Размещение офисов в зависимости от удаленности от центра. Влияние расстояния до центра горорда на арендную ставку. Плотность застройки и обеспеченность парковочными местами.
О проектах Территориальных схем Новомосковского и Троицкого административных ...The webportal of the Mayor and the Government of MoscowО проектах Территориальных схем Новомосковского и Троицкого административных округов Москвы
Q1 2015 Marketbeat RUS / ENGCushman and Wakefield, MoscowQ1 2015 Marketbeat report in Russian and English: Commercial real-estate market overview
Обзор рынка коммерческой недвижимости за I кв. 2015 на русском и английском языках
CRE Russia 02.2014 Cushman and Wakefield, MoscowПрезентация Лады Белайчук, заместителя руководителя отдела исследований Cushman & Wakefield для конференции «Потребление стали в России"
Q4 2013 Real Estate Market presentation ENGCushman and Wakefield, MoscowThe document provides an overview and analysis of Russia's real estate market in Q4 2013. It finds that Russia's GDP growth slowed to an estimated 1.4-1.5% in 2013, down from the government's earlier forecast of 3.4%, as industrial production and fixed investments declined. Retail sales remained the main driver of economic recovery. Total commercial real estate investment volume was around $7.45 billion in 2013, similar to 2012 levels. The office and retail sectors attracted the most investment, with Moscow receiving around 70% of total deals. The retail market continued expanding into regional cities, with 63 new shopping centers completed across Russia in 2013 totaling over 1.4 million square meters of space.
E-commerce and shopping centers in Russia 2013Cushman and Wakefield, MoscowThis document summarizes research on e-commerce and shopping centers in Russia. It finds that while online retail is growing rapidly at 20-30% annually, it still only accounts for 2% of total retail sales. Shopping centers also have significant growth potential and could make up a quarter of retail sales by 2020. The document also examines online and in-store shopping trends and predicts both will continue growing in importance through a multi-channel retail model. Infrastructure limitations may slow the growth rate of online retail in Russia.
Электронная коммерция и торговые центрыCushman and Wakefield, MoscowРоль электронной коммерции и торговых центров в современной российской торговле. Влияние Онлайн-ритейла на рынок торговой и логистической недвижимости
Transaero #07 2013_96dpiCushman and Wakefield, MoscowВалерий Кузнецов, технический директор Cushman & Wakefield, о "зеленых" зданиях и экономии электроэнергии.
Retailer 01-2013-previewCushman and Wakefield, MoscowМаксим Карбасникофф, партнер и руководитель департамента торговой недвижимости Cushman & Wakefield, о рынке торговой недвижимости и перспективах его развития в Казахстане.
Marketbeat Q2 2013 - Russian commercial property market report [ENG/RUS]Cushman and Wakefield, MoscowA slow start to 2013 in the Russian economy is now widely recog-nized. Jan-May GDP growth is recorded at 1.8%, about twice lower than the previous year. Government‟s forecast for 2013 is still at 2.4% and acceleration in the second half of the year is still a very likely scenario. IMF is a bit more optimistic and sticks to a 2.5% projection.
But this slowdown is an important marker of change. Russia is no longer part of the emerging markets world. It is in the more developed group not because of the slower growth but because of its higher economic base. Russian GDP per capita is 40% higher than the world average. With estimated 2.5% it is still in line with the global outlook of 3.1% and almost 3 times higher than 1.2% outlook for advanced economies. At the same time, with over $14,000 USD GDP per capita Russia is now closer to developed countries than to B(R)ICS.
Consumer market remains strong. Retail trade turnover in Jan-May increased by 11.4% in nominal terms in comparison to same period the previous year. Even after adjusting for inflation it shows strong growth of 4%.
Inflation is accelerating from 6.6% last year to a very likely 7% and higher for the current year. However, soft commodity prices may put pressure on food prices.
For real estate community this means that the sentiment remains negative without any material evidence and without new bearish fundamentals. All the existing factors are already priced in. Real estate market is in the green zone but risks are increasing. There is strong doubt that demand for real estate will grow. However, Rus-sia in general and Moscow specifically is still undersupplied with quality product.
That is why even during a weak second quarter, there was a signifi-cant increase in transactions in the warehouse sector. Supported by solid demand, construction rate had increased and warehouse sec-tor showed record levels of activity in Q2.
