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Air Quality and Climate Change
Mark Chapman
Air Quality & Acoustics Technical Coordinator
2
The scientific evidence is now overwhelming: climate change
presents very serious global risks, and it demands an urgent
global response.
Stern Review, 2006
3
Local Air Quality
UK Air Quality Strategy
 Benzene
 1,3-butadiene
 Carbon monoxide
 Lead
 Nitrogen dioxide
 Ozone
 Particulate Matter (PM10)
 Sulphur dioxide
 Polycyclic Aromatic
Hydrocarbons (PAHs)
UK Air Quality Regulations
 Benzene
 1,3-butadiene
 Carbon monoxide
 Lead
 Nitrogen dioxide
 Nitrogen oxides
 Particulate Matter (PM10)
 Sulphur dioxide
4
Climate Change
What is understood by the term Climate Change?
1. Impact on the Planet
2. Weather
3. Impact on People
4. Uncertainty
5. Things or Events
6. Causes
7. Global Warming
8. Fear
9. Time Context
10.Other
Public Perception of Climate Change
(2006 Risk Communication Study - UWE) 56 Participants in Bristol
Top 10 Themes
 Climate Change is an Environmental Issue 
 Climate Change is an Society Issue
5
The Simplified Greenhouse Effect Explanation
6
The Enhanced Greenhouse Effect
7
Air Quality & Climate Change
Linkages
Climate Change
Main Greenhouse Gases
 Carbon dioxide (CO2)
 Methane (CH4)
 Nitrous oxide (N2O)
 Hydrofluorocarbons (HFCs)
 Perfluorocarbons (PFCs)
 Sulphur hexafluoride (SF6)
 Chlorofluorocarbons (CFCs)
 Hydrochlorofluorocarbons (HCFCs)
Air Quality
Major Indirect Greenhouse Gases
 Carbon Monoxide (CO)
 Nitrogen oxides (NOx)
 Volatile Organic Compounds (VOCs)
e.g. ammonium
Aerosols
 Sulphur dioxide (SO2)  Secondary
Sulphate Particles
 Particulate Matter (PM10) / Nitrate
 Organic Carbon
 Black Carbon (Soot)
8
The Effects of Climate Change on Air Quality
Climate Change is not just about changes in temperature:
 Humidity (Specific)
 Clouds and Precipitation
 Winds
 Others
How might this affect Air Quality?
 Emissions  Temperature dependence
 Transport  Winds
 Chemistry  Temperature and humidity
 Deposition  Precipitation
9
The Effects of Climate Change on Air Quality
Climate Change will increase the probability of local air pollution
events
 Number and strength of summer highs
(The ozone episode of 2003 will be a normal occurrence)
 Number and duration of calm winter days
(The Great London Smog)
 Mean concentrations are likely to remain unchanged
 Higher chance of extreme concentrations
 Likelihood of increased associated mortality rates
10
The Effects of Air Quality on Climate Change
VERY COMPLICATED  VERY LOW SCIENTIFIC UNDERSTANDING
A few examples:
Nitrogen Oxides (NO + NO2)  Fossil Fuel Combustion and Natural Sources
 Reacts to produce ozone  WARMING
 Reacts to produce nitrate aerosol  COOLING
 Reacts to increase methane removal  COOLING
 Overall NET COOLING
Volatile Organic Compounds (VOCs)  Industry and Natural (Major Source)
 Reacts to produce ozone  WARMING
 Reacts to decrease methane removal  WARMING
 Reacts to form organic carbon aerosol  COOLING
 Overall NET ???  Species Dependent : Some have better ozone production efficiency/others dont form
aerosols
Sulphur Dioxide (SO2)  Coal-Fired Power Stations, Shipping and Natural
 Reacts to produce sulphate aerosol  COOLING
11
Climate (or Radiative) Forcing:
Change in the average net radiation at the top of the
troposphere
12
Solutions?
 Energy Conservation and Efficiency Improvements
 Abatement Measures - (Flue-gas desulphurisation, catalytic
converters, particle filters, NOx traps
 Improve air quality, but mostly INCREASE CO2 through
decreased efficiency (getting better  but very costly)
 Removing aerosol precursors can warm climate even further
 Removing black carbon particles cools climate
 Catalytic converters can generate N2O and greater primary
NO2
 Fuel Switching (e.g. Petrol to Diesel)
 Less CO2, but more black carbon (GWP 680)
 Bad for AQ; but NET effect on Climate ???
13
Summary
What can we provide for our Clients to help bridge the Air Quality
Climate Change Gap?
