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Predicting Technical Aptitude:
Relations between Predictor Variables,
Technical Aptitude and Technical
Training Performance
(O.N.R. Contracts Nr. N00014-10-M-0087 & N00014-10-C-0505)
Ryan Glaze & Martin J. Ippel
CogniMetrics, Inc., San Antonio, TX
1
Paper presented at the 53rd Annual Conference of the
International Military Testing Association, Bali (Indonesia).
October 31  November 4, 2011
Preview
 Analysis I
 Overview of ASVAB and Technical Knowledge Tests
 Introduction to Technical Aptitude
 Proposed Model
 Methods, Results, and Discussion
 Analysis II
 Incremental Validity Analysis Predicting Technical Aptitude
with ASVAB Selection Composites and the ITAB
 Methods, Results, and Discussion
2
ASVAB
 US Armed Forces must select, classify, and train
personnel to work in highly technical work
environment
 ASVAB and Technical Knowledge Subtests used for
technical Navy Ratings
 General Science (GS)
 Mechanical Comprehension (MC)
 Auto Shop (AS)
 Electrical Information (EI)
3
Technical Knowledge Subtests
 Technical Knowledge Subtests have several
limitations:
 Represent arbitrary and limited sample of domain
 Measures Technical Knowledge but not Technical
Skills
 Provide modest predictive validity
4
Technical Aptitude
 Technical Aptitude (Ippel & Glaze, 2011)
 Technical Knowledge Aptitude (TKA)
 Aptitude to learn technical knowledge (concepts)
 Derived from performance on eight common knowledge tests
 Technical Skill Aptitude (TSA)
 Aptitude to learn technical skills
 Derived from performance on seven common skill tests
5
Technical Aptitude
 Technical Aptitude (TA)
 Represents a construct with a short logical
distance to criterion performance in Apprentice
Technical Training (ATT) performance
 Will be used to assess construct validity of TK
subtests
6
7
GS
Post-Test
Analysis I
8
Post-Test
GS
Technical
Aptitude
9
Technical
Aptitude
AFQT
GS
Post-Test
10
Technical
Aptitude
AFQT
GS MC AS EI
Post-Test
11
Technical
Aptitude
AFQT
GS MC AS EI
Post-Test
12
Technical
Aptitude
AFQT
GS MC AS EI
Post-Test
13
Technical
Aptitude
AFQT
GS MC AS EI
Post-Test
14
Technical
Aptitude
AFQT
GS MC AS EI
Post-Test
15
Technical
Aptitude
AFQT
GS MC AS EI
Post-Test
Method
 410 Navy Recruits participating in A.T.T. program
 ASVAB
 TK Subtests: GS, MC, AS, EI
 AFQT
 Considered a measure of crystallized intelligence
 A.T.T. post-training test scores
 Eight common knowledge tests
 Seven common skill tests
 Dichotomously scored (Pass/Fail with 70 point cut score)
16
Method
 Technical Knowledge Aptitude
 IRT-based ability estimate derived from common
eight knowledge tests
 Technical Skill Aptitude
 IRT-based ability estimate derived from common
seven skill tests
17
Results: First Knowledge Test
18
RMSEA = 0.000
PClose = 0.886
WRMR = 0.040
Technical
Aptitude
AFQT
GS MC AS EI
Post-Test
Technical
Aptitude
AFQT
GS MC AS EI
Post-Test
Results: First Knowledge Test
19
.508*
.316*
.189*
.226*
.084
.352*
Results: First Knowledge Test
20
Technical
Aptitude
AFQT
GS MC AS EI
Post-Test
.137.130
.175
