Oceans, Carbon, and the Mother of all Assumptions
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Presentation by Pedro Monteiro at the Inspiring Change Gathering in Cape Town, South Africa on 18 November 2011. www.climatesmartcapetown.co.za/events/inspiringchange
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Oceans, Carbon, and the Mother of all Assumptions
- 1. Pedro MS Monteiro CSIR, Rosebank
- 3. How the Planet Breathes
- 4. Tropical Eastern Domain 2b: Atlantic Tropical Western Indian Domain 3: Southern Oceans Advective and vertical feedbacks to global system Southern African Regional Earth System
- 5. TWO ASSUMPTIONS Natural ocean fluxes of CO2 will remain unchanged We can reduce atmospheric CO2 to 350ppm within a century
- 6. Fate of Global Emissions of CO2 GtC y-1
- 7. Global Carbon Budget (2000-2005) (PgC y-1) Global Carbon Project 2006
- 8. Southern Ocean is the only connection between 38000 GtC Deep Ocean CO2 and atmosphere Rintoul et al., 2009
- 9. Dan Costa, UCSC, USA Are things changing?
- 11. Atmospheric 750 ppm CO2 Lifetime of Fossil Fuel CO2 550 ppm CO2 350 ppm CO2 Land Ocean 275 ppm Biosphere Biosphere CO2 100 1000 10,000 years years years
- 12. Atmospheric 750 ppm CO2 Lifetime of Fossil Fuel CO2 550 ppm CO2 350 ppm CO2 Land Ocean 275 ppm Biosphere Biosphere CO2 100 1000 10,000 years years years
- 14. CAPE TOWN: COSMOPOLITAN SA CENTRE KNOWLEDGE & INNOVATION (CLIMATE CARBON)
- 16. Centre for High Performance Computing: Rosebank SA Agulhas II: in Cape Town April 2012 Centre for Ocean Observations Robotics and Sensor R&D: V&A
- 17. New Generation Scientists and Engineers Imaginative Innovation
- 18. SA - Integrated Carbon Observatory Network (SA-ICON) 3.00 Cape Point CO2 - Cape Town Difference Cape Town CO2 - Background CO2 ppm 2.50 Influence 2.00 1.50 1.00 Cape Town metro pilot 0.50 study Jan-97 Jan-93 Jan-95 Jan-99 Jan-01 Jan-03 Jan-05 Jan-07 Jan-09 Jan-11 Date 0.00
- 19. Tropical Eastern Tropical Atlantic Western Indian Southern Oceans
- 20. V urgent action <450ppm Innovative Development Opportunities Cape Town