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Chapter 1

S A M P L I N G A N D D A TA
          1.6 - 1.9
1.6 Sampling


ï‚— Random sampling is the process of using chance to select
  individuals from a population to be included in the sample.

ï‚— If a sample is selected in a way that assures that any sample
  of the same size would be equally likely to be chosen then
  the sample is a simple random sample.
Pride and Prejudice
 EXAMPLE                   The Sun Also Rises
Use a random number
generator to choose a      The Jungle
simple random sample       As I Lay Dying
of size three from the
list of classic works of   A Tale of Two Cities
literature.
                           Huckleberry Finn
                           Death of a Salesman
                           Scarlet Letter
                           Crime and Punishment
1.6 Sampling

ï‚— A systematic sample is chosen by selecting every nth
  individual in the population.
ï‚— A stratified sample is chosen by dividing the population into
  nonoverlapping groups called strata and then selecting a
  simple random sample from each stratum.
ï‚— A cluster sample is chosen by dividing the population into
  strata and then selecting some of the strata.
ï‚— A convenience sample is a sample in which the individuals
  are easily obtained and not based on randomness.
1.   To estimate the percentage of defects in
 EXAMPLE                    a recent manufacturing batch, a quality-
                            control manager at Intel selects every 8th
Identify the type of        chip that comes off the assembly line
sampling used.              until she obtains a sample of 140 chips.

                       2.   To determine customer opinion of its
                            boarding policy, Southwest Airlines
                            randomly selects 60 flights during a
                            certain week and surveys all passengers
                            on the flight.
3. To determine DSL connection speed,
 EXAMPLE                  Shawn divides up the day into four parts:
                          morning, midday, evening, and late night.
Identify the type of      He then measures his Internet
sampling used.            connections speed at 5 randomly selected
                          times during each part of the day.
                       4. 24 Hour Fitness wants to administer a
                          satisfaction survey to its current members.
                          Using its membership roster, the club
                          randomly selects 40 members and asks
                          them about their level of satisfaction with
                          the club.
5.   A radio station asks its listeners to call in
 EXAMPLE                    their opinion regarding the use of U.S.
                            forces in peacekeeping missions.
Identify the type of
sampling used.
ï‚— To find the average GPA of all students in
 EXAMPLE                  a university, use all honor students at the
                          university as the sample.
Determine if each of
the following samples   ï‚— To find out the most popular cereal among
are representative.       young people under the age of 10, stand
                          outside a large supermarket for three hours
                          and speak to every 20th child
1.7 Critical Evaluation

There can be many problems with a statistical study.
ï‚— Problems with Samples: remember that we always want a
  representative sample. Be sure your sampling method does
  not lead to bias.
ï‚— Self-Selected Samples: Responses only by people who
  choose to respond are often unreliable
ï‚— Sample Size Issues: Samples that are too small may be
  unreliable.
ï‚— Undue Influence: Collecting data or asking questions in a
  way that influences the response.
1.7 Critical Evaluation

ï‚— Causality: A relationship between two variables does not
  mean that one causes the other to occur.
ï‚— Self-Funded or Self Interest Studies: A study performed by
  a person or organization in order to support their claim may
  not be impartial.
ï‚— Misleading use of data: Improperly displayed graphs,
  incomplete data, and lack of context can cause people to
  come to incorrect conclusions.
ï‚— Confounding: occurs when the effects of multiple factors
  on a response cannot be separated.
1.7 Critical Evaluation

Key elements to statistical thinking:

ï‚— Anecdotal claims can be refuted with statistical analysis.

ï‚— Poorly collected data are not useful.

ï‚— Watch out for confounding variables.

ï‚— Results in statistics are not certain.
1.7 Key Terms



ï‚— The frequency is the number of times a given datam occurs
  in a data set.

ï‚— The relative frequency is the fraction of times a given datum
  occurs.

