(2015 01-20) '?????, ????? ?????? ??(Forum-X)
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? ?? ?? ?? ¨C ??? ??(Collaborative
Consumption) ??
? ??? ????? SNS ??
- ??? ???? ??? ?? ?? ??
- ???? ???? ?? ???? ??
[???? ?? ?? ??]
? ????? ???? ?? ??? 2013?
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? ??? ? 2.6? ??
? ???? ??? ?? ?? ? 22.3? ??
(ref.) The Sharing Economy ¨C Sizing the Revenue
Opportunity, Pricewaterhousecoopers UK, 2014.](https://image.slidesharecdn.com/2015-01-20-agileinnovationniot-150123213132-conversion-gate02/85/2015-01-20-Forum-X-30-320.jpg)
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(2015 01-20) '?????, ????? ?????? ??(Forum-X)
- 1. ? ? ? ??????????? ?????? ?????, ????? ?????? ?? FORUM-X ???? (2015. 1. 20)
- 5. 2014?? ???¡
- 6. 2014? ???-??? ?? ??? ?? ?? [ ??? ?? ?? ] [ 6? : ????????? ?? ?? ][ 9? : DHL? ?? ???? ?? ?? ] [ ?? ??? ]
- 7. ???? Zero Society & IoT
- 8. ????? ??? ?? ?? [ Global Startup ???? ??(2014. 12)
- 10. ????? On-Off ?? ??
- 12. ????? ??? [??? ??? ?? 30? ??] [??? ??? ?? 23? ??]
- 13. ??? ?? ??? ??? ??/GRG
- 14. ??? ?? ???? ?? Linear Innovation ¡ú Interactive Innovation
- 16. ?? ??? ??? ???? [ ?????? ??? ???? ]
- 17. ?? ??? ??, Made in U.S.A? ??,
- 18. Paradox of Thrift(Keynes) GDP ?? ???? ?? ??? (11%, 1.9? ??) 0 10 20 30 40 50 ?? ?? ?? (34%, 459??) (44%, 229??) Corporate saving in Asia-Japanese and South Korean firms are the world¡¯s biggest cash-hoarders. This hurts their economies, The Economist, 2014. 9. 27.
- 19. ??? ?? (1) Innovation Triggering Technology (???? ??? ??)
- 20. Futurama(Future+Panorama) (?? ???? ???, 1939) ¡û ??????? (Automated Highway System) ?????? ¡ú (Driverless / Self-Driving Cara) Central Power & Light Company (??, 1956~1957)
- 22. ??? ??? ?? = ?? ??? Regulations for Testing of Autonomous Vehicles by Manufacturers
- 23. Col. John Dale in his active-duty days poses with a drone ready for action.
- 25. DARPA(Defence Advanced Research Project Agncey)
- 26. ??? ?? (2) Agile Innovation (????? ??)
- 28. ??? ?? ??? ??? Jonathan Huebner, A possible declining trend for worldwide innovation, Technological Forecasting & Social Change, Vol. 72, 980~986, 2005.
- 29. ???? ??¡ [ ??? ??? ? ] [ FACEBOOK ??? ? ] [ ??-??? ?? ?? ]
- 30. ????? ??? ?? ? ???? ???? ? ?? ?? ?? ¨C ??? ??(Collaborative Consumption) ?? ? ??? ????? SNS ?? - ??? ???? ??? ?? ?? ?? - ???? ???? ?? ???? ?? [???? ?? ?? ??] ? ????? ???? ?? ??? 2013? 2,550? ?? ???? 2025? 6,700? ? ? ??? ? 2.6? ?? ? ???? ??? ?? ?? ? 22.3? ?? (ref.) The Sharing Economy ¨C Sizing the Revenue Opportunity, Pricewaterhousecoopers UK, 2014.
- 31. ????? ??
- 32. The Sharing Economy ¨C Sizing the Revenue Opportunity, Pricewaterhousecoopers UK, 2014.
- 33. Disrupters bring destruction and opportunity, Financial Times, 2014. 12. 30. 2014 Years of Disruption
- 34. ????? ??? ??
- 36. ? ??? ??? ???? ????? ??? ?? ??? ??? ??? ?? ?????? ?? ? ?? ????? ???? ?? ??? ??? ???? ????? ????? ?????(Anti-Capitalism) ??? ???? ?? ? ?? ??? ??? ??? 2050? ??? ??? ??? ??, ?? ??? ????? ?? ??? ??? ?? ? ????? ?? ?????? ??? ???? ?? ?? ? ????? = ???? zero? ?? ???? ?? infrastructure/platform Jeremy Rifkin? ?????? ????
