2013.6.9 doctor research
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This document outlines 3 scenarios for reducing gas emissions from passenger cars in Indonesia through 2030. Scenario 1 calculates the effect of implementing a LCGC policy to eliminate non-Euro passenger cars. Scenario 2 proposes an incentive program for replacing old cars. Scenario 3 examines introducing new vehicle technologies. Key data on the current vehicle stock, emissions factors, and kilometer traveled is from Gaikindo and BPS and is used to estimate emissions under the maximum, average, and minimum kilometer scenarios with and without the LCGC policy through 2030.
2013.6.9 doctor research
- 1. General Calculation for current passenger car in Indonesia LCGC Policy Effect Green Car Enforcement policy: to eliminate Non- Euro Passenger Car Invented technology introduction Hybrid Car & Idle Stop Scenario 1: Calculaiton of LCGC Policy Effect Scenario 2: Incentive Program for old car Scenario 3: New Technology Approach Gas Emission Reducing Scenario
- 2. Scenario 1: Calculation of LCGC Policy Effect Total vehicle per year from manufacture except export car Stock vehicle per year in the market Primary data from Gaikindo Primary data from BPS +- Euro 2 Car Non-Euro 2 Car Vehicle travelled kilometer (Km) X Emission factor Primary data from Odometer reading Max Km Scenario Average Km Scenario Min Km Scenario Current Calculation : ~ 2012 Future estimation : ~ 2030 with LCGC Policy Car Ownership model Low income country model Gompertz Model like China Fleet Average Fuel Economy Oil use Fuel Economy Car LCGC Policy Economic Advantage: GHG Emission Environmental Advantage : Gas Emission Max Km Scenario Average Km Scenario Min Km Scenario