Marketbeat presentation Q1 2013 [ENG]Cushman and Wakefield, MoscowReal estate market in 2013 made a good start. Despite economy slowdown and negative industrial production index market remained solid in Q1 with record investment volumes and strong sector performance. Political and macroeconomy trends in Russia become more or less shaped after turbulent year 2012 and micro level prospects are now more or less clear. Corporations are not planning any significant expansion and focus on operational efficiency. So relocations are well planned driven by solid reasoning.
Extraordinary investment market results (3.4 USD bn in Q1 2013) are driven by two large deals that were negotiated in 2012.
However despite good start of the year we do not change our forecast for 2013 because of the expected slowdown in Q2 and disruption of business caused by March events in Cyprus.
Cyprus jurisdiction used widely by Russian real estate companies and investors due to favorable double tax avoidance treaty, English legal system and flexibility of local banks. Bank crisis will not destroy this system but will disrupt investment activity until major issues are settled down. It is not clear so far will any other jurisdiction may compete with Cyprus for real estate operations, but undoubtly investors will explore other options.
In Q2 economy will face recovery of industrial production so after Q1 destocking half year figures will be similar to previous year. However real estate market will slow down a little bit in comparison with fast start of the year.
Major threat for real estate business is increasing currency risk. Growing budget deficit creates pressure on Ruble which may lead to exchange rate ajustment later this year. However so far it is unclear how government will handle this deficit. That is why our 2013 outlook remains basically unchanged.
Indicators to watch in Q2:
-Logistic construction volumes
-Office take up in Moscow
-Shopping centers footfall
Q1 2015 Marketbeat RUS / ENGCushman and Wakefield, MoscowQ1 2015 Marketbeat report in Russian and English: Commercial real-estate market overview
Обзор рынка коммерческой недвижимости за I кв. 2015 на русском и английском языках
CRE Russia 02.2014 Cushman and Wakefield, MoscowПрезентация Лады Белайчук, заместителя руководителя отдела исследований Cushman & Wakefield для конференции «Потребление стали в России"
Q4 2013 Real Estate Market presentation ENGCushman and Wakefield, MoscowThe document provides an overview and analysis of Russia's real estate market in Q4 2013. It finds that Russia's GDP growth slowed to an estimated 1.4-1.5% in 2013, down from the government's earlier forecast of 3.4%, as industrial production and fixed investments declined. Retail sales remained the main driver of economic recovery. Total commercial real estate investment volume was around $7.45 billion in 2013, similar to 2012 levels. The office and retail sectors attracted the most investment, with Moscow receiving around 70% of total deals. The retail market continued expanding into regional cities, with 63 new shopping centers completed across Russia in 2013 totaling over 1.4 million square meters of space.
E-commerce and shopping centers in Russia 2013Cushman and Wakefield, MoscowThis document summarizes research on e-commerce and shopping centers in Russia. It finds that while online retail is growing rapidly at 20-30% annually, it still only accounts for 2% of total retail sales. Shopping centers also have significant growth potential and could make up a quarter of retail sales by 2020. The document also examines online and in-store shopping trends and predicts both will continue growing in importance through a multi-channel retail model. Infrastructure limitations may slow the growth rate of online retail in Russia.
Электронная коммерция и торговые центрыCushman and Wakefield, MoscowРоль электронной коммерции и торговых центров в современной российской торговле. Влияние Онлайн-ритейла на рынок торговой и логистической недвижимости
Transaero #07 2013_96dpiCushman and Wakefield, MoscowВалерий Кузнецов, технический директор Cushman & Wakefield, о "зеленых" зданиях и экономии электроэнергии.
Retailer 01-2013-previewCushman and Wakefield, MoscowМаксим Карбасникофф, партнер и руководитель департамента торговой недвижимости Cushman & Wakefield, о рынке торговой недвижимости и перспективах его развития в Казахстане.
Marketbeat Q2 2013 - Russian commercial property market report [ENG/RUS]Cushman and Wakefield, MoscowA slow start to 2013 in the Russian economy is now widely recog-nized. Jan-May GDP growth is recorded at 1.8%, about twice lower than the previous year. Government‟s forecast for 2013 is still at 2.4% and acceleration in the second half of the year is still a very likely scenario. IMF is a bit more optimistic and sticks to a 2.5% projection.