.530*
Results: First Knowledge Test
21
Technical
Aptitude
AFQT
GS MC AS EI
Post-Test
.217* .017 -.119 -.021
Results: All Knowledge Tests
22
MeanRMSEA = 0.000
MeanPClose = 0.868
MeanWRMR = 0.039
Technical
Aptitude
AFQT
GS MC AS EI
Post-Test
Results: All Knowledge Tests
 The paths between Technical Knowledge
Aptitude, Technical Knowledge Subtests,
AFQT were nearly identical for all knowledge
tests
 Focus will be on:
 AFQT  Post-test
 TA  Post-test
23
Results: All Knowledge Tests
24
Technical
Aptitude
AFQT
GS MC AS EI
Post-Test
.530* .084
Results: All Knowledge Tests
 AFQT was related to all Technical Knowledge
Tests, but not post-training test scores
 Technical Knowledge Aptitude was related to
post-training test scores, but not Technical
Knowledge test scores
 Indirect effects of Technical Knowledge
Aptitude on post-training test scores via TK
subtests were not significant
25
Results: First Skill Test
26
RMSEA = 0.024
PClose = 0.477
WRMR = 0.187
Technical
Aptitude
AFQT
GS MC AS EI
Post-Test
Results: First Skill Test
27
Technical
Aptitude
AFQT
GS MC AS EI
Post-Test
.066
.373*.536* .179* .267*
Results: First Skill Test
28
Technical
Aptitude
AFQT
GS MC AS EI
Post-Test
.218*
.174* .032 .064
Results: First Skill Test
29
Technical
Aptitude
AFQT
GS MC AS EI
Post-Test
.076 .062 -.029 .062
Results: All Skill Tests
30
MeanRMSEA = 0.024
MeanPClose = 0.477
MeanWRMR = 0.187
Technical
Aptitude
AFQT
GS MC AS EI
Post-Test
Results: All Skill Tests
 The paths between Technical Skill Aptitude,
Technical Knowledge Subtests, AFQT were
nearly identical for all skill tests
 Focus will be on:
 AFQT  Post-test
 TA  Post-test
31
Results: All Skill Tests
32
Technical
Aptitude
AFQT
GS MC AS EI
Post-Test
.218* .066
Results: All Skill Tests
 AFQT was related to all Technical Knowledge
Tests, but not post-training test scores
 Technical Skill Aptitude was related to post-
training test scores, but not Technical
Knowledge test scores
 Indirect effects of Technical Knowledge
Aptitude on post-training test scores via TK
subtests were not significant
33
Results: Technical Aptitude
 Technical Knowledge Aptitude was only
slightly related to Technical Skill Aptitude
(r = .136)
 Technical Aptitude was related to post-
training test scores, but not Technical
Knowledge test
34
Analysis II
 Results of Analysis I suggest Technical
Aptitude was related to post-training test
scores, but Technical Knowledge was not
 Analysis II seeks to identify predictors of
Technical Aptitude
 Current predictors of training performance consist
of various ASVAB Selection Composites (ASC)
 I.T. Aptitude Battery (ITAB) was designed to
measure technical aptitude
35
Method
 Two selection composites that the Navy
currently uses to assign recruits to ratings
 ASC01 consists of WK, PC, AR, and MC
 ASC02 consists of MK, AR, GS, and EI
 ITAB consists of two fully interactive tests
 Hidden Target Test
 Battery Test
36
Results
37
Variable 1. 2. 3. 4.
1. ITAB
2. ASC01 .33
3. ASC02 .31 .78
4. TSA .17 .16 .34
5. TKA .30 .44 .69 0.14
All Correlations significant at p < .01.