- 37. Jeremy Rifkin ?? ¨C (1) ???? ?? ? Premium Market? ???? ???. ? ???? ??? ?? : ???? ¡ú 360 deals ??(2002?) ? ???? ??? ??? ??? ?? ????. - ? ?? ?? ???? ??? ??? ????? -
- 38. Jeremy Rifkin ?? ¨C (2) ??? ?? ¡±?????? ????? ??? ??? ??? ??? ?? ??? ??? ??? ??, ?? ??? ????? ?? ? ??? ?? ? ? 1? ?? - ???? ???(micro-entrepreneurs) ¨C Uber, Lyft, Sidecar, Task Rabbit ? ???? ??? ??? ??? ??? ???? ????, ??? ??, ???? ??? ???? ??? ???? ??? ? ?? ??? ¨C??????(precariat) ¨C ?????? ?? ?????(precario)? ???????(proletariat)? ?? ?? ?? ???? ????? ?? ¨C ??? ?? ?? ??? ?? ?? ???? ?????, ??? ??? ??? ?? ?? ?? ??? ?? ??? ??? ??? ????? ???? ???? ??? ???? ? ??? ???? ??
- 39. Jeremy Rifkin ?? ¨C (3) ????? ?? ? ? ?? ?? ZERO? ??! ¨C ????(=????) : ?? ? ??? ????? ??? ? ????? ????? ?? ???? ¨C ?? ?? ????(maintenance cost), ???? ¨C ????? ???? ????? ?? ??? ???, ???? ???? ???(??? ?? ?? ?? ?)? ??? ? ??? ? ZERO? ?? ? ?????? ????? ??? ? ????(Parallel Economy)? ???¡
- 40. ?? ????? ???? ?? ? ???? ???? ????? ??? ????? ¨C ????? ???? ??? ????? ???? ?? ?? ???? ??? ?? ¨C (Google, Twitter, Facebook) vs. (Uber, Airbnb ? on-demand ??) ? ??? ??? ¨C ????? ??? ?? ???? ????? ??? ??? ?????, ?????? ?? ?? ? ?? ?? ?? ??? ??? ?? ¨C Uber(other technology company)? e-mail? ???? ???? ??? contact? ??
- 41. ? ???? ?? ¨C ????? ?? ?? ?????? ?? ¨C Airbnb? ????? ??? ???? ??? ??? ???? ???¡ ? ??? ?? ??? ???? ???? ???? ???, ? ??? ??? ????? ???? ??? ?? ??? ? ???? ?? ??? ?? ? ?? ???? ??!
- 43. ?? ?? ??? ?? - M&A ? ??? 2001??? 2014? ????? 159? ??? M&A ? 2001~2011? ? 176? ?? vs. 2012? ?? 100? ?? ??
- 45. ?? ????? ?? ???? ???? ????? ????? ??? ?? ???? (?1? ??) ???? (?2? ??) ???? (?3? ??) ????? (?4? ??) ?? 3000? 18?? 20?? ?? 21?? ?? ?? ??? ??? ???? ??(Trust) ??(Experience) ?? ?? ?? ?, ?? ?? ??? ??? (Connector) ?? ?? ?? ??? ??? ?? ???? ???????? ???? ??? ??? ?? ??? ?? (Material Divide) ??? ?? (Material Divide) ??? ?? (Digital Divide) ?? ?? (Connection Divide) ?? ?? ??? ??? ??? ???
- 46. ?? ???? ?? ??? ??? ??? ?? ? IT?? ??? ?????? ?? ? ??? ?? ? IT?? ?? ??? ?? ??? ?? ??? ?? ? ???? ?? ? ????? ?? ?? ?? ? ??? ?? ??? ??? ???? ?? ?? ? ?????? ?? ??? ?? ??? ?? ??? ?? ?? ??? ?? ? ??? ??? ?? ?? (???? ?? ? ???, ???? ????? ?? ?? ????, ???????? ? ???? ?? ?? ??? ??? ??) ? ??? ????, ?????, ????? ??? ??? ?? ? ?? ??? ????? ?? ??????? ?? ? ????????? ? ???? ???? ??? ??? ?? ? ?????? ????? ??? ??? ?? ? ??? ??? ???? ??? ???? ??? ??? ?? ? ?? ?? ??? ?? ? ????? ??? ??? ??? ?? ? ???? ??????? ???? ???? ??, ??? ?? ?? ??? ???? ?? ? ??? ?? ????, ???? ?? ? ????, ???? ? ????? ???? ??? ?? ?? (Source) 2013 ?????? ???(???????? ??-??????), ???????????, 2014. 1.
