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black gold
Cato Institute | National Security Implications of New Oil and Gas Production Technologies | May 1, 2015
Auerswald cato black-gold_05-01-15
Auerswald cato black-gold_05-01-15
Auerswald cato black-gold_05-01-15
Auerswald cato black-gold_05-01-15
Auerswald cato black-gold_05-01-15
Solow (1957)
The region which is now threatened by
Soviet troops in Afghanistan is of great
strategic importance: It contains more than
two-thirds of the world's exportable oil
Let our position be absolutely clear: An
attempt by any outside force to gain control of
the Persian Gulf region will be regarded as an
assault on the vital interests of the United
States of America, and such an assault will be
repelled by any means necessary, including
military force.
President Jimmy Carter, January 23, 1980
Auerswald cato black-gold_05-01-15
For the sake of our economy, our security, and
the future of our planet, I will set a clear goal as
dependence on semiconductors from Asia. 
Senator Barack Obama, August 29, 2008
For the sake of our economy, our security, and
the future of our planet, I will set a clear goal as
dependence on potatoes from Canada. 
Senator Barack Obama, August 29, 2008
For the sake of our economy, our security, and
the future of our planet, I will set a clear goal as
dependence on grapes from the Chile. 
Senator Barack Obama, August 29, 2008
For the sake of our economy, our security, and the
future of our planet, I will set a clear goal as
dependence on oil from the Middle East. 
Senator Barack Obama, August 29, 2008
Auerswald cato black-gold_05-01-15
[U.S.] imports have decreased substantially, reducing the
funds we send overseas [and] reducing our vulnerability to
global supply disruption and price shocks.
2015 National Security Strategy of the United States
Spikes in oil prices are correlated with recessions in the
United States 
Gholz, National Security Implications of Unconventional
Oil and Gas Production Technologies, p. 7
Oil
?
!
I am today ordering a freeze on all
prices and wages throughout the
United States for a period of 90 days.
President Richard Nixon, August 15, 1971
Auerswald cato black-gold_05-01-15
Oil Production, Thousand barrels daily, 1977-2013
Iran-Iraq
War
!"
1000"
2000"
3000"
4000"
5000"
6000"
1977"
1979"
1981"
1983"
1985"
1987"
1989"
1991"
1993"
1995"
1997"
1999"
2001"
2003"
2005"
2007"
2009"
2011"
2013"
Canada"
Iran"
Iraq"
Norway"
*
*MEEIMNE
Auerswald cato black-gold_05-01-15
Auerswald cato black-gold_05-01-15
USA
output
inputs
production
recipe
Auerswald cato black-gold_05-01-15
Auerswald cato black-gold_05-01-15
Auerswald cato black-gold_05-01-15
Auerswald cato black-gold_05-01-15
Auerswald cato black-gold_05-01-15
Auerswald cato black-gold_05-01-15
Auerswald cato black-gold_05-01-15
Auerswald cato black-gold_05-01-15
Auerswald cato black-gold_05-01-15
Auerswald cato black-gold_05-01-15
Auerswald cato black-gold_05-01-15
Auerswald cato black-gold_05-01-15
auerswald@gmu.edu | auerswald.org

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Auerswald cato black-gold_05-01-15

  • 1. black gold Cato Institute | National Security Implications of New Oil and Gas Production Technologies | May 1, 2015
  • 8. The region which is now threatened by Soviet troops in Afghanistan is of great strategic importance: It contains more than two-thirds of the world's exportable oil Let our position be absolutely clear: An attempt by any outside force to gain control of the Persian Gulf region will be regarded as an assault on the vital interests of the United States of America, and such an assault will be repelled by any means necessary, including military force. President Jimmy Carter, January 23, 1980
  • 10. For the sake of our economy, our security, and the future of our planet, I will set a clear goal as dependence on semiconductors from Asia. Senator Barack Obama, August 29, 2008
  • 11. For the sake of our economy, our security, and the future of our planet, I will set a clear goal as dependence on potatoes from Canada. Senator Barack Obama, August 29, 2008
  • 12. For the sake of our economy, our security, and the future of our planet, I will set a clear goal as dependence on grapes from the Chile. Senator Barack Obama, August 29, 2008
  • 13. For the sake of our economy, our security, and the future of our planet, I will set a clear goal as dependence on oil from the Middle East. Senator Barack Obama, August 29, 2008
  • 15. [U.S.] imports have decreased substantially, reducing the funds we send overseas [and] reducing our vulnerability to global supply disruption and price shocks. 2015 National Security Strategy of the United States Spikes in oil prices are correlated with recessions in the United States Gholz, National Security Implications of Unconventional Oil and Gas Production Technologies, p. 7
  • 16. Oil ?
  • 17. !
  • 18. I am today ordering a freeze on all prices and wages throughout the United States for a period of 90 days. President Richard Nixon, August 15, 1971
  • 20. Oil Production, Thousand barrels daily, 1977-2013 Iran-Iraq War !" 1000" 2000" 3000" 4000" 5000" 6000" 1977" 1979" 1981" 1983" 1985" 1987" 1989" 1991" 1993" 1995" 1997" 1999" 2001" 2003" 2005" 2007" 2009" 2011" 2013" Canada" Iran" Iraq" Norway" * *MEEIMNE
  • 23. USA