ï‚— The cumulative relative frequency is the accumulation of the
  previous relative frequencies.
1. Construct a frequency table.
EXAMPLE
                    2. What percentage of students have 0
How many siblings
                       siblings?
do you have?        3. What percentage of students have 1 to 3
                       siblings?
                    4. What percentage of students have fewer
                       than 3 siblings? At least 3 siblings?
Data Frequency   Relative    Cumulative
EXAMPLE                                   Frequency   Relative
                                                      Frequency
Nineteen people          3    3           3/19        0.1579
were asked how           4    1           1/19        0.2105
many miles, to the
                         5    3           3/19        0.1579
nearest mile, they
commute to work          7    2           2/19        0.2632
each day. The data       10   3           4/19        0.4737
are:
                         12   2           2/19        0.7895
2, 5, 7, 3, 2, 10, 18,   13   1           1/19        0.8421
15, 20, 7, 10, 18, 5,
                         15   1           1/19        0.8948
12, 13, 12, 4, 5, 10
                         18   1           1/19        0.9474
The following table
                         20   1           1/19        1.000
was produced.
1. Is the table correct? If not, what is
EXAMPLE      wrong with it?
          2. True or false? Three percent of the
             people surveyed commute 3 miles.
             If the statement is false, what should
             it be?
          3. What fraction of the people
             surveyed commute 5 to 7 miles?
          4. What fraction of the people
             surveyed commute at least 12 miles?
             Less than 12 miles? Between 5 and
             13 miles?
1.14 Lab 2
GROUP WORK

             Split into groups of 3 to 4.
HOMEWORK

1.12 #s 3, 15, 16, 19-28

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Chapter 1 sections 6 through 9