- 48. ???? ??? ?? ??? ??.. 1999
- 49. ??? 2015? ???~
Editor's Notes
- #7: ??? ??? ?? ? ?? ??, ??? ?? ??? ??? ??? ?? ??? ??? ??????? ?? ?? ????? ?????? ???? ???? ?? ??? 12km? 30? ?? ?? ????(Juist)? ?? ???? ?? ????? ???? ??? ??, ??? ????? ???? 1,700??? ???? ????? ???? ???? ??? ?? ????? ??? ???? ??? ??? ???? ?? ? ??? ?????? ??????? ??? ?? 2014? 6? ?? ?????(Federal Aviation Administration)? ?? ????? ?????????(BP)?? ???? ????? ??? ?? ??? ??? ????. ????????(AeroVironment)? ??? ?? ??(PUMA)? ??? ??? ???? ??? ?? ??? ????? ???? ???? ? ????? ????? ?? ?? ??? ??
- #10: http://www.bbc.com/news/technology-30691393 Toyota used physicist Michio Kaku to talk about its hydrogen-powered car ????, ????? ?????, ????? ?? Physics of the Future: How Science Will Shape Human Destiny and Our Daily Lives by the Year 2100(2011).
- #12: http://news.donga.com/3/07/20141225/68772670/1 ??? ???
- #14: ????? ?? ?? ecu? ???? CAN(Controller Area?Network) ???? 20?? ??? hacking board? ???? IoT? ??? ???? ??? ?? ??? ?????. MOST ???
- #16: Investigator Program¡¯ ??? 325? ??? ?? ??? ???? 17?? ???. ?? ???? ??? ? ?? ???? ??? 14?? ?? ?? ?? ??? 23.9??? ?? ???? ??, ?? ???? ??? ??? ??? ???? ??? ??? ??? ?? ?? ??? ????? ????? ???. ??? ?? ???? ????? ???? ?? ???? ????. ??? ????????? ? ??? ????? ??? ?? ???? ?? ??? ???? ??? ??? ??? ??? ??? ??? ???? ???? ??? ??? ??? ???? ? ?? ??? ??? ?????. ????? ??? ???? ???? ????? ????? ?????, ???? ???? ??? ???? ?? ??? ??? ??? ??? ???? ? ?? ??? 2002? ???? ??Space X? ??? ?? ???Elon Musk? ?? ?????? ???? ?? ???? ???Dragon? ?? ??? ????. ? ? ??? ???? ?????? ???? ?? ??? ????. ?? ?? ???? ??? ??? ? ??? ??? ???? ??? ?? ? ?? ???? ??? ?? ???? ????. ???? ??? 2016? ?? ???? ??? ??? ????? ??? ??? ??.
- #17: ???? ??? ???? ¨C 17? ??? ?? ????
- #19: Paradox of Thrift(saving)(Keynes, ??? ????)- ??? ?? ?? ??? ??? ???? ?? ???
- #21: ??? ???? ??? ????. ??? ????? ???? ??? ??? ???? ?? ???????? ?????????. ??? ???? ?? ??? ?? ???????? ???????? ??? ?????. ????? ??? ??? ? ?? ???? ??? ???? ?????. ???????? fururama?? ???? General Motors? 1939? ???????? ????? ? ????? ??? ?? ???. ?? ?? ??? ?? ???? ??? ????? ?? ???? ?? ?? ???? ?? ??? ????? ??? ?????. ???? ?? ??? ??? ???? ??? ??? ??? ?? ?? ???? ???? ???? ????, ???? ??? ??? ??? ?? ???? ???? ??? ???? ???? ?????. ? ? ??? ???? ???? ??? Central Power & Light Company?? ??? 1950?? ??? ?? ???? ? ??? ??? ??? ?? ????? ??? ?? ???? ???? ?????.
- #22: ?? ??? ?? ??? ??? ?? ???? ?? ???. "??? ??? ?? ??(ŸoÈË) ???? 'F015 ??????(Luxury in Motion)'? ?? ????." ?? "??? ??? ???? ????. ? ?? ???"?? ?? ??? ??? ??? ???? ???? 180? ????. ???? ??? ?? ?? ?? ?? ?? ???, ???? ??? ??? ??? ??? ???. ?? ??? "21??? ?? ??? ???? ??? ??? ??"??? "???? ??? ?? ??? ?? ????? ???? ????? ? ?"??? ??. [??] ? ??? ?????? ??? ?? ???