But this slowdown is an important marker of change. Russia is no longer part of the emerging markets world. It is in the more developed group not because of the slower growth but because of its higher economic base. Russian GDP per capita is 40% higher than the world average. With estimated 2.5% it is still in line with the global outlook of 3.1% and almost 3 times higher than 1.2% outlook for advanced economies. At the same time, with over $14,000 USD GDP per capita Russia is now closer to developed countries than to B(R)ICS.
Consumer market remains strong. Retail trade turnover in Jan-May increased by 11.4% in nominal terms in comparison to same period the previous year. Even after adjusting for inflation it shows strong growth of 4%.
Inflation is accelerating from 6.6% last year to a very likely 7% and higher for the current year. However, soft commodity prices may put pressure on food prices.
For real estate community this means that the sentiment remains negative without any material evidence and without new bearish fundamentals. All the existing factors are already priced in. Real estate market is in the green zone but risks are increasing. There is strong doubt that demand for real estate will grow. However, Rus-sia in general and Moscow specifically is still undersupplied with quality product.
That is why even during a weak second quarter, there was a signifi-cant increase in transactions in the warehouse sector. Supported by solid demand, construction rate had increased and warehouse sec-tor showed record levels of activity in Q2.
Marketbeat presentation Q1 2013 [ENG]Cushman and Wakefield, MoscowReal estate market in 2013 made a good start. Despite economy slowdown and negative industrial production index market remained solid in Q1 with record investment volumes and strong sector performance. Political and macroeconomy trends in Russia become more or less shaped after turbulent year 2012 and micro level prospects are now more or less clear. Corporations are not planning any significant expansion and focus on operational efficiency. So relocations are well planned driven by solid reasoning.
Extraordinary investment market results (3.4 USD bn in Q1 2013) are driven by two large deals that were negotiated in 2012.
However despite good start of the year we do not change our forecast for 2013 because of the expected slowdown in Q2 and disruption of business caused by March events in Cyprus.
Cyprus jurisdiction used widely by Russian real estate companies and investors due to favorable double tax avoidance treaty, English legal system and flexibility of local banks. Bank crisis will not destroy this system but will disrupt investment activity until major issues are settled down. It is not clear so far will any other jurisdiction may compete with Cyprus for real estate operations, but undoubtly investors will explore other options.
In Q2 economy will face recovery of industrial production so after Q1 destocking half year figures will be similar to previous year. However real estate market will slow down a little bit in comparison with fast start of the year.
Major threat for real estate business is increasing currency risk. Growing budget deficit creates pressure on Ruble which may lead to exchange rate ajustment later this year. However so far it is unclear how government will handle this deficit. That is why our 2013 outlook remains basically unchanged.
Indicators to watch in Q2:
-Logistic construction volumes
-Office take up in Moscow
-Shopping centers footfall
3. 2CUSHMAN & WAKEFIELD
RETAIL IN RUSSIA
E-COMMERCE VS.
SHOPPING CENTERS
ОФИСНЫЙ РЫНОК МОСКВЫ
Дорога к качеству
Качественные здания:
• 127 зданий класса А (2,57 млн.
кв.м.)
• 1022 здания класса В+ (7,54 млн.
кв.м.)
• 637 зданий В- (3,49 млн. кв.м.)
Некачественные здания (оценка)
• Более 500 зданий класса С (около
7 млн. кв.м.)
20 000
7 400
5 500 5 400
A B+ B- C
Средние площади зданий разных классов в
Москве, кв.м.
4. 3CUSHMAN & WAKEFIELD
RETAIL IN RUSSIA
E-COMMERCE VS.
SHOPPING CENTERS
ГОСУДАРСТВЕННЫЕ ОРГАНЫ И КОРПОРАЦИИ
Важный игрок на офисном рынке Москвы
Структура занятости по форме
собственности,тыс. чел
Центральный
аппарат
г. Москва Московская
область
Всего 44 313 78 782 58 476
Законодательная власть 4 147 504 926
Исполнительная власть 35 717 69 218 50 348
в т.ч. федеральная 35 717 40 377 20 710
-субъекта Федерации 25 913 7 508
-органов местного самоуправления 2 928 22 130
Судебная власть 4 449 8 577 6 981
Другая 369 221
Структура занятости в органах власти Москвы и Московской
области,чел.
Государственная,
1664
Частная, 3274
Смешанная, 615
Иностранная,
781
Некоммерческая,
30
•Общая офисная площадь
занимаемая
государственными органами в
Москве оценивается в 2-2,5
млн. кв.м.
5. 4CUSHMAN & WAKEFIELD
RETAIL IN RUSSIA
E-COMMERCE VS.
