒ Current Pipeline + Won = the actual 2 month-to-date won business + the remaining open sales opportunity - 1 6 11 16 21 26 31 pipeline Benchmark Won ≒ Current Won = the actual month-to- Benchmark Pipeline+Won date won business for the current Current Won month Current Pipeline+Won Copyright Swayne Hill, 2012
  • 3. Sales Pipeline Growth ≒ CM-Won = actual won business Forward 90-Day current month-to-date Sales Pipeline ≒ CM-Open = remaining open sales Growth opportunity pipeline with close dates 60 in the current month Millions ≒ CM+1 = open sales opportunity 50 pipeline with close dates in the next 40 month ≒ CM+2 = open sales opportunity 30 pipeline with close dates in the 20 month two months from now ≒ CM+3 = open sales opportunity 10 pipeline with close dates in the - month three months from now WK1 WK2 WK3 WK4 WK5 ≒ WKx = week number CM-Won CM-Open CM+1 CM+2 CM+3 Copyright Swayne Hill, 2012
  • 4. Sales Cycle Friction Days-To-Win From ≒ Trailing 6-Month Average = Stage average # of days is takes 0 20 40 60 80 100 120 to close deals that you 01-Qualify Prospect 88 eventually win, from each stage, over the past 6 02-Secure Sponsorship 96 months 03-Secure DG Preference 85 04-Negotiate Business Terms 60 05-Negotiate Legal Terms 21 06-Pending Approval 9 Trailing 6-Month Average Copyright Swayne Hill, 2012
  • 5. Sales Cycle Friction Days-in-Stage Trend ≒ CM-n, Stage x = the 120 trailing 6-months 100 average on number of 80 days it takes to move an opportunity to close/ 60 won for all 40 opportunities 20 eventually won (i.e., 0 this excludes close/lost and opps still open) CM-6 CM-5 CM-4 CM-3 CM-2 CM-1 Stage 1 Stage 2 Stage 3 Stage 4 Stage 5 Stage 6 Copyright Swayne Hill, 2012
  • 6. Sales Cycle Friction Stage-to-Stage ≒ CM-n, Stage x = the Conversion trailing 6-months 120% average on 100% opportunities that 80% advance forward from that stage 60% ≒ Notice the dramatic downward trend in 40% 20% sales opportunities 0% CM-6 CM-5 CM-4 CM-3 CM-2 CM-1 moving forward from Stage 1 Stage 2 Stage 3 Stage 4 Stage 4 Stage 5 Stage 6 Copyright Swayne Hill, 2012
  • 7. Risk Categories Copyright Swayne Hill, 2012
  • 8. Stage Movement Risk Copyright Swayne Hill, 2012