- #23: ??? ?????? ??? ?? ????? ????? ? ????? ?? ??? ?? ???? ????? ???? 2014? 5? 19? ??? ¡®????? ????? ??? ??(Regulations for Testing of Autonomous Vehicles by Manufacturers)¡¯? 20014? 9? 16??? ????. ?? ????? ?? ??? ?? ???? ??? ????? ????? ???? ??? ????? ???? ???? ??, ???? ?????? ??? ??? ???? ??? ??, ?? 500? ?? ??? ??? ? ?? ?? ?? ??, ?? ??? ??? ???? ?? ?? ????? ?? ?? ? ??? ?? ???? ????? ??? ?? ? ????? ??, ??, ??? ?? ?? ?? ??? ?? ??. ?? ?? 2014? 10??? ??, ??, ????(Volkswagen Group of America), ??? ???(Tesla Motors), ??(Nissan) ? ??? ????? ???, ??? ?????(Delphi Automotive)? ??(Bosch) ? ?? ??? ???????? ?????? ??? ????. ??? ?? ???? ????? ?? ??? ?? ? ?? ??? ???? ??. ?? ??? ???? ??(autonomous mode)? ¡®???? ?? ?? ??? ????? ???? ?? ?? ????? ???? ??(an autonomous vehicle, that is operated or driven without active physical control by a natural person sitting in the vehicle¡¯s driver¡¯s seat)¡¯, ????? ??? ???? ¡®???? ??? ??? ???? ???? ????? ???? ?? ??? ???? ?? ??? ????? ?? ?? ? ?? ??(a natural person seated in the driver¡¯s seat of an autonomous vehicle, whether the vehicle is in autonomous mode of conventional mode, who possesses the proper class of license for type of vehicle being driven or operated, and is capable of taking over active physical control of the vehicle at any time)?? ????. ??? ???? ??? ??? ?????? ????, ???? ?? ??? ???? ?? ??? ????? ???? ?, ????, ????? ????? ?? ????. ? ??? ?? ??? ???-??? ?????(Driver-Vehicle Interface)? ??? ????? ???? ???? ?, ????, ????? ???? ?? ??? ?????? ???? ??? ?????. ?? ??? ?? ?????? ?? ??? ??? ?????? ????? ??? ??? ???, ????? ???? ??? ????? ??? ??? ??? ?? ??? ??? ??? ??????? ?????? ??? ??? ??? ?? ??? ????? ???? ?? ????.
- #24: ?? ??? ??? ??? ??? ????, ??? ????? ???? ??? ???? ???? UAV? ?????. ??? ???????? ?? ???? ?? ?????? ???? Microsoft??? ??? X-BOX 360??? ?? ?? ????? ?????? ??. ??? ?? ???? ???? ????? ???? ????? ???? ??? ??. ?? ???? ??? ????? ????. ? http://dcourier.com/main.asp?SectionID=1&SubsectionID=1&ArticleID=127487
- #25: ????? (1930? ITER AVTO)
- #26: http://archive.darpa.mil/grandchallenge http://www.theroboticschallenge.org/ http://www.uavforge.net/
- #27: ?? ?? ?? Global Sourcing
- #28: ????????? ??? 18???? 2?? ????? ??(??? ?? ??????? ????1965? ??)
- #30: CISCO? 2017??? 36? ?, ? ? ?? ?? ?? 76? ?? 48% ??? ???? ??? ??? ?? ????? ? 20? 8?? ??? ???? ????? ?? 33? 2? 8?? ?? ???? ??? ??? ??? ?? ? ?? ??? ???? 1? ??? ?? ????? ??-?? ??? 50% ??
- #31: 727? ??
- #34: https://www.pinterest.com/pin/412290540862012984/Disrupters bring destruction and opportunity
- #36: 2014? ???!!! ?? uber ?? robo-taxi ??? ???? ????, ?? ???-?? ????? ?? ??? Google Signs Agreement with NYC Mayor to Replace NYC Taxis With Driverless Google Cabs ¨C ?? ??? ??! Read more:?Google Signs Agreement with NYC Mayor to Replace NYC Taxis With Driverless Google Cabs | Inhabitat New York City?
- #43: http://news.naver.com/main/read.nhn?mode=LSD&mid=shm&sid1=105&oid=308&aid=0000015345 http://biz.heraldcorp.com/common_prog/newsprint.php?ud=20140806000312 ???
- #47: ?? ??? http://www.ciokorea.com/news/20677 ??
- #49: ???? ???? MIT Media Lab? 1999? TTT ???? ? ???? ??? http://www.yes24.com/24/goods/74999?scode=032&OzSrank=3 http://book.interpark.com/product/BookDisplay.do?_method=Detail&sc.prdNo=201621034