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BENEFITS & SAVINGS FROM EACH ONE PERCENTAGE POINT DECLINE
                                    IN MAINE SMOKING RATES


The following estimates show the benefits and savings that are obtained in Maine for each one
percentage point decline in adult and youth smoking rates in the state (e.g., from new state investments
in tobacco prevention or increased state tobacco tax rates). These estimates can also be switched
around to show what harms and costs Maine would suffer from each one percentage point increase to its
smoking rates or from each one percentage point reduction the State fails to obtain (e.g., because it fails
to sustain adequate state tobacco prevention funding or lets its tobacco tax rates erode over time).

Fewer Smokers
                                   Fewer current adult smokers: 10,500
                                   Fewer current pregnant smokers: 130
                                 Fewer current high school smokers: 690
             Maine kids alive today who will not become addicted adult smokers: 2,600

Public Health Benefits
                  Today’s adults saved from dying prematurely from smoking: 2,500
           Today’s high school smokers saved from dying prematurely from smoking: 200
                Maine kids alive today who will not die prematurely from smoking: 900

                                                                  First Year         Over 5 Years
            Fewer smoking-affected births:                            130                  650
            Fewer smoking-caused heart attacks:                        6                   78
            Fewer smoking-caused strokes:                              4                   42

[The number of heart attacks and strokes prevented each year by a one-time decline in adult smoking rates of one
percentage point starts out small but grows sharply until it peaks and stabilizes after about ten years.]

Monetary Benefits (Reduced Public, Private, and Individual Smoking-Caused Costs)

                                                                            First Year          Over 5 Years
   Savings from smoking-affected birth reductions                           $0.2 million         $1.1 million
   Savings from heart attack & stroke reductions                            $0.4 million         $5.6 million
  [Annual savings from fewer smoking-caused heart attacks and strokes grows substantially each year as more and
  more are prevented by the initial one percentage point smoking decline. Savings from prevented smoking-caused
  cancer are even larger, but do not begin to accrue until several years after the initial smoking decline.]

            Reduction to future health costs from adult smoking declines: $99.8 million
            Reduction to future health costs from youth smoking declines: $45.5 million

[These savings accrue over the lifetimes of the adults who quit and the youth who do not become adult smokers.
Roughly 28.4% of smoking-caused healthcare expenditures in Maine are paid by its Medicaid program.]

At the same time that they reduce public and private smoking-caused costs, state smoking declines also
increase public and private sector worker productivity and strengthen the state’s economy.

For sources and more detail, see the TFK factsheet Comprehensive State Tobacco-Control Programs Save Money,
http://tobaccofreekids.org/research/factsheets/pdf/0168.pdf. For additional related information, see
http://www.tobaccofreekids.org/facts_issues/fact_sheets/policies/prevention_us_state/save_lives_money/.

                                                              Campaign for Tobacco-Free Kids, January 2, 2013

                             1400 I Street NW · Suite 1200 · Washington, DC 20005
                      Phone (202) 296-5469 · Fax (202) 296-5427 · www.tobaccofreekids.org

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Ctfk maine percent decline benefits 1 3-13

  • 1. BENEFITS & SAVINGS FROM EACH ONE PERCENTAGE POINT DECLINE IN MAINE SMOKING RATES The following estimates show the benefits and savings that are obtained in Maine for each one percentage point decline in adult and youth smoking rates in the state (e.g., from new state investments in tobacco prevention or increased state tobacco tax rates). These estimates can also be switched around to show what harms and costs Maine would suffer from each one percentage point increase to its smoking rates or from each one percentage point reduction the State fails to obtain (e.g., because it fails to sustain adequate state tobacco prevention funding or lets its tobacco tax rates erode over time). Fewer Smokers Fewer current adult smokers: 10,500 Fewer current pregnant smokers: 130 Fewer current high school smokers: 690 Maine kids alive today who will not become addicted adult smokers: 2,600 Public Health Benefits Today’s adults saved from dying prematurely from smoking: 2,500 Today’s high school smokers saved from dying prematurely from smoking: 200 Maine kids alive today who will not die prematurely from smoking: 900 First Year Over 5 Years Fewer smoking-affected births: 130 650 Fewer smoking-caused heart attacks: 6 78 Fewer smoking-caused strokes: 4 42 [The number of heart attacks and strokes prevented each year by a one-time decline in adult smoking rates of one percentage point starts out small but grows sharply until it peaks and stabilizes after about ten years.] Monetary Benefits (Reduced Public, Private, and Individual Smoking-Caused Costs) First Year Over 5 Years Savings from smoking-affected birth reductions $0.2 million $1.1 million Savings from heart attack & stroke reductions $0.4 million $5.6 million [Annual savings from fewer smoking-caused heart attacks and strokes grows substantially each year as more and more are prevented by the initial one percentage point smoking decline. Savings from prevented smoking-caused cancer are even larger, but do not begin to accrue until several years after the initial smoking decline.] Reduction to future health costs from adult smoking declines: $99.8 million Reduction to future health costs from youth smoking declines: $45.5 million [These savings accrue over the lifetimes of the adults who quit and the youth who do not become adult smokers. Roughly 28.4% of smoking-caused healthcare expenditures in Maine are paid by its Medicaid program.] At the same time that they reduce public and private smoking-caused costs, state smoking declines also increase public and private sector worker productivity and strengthen the state’s economy. For sources and more detail, see the TFK factsheet Comprehensive State Tobacco-Control Programs Save Money, http://tobaccofreekids.org/research/factsheets/pdf/0168.pdf. For additional related information, see http://www.tobaccofreekids.org/facts_issues/fact_sheets/policies/prevention_us_state/save_lives_money/. Campaign for Tobacco-Free Kids, January 2, 2013 1400 I Street NW · Suite 1200 · Washington, DC 20005 Phone (202) 296-5469 · Fax (202) 296-5427 · www.tobaccofreekids.org