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7.2 ESTIMATING μ
WHEN σ IS UNKNOWN
  Chapter 7: Estimation
Page
347



      Usually, when  is unknown,  is unknown as
       well. In such cases, we use the sample
       standard deviation s to approximate .
      A Student's t distribution is used to obtain
       information from samples of populations with
       unknown standard deviation.
       A   Student’s t distribution depends on sample size.
Page
348
  Student’s t Distribution
      The variable t is defined as follows:
       Assume that x has a normal distribution with
       mean μ. For samples of size n with sample
       mean and sample standard deviation s, the t
       variable




       has a Student’s t distribution with degrees
       of freedom d.f. = n – 1
        Each   choice for d.f. gives a different t distribution.
Properties of a Student’s t
Distribution
1.   The distribution is symmetric about the mean 0.
2.   The distribution depends on the degrees of
     freedom.
3.   The distribution is bell-shaped, but has thicker
     tails than the standard normal distribution.
4.   As the degrees of freedom increase, the t
     distribution approaches the standard normal
     distribution.
5.   The area under the entire curve is 1.
                               Figure 7-5
                      A Standard Normal Distribution and
                      Student’s t Distribution with
                      d.f. = 3 and d.f. = 5
Page
349

  Finding Critical Values
      Table 6 of Appendix II gives various t values for
       different degrees of freedom d.f. We will use this
       table to find critical values tc for a c confidence
       level.
      In other words, we want to find tc such that an
       area equal to c under the t distribution for a
       given number of degrees of freedom falls
       between –tc and tc in the language of
       probability, we want to find tc such that
                         P(–tc  t  tc) = c
                      Figure 7-6
                      Area Under the t Curve Between –tc and tc
Finding Critical Values:
 Using Table 6
1.   Find the column with the c heading
2.   Compute the degrees of freedom and find the
     row that contains the d.f.
3.   Match the column and row

 Convention for using Student’s t distribution
 If the d.f. you need are not in the table, use the closest
 d.f. in the table that is smaller.
Page
349
  Example 4 – Student’s t Distribution
       Find the critical value tc for a 0.99 confidence
       level for a t distribution with sample size n = 5.




           Student’s t Distribution Critical Values (Excerpt from Table 6, Appendix II)
                                              Table 7-3


                                                                                   t0.99 = 4.604
Page
350  Confidence Interval for μ when σ is
     Unknown
    Requirements
       Let x be a random variable appropriate to your application. Obtain a
       simple random sample (of size n) of x values from which you compute
       the sample mean and the sample standard deviation s.
       If you can assume that x has a normal distribution or is mound-
       shaped, then any sample size n will work.
       If you cannot assume this, then use a sample size of n ≥ 30.
    Confidence Interval for μ when σ is unknown
     where
       = sample mean of a simple random sample

                                                  d.f. = n – 1
       = confidence level (0 < c < 1)
       = critical value
Not in Textbook!
   How To Construct a Confidence
   Interval
   1.   Check Requirements
           Simple random sample?
           Assumption of normality?
           Sample size?
           Sample mean?
           Sample standard deviation s?
   2.   Compute E
   3.   Construct the interval using
Page
  Example 5 – Confidence
351

  Interval
  
Solution – Confidence Interval





         The archaeologist can be 99% confident that
         the interval from 44.5 cm to 47.8 cm is an
         interval that contains the population mean  for
         shoulder height of this species of miniature
         horse.
Using the Calculator
1.   Hit STAT, tab over TESTS, Choose 8:Tinterval
2.   Highlight STATS, hit ENTER
3.   Enter the requested information
4.   Highlight Calculate, Hit Enter

Note: The solution will be listed in the format
     (lower value, upper value)
Page
353
       Summary: Which Distribution
       Should You Use?
Assignment
   Page 354
   #1, 4 – 7, 11 – 15 odd
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7.2 estimate mu, sigma unknown

  • 1. 7.2 ESTIMATING μ WHEN σ IS UNKNOWN Chapter 7: Estimation
  • 2. Page 347  Usually, when  is unknown,  is unknown as well. In such cases, we use the sample standard deviation s to approximate .  A Student's t distribution is used to obtain information from samples of populations with unknown standard deviation. A Student’s t distribution depends on sample size.
  • 3. Page 348 Student’s t Distribution  The variable t is defined as follows: Assume that x has a normal distribution with mean μ. For samples of size n with sample mean and sample standard deviation s, the t variable has a Student’s t distribution with degrees of freedom d.f. = n – 1  Each choice for d.f. gives a different t distribution.
  • 4. Properties of a Student’s t Distribution 1. The distribution is symmetric about the mean 0. 2. The distribution depends on the degrees of freedom. 3. The distribution is bell-shaped, but has thicker tails than the standard normal distribution. 4. As the degrees of freedom increase, the t distribution approaches the standard normal distribution. 5. The area under the entire curve is 1. Figure 7-5 A Standard Normal Distribution and Student’s t Distribution with d.f. = 3 and d.f. = 5
  • 5. Page 349 Finding Critical Values  Table 6 of Appendix II gives various t values for different degrees of freedom d.f. We will use this table to find critical values tc for a c confidence level.  In other words, we want to find tc such that an area equal to c under the t distribution for a given number of degrees of freedom falls between –tc and tc in the language of probability, we want to find tc such that P(–tc  t  tc) = c Figure 7-6 Area Under the t Curve Between –tc and tc
  • 6. Finding Critical Values: Using Table 6 1. Find the column with the c heading 2. Compute the degrees of freedom and find the row that contains the d.f. 3. Match the column and row Convention for using Student’s t distribution If the d.f. you need are not in the table, use the closest d.f. in the table that is smaller.
  • 7. Page 349 Example 4 – Student’s t Distribution Find the critical value tc for a 0.99 confidence level for a t distribution with sample size n = 5. Student’s t Distribution Critical Values (Excerpt from Table 6, Appendix II) Table 7-3 t0.99 = 4.604
  • 8. Page 350 Confidence Interval for μ when σ is Unknown  Requirements Let x be a random variable appropriate to your application. Obtain a simple random sample (of size n) of x values from which you compute the sample mean and the sample standard deviation s. If you can assume that x has a normal distribution or is mound- shaped, then any sample size n will work. If you cannot assume this, then use a sample size of n ≥ 30.  Confidence Interval for μ when σ is unknown where = sample mean of a simple random sample d.f. = n – 1 = confidence level (0 < c < 1) = critical value
  • 9. Not in Textbook! How To Construct a Confidence Interval 1. Check Requirements  Simple random sample?  Assumption of normality?  Sample size?  Sample mean?  Sample standard deviation s? 2. Compute E 3. Construct the interval using
  • 10. Page Example 5 – Confidence 351 Interval 
  • 11. Solution – Confidence Interval  The archaeologist can be 99% confident that the interval from 44.5 cm to 47.8 cm is an interval that contains the population mean  for shoulder height of this species of miniature horse.
  • 12. Using the Calculator 1. Hit STAT, tab over TESTS, Choose 8:Tinterval 2. Highlight STATS, hit ENTER 3. Enter the requested information 4. Highlight Calculate, Hit Enter Note: The solution will be listed in the format (lower value, upper value)
  • 13. Page 353 Summary: Which Distribution Should You Use?
  • 14. Assignment  Page 354  #1, 4 – 7, 11 – 15 odd