  • 1. Chapter 1 S A M P L I N G A N D D A TA 1.6 - 1.9
  • 2. 1.6 Sampling ï‚— Random sampling is the process of using chance to select individuals from a population to be included in the sample. ï‚— If a sample is selected in a way that assures that any sample of the same size would be equally likely to be chosen then the sample is a simple random sample.
  • 3. Pride and Prejudice EXAMPLE The Sun Also Rises Use a random number generator to choose a The Jungle simple random sample As I Lay Dying of size three from the list of classic works of A Tale of Two Cities literature. Huckleberry Finn Death of a Salesman Scarlet Letter Crime and Punishment
  • 4. 1.6 Sampling ï‚— A systematic sample is chosen by selecting every nth individual in the population. ï‚— A stratified sample is chosen by dividing the population into nonoverlapping groups called strata and then selecting a simple random sample from each stratum. ï‚— A cluster sample is chosen by dividing the population into strata and then selecting some of the strata. ï‚— A convenience sample is a sample in which the individuals are easily obtained and not based on randomness.
  • 5. 1. To estimate the percentage of defects in EXAMPLE a recent manufacturing batch, a quality- control manager at Intel selects every 8th Identify the type of chip that comes off the assembly line sampling used. until she obtains a sample of 140 chips. 2. To determine customer opinion of its boarding policy, Southwest Airlines randomly selects 60 flights during a certain week and surveys all passengers on the flight.
  • 6. 3. To determine DSL connection speed, EXAMPLE Shawn divides up the day into four parts: morning, midday, evening, and late night. Identify the type of He then measures his Internet sampling used. connections speed at 5 randomly selected times during each part of the day. 4. 24 Hour Fitness wants to administer a satisfaction survey to its current members. Using its membership roster, the club randomly selects 40 members and asks them about their level of satisfaction with the club.
  • 7. 5. A radio station asks its listeners to call in EXAMPLE their opinion regarding the use of U.S. forces in peacekeeping missions. Identify the type of sampling used.
  • 8. ï‚— To find the average GPA of all students in EXAMPLE a university, use all honor students at the university as the sample. Determine if each of the following samples ï‚— To find out the most popular cereal among are representative. young people under the age of 10, stand outside a large supermarket for three hours and speak to every 20th child
  • 9. 1.7 Critical Evaluation There can be many problems with a statistical study. ï‚— Problems with Samples: remember that we always want a representative sample. Be sure your sampling method does not lead to bias. ï‚— Self-Selected Samples: Responses only by people who choose to respond are often unreliable ï‚— Sample Size Issues: Samples that are too small may be unreliable. ï‚— Undue Influence: Collecting data or asking questions in a way that influences the response.
  • 10. 1.7 Critical Evaluation ï‚— Causality: A relationship between two variables does not mean that one causes the other to occur. ï‚— Self-Funded or Self Interest Studies: A study performed by a person or organization in order to support their claim may not be impartial. ï‚— Misleading use of data: Improperly displayed graphs, incomplete data, and lack of context can cause people to come to incorrect conclusions. ï‚— Confounding: occurs when the effects of multiple factors on a response cannot be separated.
  • 11. 1.7 Critical Evaluation Key elements to statistical thinking: ï‚— Anecdotal claims can be refuted with statistical analysis. ï‚— Poorly collected data are not useful. ï‚— Watch out for confounding variables. ï‚— Results in statistics are not certain.
  • 12. 1.7 Key Terms ï‚— The frequency is the number of times a given datam occurs in a data set. ï‚— The relative frequency is the fraction of times a given datum occurs. ï‚— The cumulative relative frequency is the accumulation of the previous relative frequencies.
  • 13. 1. Construct a frequency table. EXAMPLE 2. What percentage of students have 0 How many siblings siblings? do you have? 3. What percentage of students have 1 to 3 siblings? 4. What percentage of students have fewer than 3 siblings? At least 3 siblings?
  • 14. Data Frequency Relative Cumulative EXAMPLE Frequency Relative Frequency Nineteen people 3 3 3/19 0.1579 were asked how 4 1 1/19 0.2105 many miles, to the 5 3 3/19 0.1579 nearest mile, they commute to work 7 2 2/19 0.2632 each day. The data 10 3 4/19 0.4737 are: 12 2 2/19 0.7895 2, 5, 7, 3, 2, 10, 18, 13 1 1/19 0.8421 15, 20, 7, 10, 18, 5, 15 1 1/19 0.8948 12, 13, 12, 4, 5, 10 18 1 1/19 0.9474 The following table 20 1 1/19 1.000 was produced.
  • 15. 1. Is the table correct? If not, what is EXAMPLE wrong with it? 2. True or false? Three percent of the people surveyed commute 3 miles. If the statement is false, what should it be? 3. What fraction of the people surveyed commute 5 to 7 miles? 4. What fraction of the people surveyed commute at least 12 miles? Less than 12 miles? Between 5 and 13 miles?
  • 16. 1.14 Lab 2 GROUP WORK Split into groups of 3 to 4.
  • 17. HOMEWORK 1.12 #s 3, 15, 16, 19-28

Editor's Notes

  • #14: Population: All dog owners in Whatcom CountySample: dog owners who came in to Petsmart on the day of the surveyParameter: number or proportion of dog owners in whatcom county who would use each locationStatistic: number or propotion of dog owners who come in to Petsmart on the day of the survey who would use each locationVariable: X = prefered location of a dog ownerData: the specific values of X
  • #15: Population: All dog owners in Whatcom CountySample: dog owners who came in to Petsmart on the day of the surveyParameter: number or proportion of dog owners in whatcom county who would use each locationStatistic: number or propotion of dog owners who come in to Petsmart on the day of the survey who would use each locationVariable: X = prefered location of a dog ownerData: the specific values of X
  • #16: Population: All dog owners in Whatcom CountySample: dog owners who came in to Petsmart on the day of the surveyParameter: number or proportion of dog owners in whatcom county who would use each locationStatistic: number or propotion of dog owners who come in to Petsmart on the day of the survey who would use each locationVariable: X = prefered location of a dog ownerData: the specific values of X
  • #17: Population: All dog owners in Whatcom CountySample: dog owners who came in to Petsmart on the day of the surveyParameter: number or proportion of dog owners in whatcom county who would use each locationStatistic: number or propotion of dog owners who come in to Petsmart on the day of the survey who would use each locationVariable: X = prefered location of a dog ownerData: the specific values of X