SHOPPING CENTERS
Трудовые ресурсы
НАСЕЛЕНИЕ МОСКВЫ
Источник: Данные переписи населения, Росстат, Департамент труда и занятости Москвы
Самозанятые, 280
Безработные, 75
Неработающие и
теневой сектор, 745
Студенты, 1 312
Учащиеся, 950
Дети, 695
Пенсионеры, 2 766
Опт и розничная торговля, 1 245
Операции с недвижимым
имуществом, 885
Строительство, 559
Обрабатывающие пр-ва, 444
Образование, 400
Транспорт и связь, 327
Здравоохранение, 326
Финансы, 317
Гос. управление, 201
Коммунальные и пр. услуги, 171
Гостиницы и рестораны, 118
Прочее, 84
Занятые по отраслям, 5 076
7. 6CUSHMAN & WAKEFIELD
RETAIL IN RUSSIA
E-COMMERCE VS.
SHOPPING CENTERS
Ярко выраженная моноцентричность
ПЛОТНОСТЬ ЗАСТРОЙКИ В МОСКВЕ
• Самая высокая плотность
застройки – в радиусе от 2
до 3 км. от центра – почти
300 тысяч кв.м. на гектар.
• «Всплеск» в 7-
километровой зоне –
Москва-Сити.
-
50 000
100 000
150 000
200 000
250 000
300 000
2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Плотностьзастройки,кв/мнага
Расстояние от центра
9. 8CUSHMAN & WAKEFIELD
RETAIL IN RUSSIA
E-COMMERCE VS.
SHOPPING CENTERS
2010
ПАССАЖИРОПОТОК МОСКОВСКИХ СТАНЦИЙ МЕТРО
Source: Cushman & Wakefield, Euromonitor
10. 9CUSHMAN & WAKEFIELD
RETAIL IN RUSSIA
E-COMMERCE VS.
SHOPPING CENTERS
Топ 10
САМЫЕ «НАГРУЖЕННЫЕ» ОФИСАМ СТАНЦИИ МЕТРО
• Павелецкая более чем
вдвое превышает по
загруженности остальные
станции.
889 258
352 307
351 739
309 949
306 609
281 444
269 470
240 225
235 844
Павелецкая
Белорусская
Юго-Западная
Тульская
Речной Вокзал
Бауманская
Выставочная
Курская
Калужская
11. 10CUSHMAN & WAKEFIELD
RETAIL IN RUSSIA
E-COMMERCE VS.
SHOPPING CENTERS
Топ 10 станций метро с самыми высокими арендными ставками на офисы
САМЫЕ «ДОРОГИЕ» СТАНЦИИ МЕТРО
• Самые дорогие офисы
сконцентрированы в
центре города
Средняя арендная ставка с 2011 года
$1 100
$1 050
$1 000
$900
$850
$800
$800
$800
$750
$750
Театральная
Боровицкая/Библиотека
Пл. Революции
Выставочная
Кропоткинская
Полянка
Тургеневская
Тверская
Парк Культуры
Международная
14. 13CUSHMAN & WAKEFIELD
RETAIL IN RUSSIA
E-COMMERCE VS.
SHOPPING CENTERS
10 крупнейших ритейлеров контролирует лишь 20% рынка
Source: DigitalGuru
0
200
400
600
800
1000
1200
1400
- 5 10 15 20 25
RentalrateUSD/sq.m(3yearaverage)
Distance from city center, km
ЗАВИСИМОСТЬ АРЕНДНОЙ СТАВКИ ОТ
РАССТОЯНИЯ ОТ ЦЕНТРА
15. 14CUSHMAN & WAKEFIELD
RETAIL IN RUSSIA
E-COMMERCE VS.
SHOPPING CENTERS
ОФИСНЫЕ ПЛОЩАДИ И ПАРКОВОЧНЫЕ МЕСТА
В центре и на периферии
•Несмотря на бурные темпы роста, торговые центры в России занимают
незначительную долю
•Мы ожидаем, что к 2015 г. их доля вырастет до 15%
•К 2020 году на торговые центры будет приходиться около четверти
товарооборота.
-
10 000
20 000
30 000
40 000
50 000
60 000
70 000
80 000
-
500 000
1 000 000
1 500 000
2 000 000
2 500 000
3 000 000
3 500 000
4 000 000
Sum of Office rentable
Sum of Number of parking…