The Future of Armed Force. Towards a Defense and Security Ecosystem
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The document discusses the evolution of defense and armed forces towards a flexible and dynamic defense and security ecosystem. It emphasizes the need for collaboration in less structured environments, similar to modern platform ecosystems seen in companies like Google and Airbnb. The future of armed forces may involve a shift from traditional industrial roles to becoming custodians and catalysts within a broader security ecosystem, redefining capability planning and operational approaches.
![NLD CHOD on ‘Ecosystems’
…[A]s the custodians of our societies’
security, we also have to explore other
parts of this ecosystem. Areas that are
less formalized and less structured.
Areas, where aligned actions emerge
more ad-hoc, and bottom-up. Areas,
where co-operation is extremely
dynamic and flexible. Areas, not
described in signed agreements but
more driven by common interests and
some level of mutual trust, operating
through informal networks.
Take Google or Apple for example
with their mobile ‘app’ stores. They
provide a free and open platform,
that all sorts of ‘ecosystem partners’
can hitch a ride on. Both ‘planned’
and ‘unplanned', while in the
meantime allowing Google and Apple
to benefit from the ideas, creativity,
capabilities and actions of others.
“I wonder whether this is something
our defense organizations might learn from… “](https://image.slidesharecdn.com/160426thefutureofarmedforce-160426225641/85/The-Future-of-Armed-Force-Towards-a-Defense-and-Security-Ecosystem-5-320.jpg)
The Future of Armed Force. Towards a Defense and Security Ecosystem
- 1. THE FUTURE OF ARMED FORCE TOWARDS A DEFENSE AND SECURITY ECOSYSTEM? STEPHAN DE SPIEGELEIRE HCSS PRINCIPAL SCIENTIST ROYAL NETHERLANDS AIRFORCE AIRPOWER SYMPOSIUM, APRIL 27, 2016, GILZE-RIJEN AIR BASE
- 3. When You Google ‘defense military’ operati?n
- 4. When You Google ‘Ecosystem’ duurzaam
- 5. NLD CHOD on ‘Ecosystems’ …[A]s the custodians of our societies’ security, we also have to explore other parts of this ecosystem. Areas that are less formalized and less structured. Areas, where aligned actions emerge more ad-hoc, and bottom-up. Areas, where co-operation is extremely dynamic and flexible. Areas, not described in signed agreements but more driven by common interests and some level of mutual trust, operating through informal networks. Take Google or Apple for example with their mobile ‘app’ stores. They provide a free and open platform, that all sorts of ‘ecosystem partners’ can hitch a ride on. Both ‘planned’ and ‘unplanned', while in the meantime allowing Google and Apple to benefit from the ideas, creativity, capabilities and actions of others. “I wonder whether this is something our defense organizations might learn from… “
- 6. The ‘Soldier’ of the Future
- 7. Defence andArmed Force – Back to the Roots ? ? ? Defend mid-13c., from O.Fr. defendre (12c.) "defend, resist," and directly from L. defendere "ward off, protect, guard, allege in defence," from de- "from, away" (see de-) + -fendere "to strike, push," from PIE base *gwhen-"to strike, kill, wound" Arm "weapon," c.1300, from O.Fr. armes (pl.), 11c., from L. arma "weapons," lit. "tools, implements (of war)," PIE base *ar- "fit, join." The notion seems to be "that which is fitted together." Security "without care, dreading no evil," c. 1530s, from Latin*se cura: se "free from" + cura "care“ - tranquil; free from danger
- 8. ‘Armed Force’ as a Reflection of theAge Industrial societyAgrarian society Age Nomadic (Hunter/gatherer) Bare Hands Human Clan Cold Mechanical Settlement Hot Thermal Nation-State Post-industrial society: Information and knowledge age? Age ‘Arms’ Information and knowledge? Energy Information and knowledge? Unit Ecosystem? ‘Arms’ Energy Unit Hominoid History – Start of Agriculture Since the Last Ice Age Pre- Industrial Industrial
- 9. Industrial age: TheAge of the ‘Line’
- 10. The Industrial Paradigm (‘罢补测濒辞谤颈蝉尘’)
- 11. Stovepipes galore ? Within our MoDs ? Services ? Civil-Military ? Policy/strategy – ops – caps – fin - HR… ? Inter-agency ? Public-private ? Companies ? Academic disciplines ? Time stovepipes ? Ideology ? …
- 12. The end of the line; The dawn of the network/ecosystem
- 14. How We Think About ‘Strategy’ Now Policy Strategy Operational Tactical
- 15. How Operations Devoured Strategy
- 16. ? Before the industrial age ? ‘Sovereign’ incarnated strategy and tactics ? Before the industrial age ? ‘Sovereign’ incarnated strategy and tactics ? He made the strategic decisions ? Before the industrial age ? ‘Sovereign’ incarnated strategy and tactics ? He made the strategic decisions ? And then led the troops into combat How Operations Devoured Strategy
- 17. How Operations Devoured Strategy ? Industrial age – the ‘age of the line’ ? Quantum leap in physical/social technologies; larger political units (nations), larger scope of combat ? Role/Task Specialization – e.g. between ‘political’ leader (direction and control) and ‘military’ leader ? Operational art emerges and devours strategy ? Post-industrial age? – the age of the network/ecosystem? ? Compression of echelons? ? A ‘new’ all-encompassing echelon? ? Post-echelon? ? Before the industrial age ? ‘Sovereign’ incarnated strategy and tactics ? He made the strategic decisions ? And then led the troops into combat
- 18. What Happened in the Industrial Age ? Politics Strategy Operational Tactical T h e M i l i t a r y Pre-Industrial Policy Strategy Operational Tactical T h e S o v e r e i g n Industrial Post-Industrial?
- 19. Don’t we already do this? The comprehensive approach First in-theater (3D) Then in capitals (typically through money) Then in capitals (on missions and ops) Ecosystem? Then broader (terrorism and HS)
- 20. ‘Ecosystem’ An ecosystem is a community of living organisms in conjunction with the nonliving components of their environment (things like air, water and mineral soil), interacting as a system.
- 21. The ‘model’
- 22. Examples
- 23. InterBrand: Best Global Brands
- 24. These Grew Fastest These are platform ecosystems
- 26. The power of ecosystem platforms ’’In 2015, Uber, the world’s largest taxi company owns no vehicles, Facebook the world’s most popular media owner creates no content, Alibaba the most valuable retailer has no inventory, and Airbnb the world’s largest hotelier owns no real estate.’’ Tom Goodwin, Sr. VP of Strategy Havas Media
- 27. ‘Defense’As an Ecosystem (Platform)? ? The defense and security ecosystem exists. It’s evolving exponentially. What is the future of ‘Armed Force’? ? Do we want to remain (mostly industrial-kinetic) operators (current me+) ? Do we want to become industrial AND post-industrial ‘operators’ (‘ future me’ – ‘I’ am the primary operator) ? Do we want to become the ? custodians of a broader defense and security ecosystem (future ‘we’ – catalyst, nudger, ‘strange attractor’, etc.) ? catalysts/‘owners’ of a platform that brings this ecosystem together ? Who (now!) does/can do future ‘capability’ planning for the entire DSE? ? Still (again) a special role for Europe (/the Netherlands)?
- 28. Don’t be a star, be an ecosystem platform…