 Traffic Emission Optimisation Recommendation
 Speed
 HGV
 Driving Patterns
 Quantification and Relative Comparison of CO2e
 Abatement Specification and Design Advice
14
Further Details
Mark Chapman
Air Quality & Acoustics Technical Coordinator
Planning & Consultation (1401)
West Hall
Tel: 01932 337 590
Mobile: 07976 344 311
mark.chapman@mouchelparkman.com

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Air Quality and Climate Change Presentation

  • 1. Air Quality and Climate Change Mark Chapman Air Quality & Acoustics Technical Coordinator
  • 2. 2 The scientific evidence is now overwhelming: climate change presents very serious global risks, and it demands an urgent global response. Stern Review, 2006
  • 3. 3 Local Air Quality UK Air Quality Strategy Benzene 1,3-butadiene Carbon monoxide Lead Nitrogen dioxide Ozone Particulate Matter (PM10) Sulphur dioxide Polycyclic Aromatic Hydrocarbons (PAHs) UK Air Quality Regulations Benzene 1,3-butadiene Carbon monoxide Lead Nitrogen dioxide Nitrogen oxides Particulate Matter (PM10) Sulphur dioxide
  • 4. 4 Climate Change What is understood by the term Climate Change? 1. Impact on the Planet 2. Weather 3. Impact on People 4. Uncertainty 5. Things or Events 6. Causes 7. Global Warming 8. Fear 9. Time Context 10.Other Public Perception of Climate Change (2006 Risk Communication Study - UWE) 56 Participants in Bristol Top 10 Themes Climate Change is an Environmental Issue Climate Change is an Society Issue
  • 5. 5 The Simplified Greenhouse Effect Explanation
  • 7. 7 Air Quality & Climate Change Linkages Climate Change Main Greenhouse Gases Carbon dioxide (CO2) Methane (CH4) Nitrous oxide (N2O) Hydrofluorocarbons (HFCs) Perfluorocarbons (PFCs) Sulphur hexafluoride (SF6) Chlorofluorocarbons (CFCs) Hydrochlorofluorocarbons (HCFCs) Air Quality Major Indirect Greenhouse Gases Carbon Monoxide (CO) Nitrogen oxides (NOx) Volatile Organic Compounds (VOCs) e.g. ammonium Aerosols Sulphur dioxide (SO2) Secondary Sulphate Particles Particulate Matter (PM10) / Nitrate Organic Carbon Black Carbon (Soot)
  • 8. 8 The Effects of Climate Change on Air Quality Climate Change is not just about changes in temperature: Humidity (Specific) Clouds and Precipitation Winds Others How might this affect Air Quality? Emissions Temperature dependence Transport Winds Chemistry Temperature and humidity Deposition Precipitation
  • 9. 9 The Effects of Climate Change on Air Quality Climate Change will increase the probability of local air pollution events Number and strength of summer highs (The ozone episode of 2003 will be a normal occurrence) Number and duration of calm winter days (The Great London Smog) Mean concentrations are likely to remain unchanged Higher chance of extreme concentrations Likelihood of increased associated mortality rates
  • 10. 10 The Effects of Air Quality on Climate Change VERY COMPLICATED VERY LOW SCIENTIFIC UNDERSTANDING A few examples: Nitrogen Oxides (NO + NO2) Fossil Fuel Combustion and Natural Sources Reacts to produce ozone WARMING Reacts to produce nitrate aerosol COOLING Reacts to increase methane removal COOLING Overall NET COOLING Volatile Organic Compounds (VOCs) Industry and Natural (Major Source) Reacts to produce ozone WARMING Reacts to decrease methane removal WARMING Reacts to form organic carbon aerosol COOLING Overall NET ??? Species Dependent : Some have better ozone production efficiency/others dont form aerosols Sulphur Dioxide (SO2) Coal-Fired Power Stations, Shipping and Natural Reacts to produce sulphate aerosol COOLING
  • 11. 11 Climate (or Radiative) Forcing: Change in the average net radiation at the top of the troposphere
  • 12. 12 Solutions? Energy Conservation and Efficiency Improvements Abatement Measures - (Flue-gas desulphurisation, catalytic converters, particle filters, NOx traps Improve air quality, but mostly INCREASE CO2 through decreased efficiency (getting better but very costly) Removing aerosol precursors can warm climate even further Removing black carbon particles cools climate Catalytic converters can generate N2O and greater primary NO2 Fuel Switching (e.g. Petrol to Diesel) Less CO2, but more black carbon (GWP 680) Bad for AQ; but NET effect on Climate ???
  • 13. 13 Summary What can we provide for our Clients to help bridge the Air Quality Climate Change Gap? Traffic Emission Optimisation Recommendation Speed HGV Driving Patterns Quantification and Relative Comparison of CO2e Abatement Specification and Design Advice
  • 14. 14 Further Details Mark Chapman Air Quality & Acoustics Technical Coordinator Planning & Consultation (1401) West Hall Tel: 01932 337 590 Mobile: 07976 344 311 mark.chapman@mouchelparkman.com