Results
38
Predictors Multiple R Incremental Validity
Selection
Composite
Test ASC ITAB R2 F Sig R2 %R2 F sig
ASC01 TKA 0.383 0.174 0.22 57.66 p < .0001 0.027 13.99% 14.11 p < .001
ASC02 TKA 0.66 0.095 0.484 191.1 p < .0001 0.008 1.68% 6.504 p < .05
ASC01 TSA 0.117 0.132 0.041 8.703 p < .01 0.015 57.69% 6.574 p < .05
ASC02 TSA 0.318 0.071 0.12 27.81 p < .0001 0.005 4.35% 2.146 p > .05
Results
 Selection composites (ASC01 and ASC02)
significantly predicted Technical Knowledge
Aptitude and Technical Skill Aptitude
 Technical Knowledge Aptitude
 ITAB provided incremental validity over selection
composites for Technical Knowledge Aptitude
 Technical Skill Aptitude
 ITAB provided incremental validity over ASC01,
but not ASC02, for Technical Skill Aptitude
39
Thank You
40

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Imta 2011 technical aptitude pres ii

  • 1. Predicting Technical Aptitude: Relations between Predictor Variables, Technical Aptitude and Technical Training Performance (O.N.R. Contracts Nr. N00014-10-M-0087 & N00014-10-C-0505) Ryan Glaze & Martin J. Ippel CogniMetrics, Inc., San Antonio, TX 1 Paper presented at the 53rd Annual Conference of the International Military Testing Association, Bali (Indonesia). October 31 November 4, 2011
  • 2. Preview Analysis I Overview of ASVAB and Technical Knowledge Tests Introduction to Technical Aptitude Proposed Model Methods, Results, and Discussion Analysis II Incremental Validity Analysis Predicting Technical Aptitude with ASVAB Selection Composites and the ITAB Methods, Results, and Discussion 2
  • 3. ASVAB US Armed Forces must select, classify, and train personnel to work in highly technical work environment ASVAB and Technical Knowledge Subtests used for technical Navy Ratings General Science (GS) Mechanical Comprehension (MC) Auto Shop (AS) Electrical Information (EI) 3
  • 4. Technical Knowledge Subtests Technical Knowledge Subtests have several limitations: Represent arbitrary and limited sample of domain Measures Technical Knowledge but not Technical Skills Provide modest predictive validity 4
  • 5. Technical Aptitude Technical Aptitude (Ippel & Glaze, 2011) Technical Knowledge Aptitude (TKA) Aptitude to learn technical knowledge (concepts) Derived from performance on eight common knowledge tests Technical Skill Aptitude (TSA) Aptitude to learn technical skills Derived from performance on seven common skill tests 5
  • 6. Technical Aptitude Technical Aptitude (TA) Represents a construct with a short logical distance to criterion performance in Apprentice Technical Training (ATT) performance Will be used to assess construct validity of TK subtests 6
  • 16. Method 410 Navy Recruits participating in A.T.T. program ASVAB TK Subtests: GS, MC, AS, EI AFQT Considered a measure of crystallized intelligence A.T.T. post-training test scores Eight common knowledge tests Seven common skill tests Dichotomously scored (Pass/Fail with 70 point cut score) 16
  • 17. Method Technical Knowledge Aptitude IRT-based ability estimate derived from common eight knowledge tests Technical Skill Aptitude IRT-based ability estimate derived from common seven skill tests 17
  • 18. Results: First Knowledge Test 18 RMSEA = 0.000 PClose = 0.886 WRMR = 0.040 Technical Aptitude AFQT GS MC AS EI Post-Test
  • 19. Technical Aptitude AFQT GS MC AS EI Post-Test Results: First Knowledge Test 19 .508* .316* .189* .226* .084 .352*
  • 20. Results: First Knowledge Test 20 Technical Aptitude AFQT GS MC AS EI Post-Test .137.130 .175 .530*
  • 21. Results: First Knowledge Test 21 Technical Aptitude AFQT GS MC AS EI Post-Test .217* .017 -.119 -.021
  • 22. Results: All Knowledge Tests 22 MeanRMSEA = 0.000 MeanPClose = 0.868 MeanWRMR = 0.039 Technical Aptitude AFQT GS MC AS EI Post-Test
  • 23. Results: All Knowledge Tests The paths between Technical Knowledge Aptitude, Technical Knowledge Subtests, AFQT were nearly identical for all knowledge tests Focus will be on: AFQT Post-test TA Post-test 23
  • 24. Results: All Knowledge Tests 24 Technical Aptitude AFQT GS MC AS EI Post-Test .530* .084
  • 25. Results: All Knowledge Tests AFQT was related to all Technical Knowledge Tests, but not post-training test scores Technical Knowledge Aptitude was related to post-training test scores, but not Technical Knowledge test scores Indirect effects of Technical Knowledge Aptitude on post-training test scores via TK subtests were not significant 25
  • 26. Results: First Skill Test 26 RMSEA = 0.024 PClose = 0.477 WRMR = 0.187 Technical Aptitude AFQT GS MC AS EI Post-Test
  • 27. Results: First Skill Test 27 Technical Aptitude AFQT GS MC AS EI Post-Test .066 .373*.536* .179* .267*
  • 28. Results: First Skill Test 28 Technical Aptitude AFQT GS MC AS EI Post-Test .218* .174* .032 .064
  • 29. Results: First Skill Test 29 Technical Aptitude AFQT GS MC AS EI Post-Test .076 .062 -.029 .062
  • 30. Results: All Skill Tests 30 MeanRMSEA = 0.024 MeanPClose = 0.477 MeanWRMR = 0.187 Technical Aptitude AFQT GS MC AS EI Post-Test
  • 31. Results: All Skill Tests The paths between Technical Skill Aptitude, Technical Knowledge Subtests, AFQT were nearly identical for all skill tests Focus will be on: AFQT Post-test TA Post-test 31
  • 32. Results: All Skill Tests 32 Technical Aptitude AFQT GS MC AS EI Post-Test .218* .066
  • 33. Results: All Skill Tests AFQT was related to all Technical Knowledge Tests, but not post-training test scores Technical Skill Aptitude was related to post- training test scores, but not Technical Knowledge test scores Indirect effects of Technical Knowledge Aptitude on post-training test scores via TK subtests were not significant 33
  • 34. Results: Technical Aptitude Technical Knowledge Aptitude was only slightly related to Technical Skill Aptitude (r = .136) Technical Aptitude was related to post- training test scores, but not Technical Knowledge test 34
  • 35. Analysis II Results of Analysis I suggest Technical Aptitude was related to post-training test scores, but Technical Knowledge was not Analysis II seeks to identify predictors of Technical Aptitude Current predictors of training performance consist of various ASVAB Selection Composites (ASC) I.T. Aptitude Battery (ITAB) was designed to measure technical aptitude 35
  • 36. Method Two selection composites that the Navy currently uses to assign recruits to ratings ASC01 consists of WK, PC, AR, and MC ASC02 consists of MK, AR, GS, and EI ITAB consists of two fully interactive tests Hidden Target Test Battery Test 36
  • 37. Results 37 Variable 1. 2. 3. 4. 1. ITAB 2. ASC01 .33 3. ASC02 .31 .78 4. TSA .17 .16 .34 5. TKA .30 .44 .69 0.14 All Correlations significant at p < .01.
  • 38. Results 38 Predictors Multiple R Incremental Validity Selection Composite Test ASC ITAB R2 F Sig R2 %R2 F sig ASC01 TKA 0.383 0.174 0.22 57.66 p < .0001 0.027 13.99% 14.11 p < .001 ASC02 TKA 0.66 0.095 0.484 191.1 p < .0001 0.008 1.68% 6.504 p < .05 ASC01 TSA 0.117 0.132 0.041 8.703 p < .01 0.015 57.69% 6.574 p < .05 ASC02 TSA 0.318 0.071 0.12 27.81 p < .0001 0.005 4.35% 2.146 p > .05
  • 39. Results Selection composites (ASC01 and ASC02) significantly predicted Technical Knowledge Aptitude and Technical Skill Aptitude Technical Knowledge Aptitude ITAB provided incremental validity over selection composites for Technical Knowledge Aptitude Technical Skill Aptitude ITAB provided incremental validity over ASC01, but not ASC02, for Technical Skill Aptitude 39