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Help! Six types of degrowth

                  Jeroen van den Bergh

                         ICREA, Barcelona
                                 &
                Universitat Aut嘆noma de Barcelona
                                 &
                     VU University Amsterdam




       Interpretations of degrowth

   1. GDP degrowth
   2. Consumption degrowth
   3. Work-time degrowth
   4. Radical degrowth
   5. Physical degrowth
   6. GDP fetishism degrowth (GDP agrowth)




    1. GDP degrowth
 Most logical, immediate interpretation to outsiders.
  Useful because consistent with use of term (economic)
  growth by media, economists & politicans

 But blunt instrument of environmental policy
 Dirty degrowth? Smaller not necessarily more beautiful
 Emphasis on size, neglect of composition: shift
  from dirty to clean inputs & outputs

 Moreover reversal of causality: effective environmental
  regulation will change composition, and will affect GDP
  growth  possibly degrowth.




                                                            1
2. Consumption degrowth

 In quantity not value terms
 Hoped to cause sustainable resource use & pollution

 Ineffective and inefficient way to reach
  environmental sustainability: underrates shift from
  dirty to clean consumption (again composition neglected)

 Two approaches to realize consumption degrowth:
   (voluntary) frugality  likely to reach the masses?
   equal individual quota  politically feasible?




    3. Work-time degrowth

 Increased labor productivity has been mainly used to
  consume more rather than to work less

 Working less means less production & lower wages,
  so less consumption, but also less work stress and
  more happiness due to more leisure and time for
  family and friends, certainly beyond a threshold
  income (finding of happiness research)

 Less work-time is concrete, one-dimensional aim
  unlike less consumption (multidimensional)

 Less working/income limits consumption rebound




    4. Degrowth as radical change of
    the economy
 Ethics, values, finance, markets, work/jobs, money,
  or even profit-making & ownership
   Escaping from the [capitalist] economy (Fournier 2008)

 Grand ideas without thorough supporting analysis
   No systemic solutions/instrumentation, unclear how to
    upscale from niche to society
   Humanistic left-wing ideology attractive: equality,
    solidarity, citizenship, locality, good life

 Convergence to new system much time & unsure
  to meet environmental aim (no ecological imperative)

 Notably climate change demands urgent, simpler
  strategy: hard environmental constraints to which
  economy will adapt




                                                               2
5. Physical degrowth
 Isnt this trivial? Dont we all want this?
 But be careful:
    Environmentally/resource relevant physical dimensions
    Entropy argument (G-R) often simplistically used

 Old wine in new bottles: sustainable development,
   environmental regulation, H. Dalys minimal throughput.

 Does labelling these old ideas as degrowth deliver
   any new insights about environmental policy?

 Some assume physical degrowth = GDP degrowth
   But past (weak env. regulation) doesnt reflect future




    Intermediate conclusion
 Degrowth types 1, 2 and 4 not very convincing,
   while 5 isnt new. Type 3 makes most sense

 Better worry about effective environmental policies
   and getting democratic-political support for these

 Whether such policies will then give rise to GDP
   growth or degrowth should be irrelevant, as GDP
   (per capita) is not a good proxy of social welfare

 I agree though with Hueting: effective
   environmental regulation is likely to result in GDP
   degrowth. But dont reverse the causality (as in
   degrowth type 1)




6. Degrowth as opposing growth fetishism

  GDP fundamental problem, not growth
     GDP growth good in some periods / countries
     but growth not generally necessary or sufficient for
      progress
     degrowth not necessary or sufficient for sustainability
     also dirty degrowth possible

  Goal of unconditional GDP growth is a constraint
   on our search for progress  frustrates good policies
   (climate, labour, health, public utilities).
     neoliberal ideology/tyranny of growth (Fournier 2008), GDP fetishism
      (Stiglitz 2009)


  But dont fall in the trap of replacing this by GDP
   degrowth fetishism (i.e. degrowth type 1)




                                                                                 3
The GDP paradox
 Not useful to spend more time on criticizing
  growth or GDP: has proven to be an ineffective
  strategy (Galbraith, Mishan, Hueting, Nordhaus/Tobin,
  Hirsch, Scitovsky, Daly, etc.)


 Better try to understand the reasons for
  persistent support of the GDP indicator:

  Despite all theoretical and empirical criticism of
  GDP (per capita) as a social welfare and progress
  indicator, its role in economics, public policy,
  politics and society remains influential




  Explanation of the paradox

 Many academic economists accept the criticism of
    the GDP indicator but im/explicitly deny its
    relevance

 This denial comes in two forms.
   1. a belief that the impact of GDP information on economic
      reality is modest
   2. a belief that despite its shortcomings, GDP still provides
      useful information




       My proposal

 Without GDP no measurement of growth =>
 GDP growth irrelevant - not against & not in
 favour but indifferent or neutral

 Degrowth (esp. type 1) gives too much credit
 to GDP. Agrowth as in atheism more
 precise (Latouche 2010)

 Combine degrowth of types 5 & 6: reduce
 physical throughput (Daly) & ignore GDP
 information => Relax about (de)growth




                                                                   4
More info
 J.C.J.M. van den Bergh (2009). The GDP
  Paradox. Journal of Economic Psychology 30(2):
  117135.

 J.C.J.M. van den Bergh (2010). Relax about GDP
  Growth: Implications for climate and crisis
  policies. Journal of Cleaner Production, 18(6):
  540-543.

 J.C.J.M. van den Bergh (2010). Six types of
  degrowth and a plea for agrowth. Mimeo.




                                                    5

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Help! Six types of degrowth

  • 1. Help! Six types of degrowth Jeroen van den Bergh ICREA, Barcelona & Universitat Aut嘆noma de Barcelona & VU University Amsterdam Interpretations of degrowth 1. GDP degrowth 2. Consumption degrowth 3. Work-time degrowth 4. Radical degrowth 5. Physical degrowth 6. GDP fetishism degrowth (GDP agrowth) 1. GDP degrowth Most logical, immediate interpretation to outsiders. Useful because consistent with use of term (economic) growth by media, economists & politicans But blunt instrument of environmental policy Dirty degrowth? Smaller not necessarily more beautiful Emphasis on size, neglect of composition: shift from dirty to clean inputs & outputs Moreover reversal of causality: effective environmental regulation will change composition, and will affect GDP growth possibly degrowth. 1
  • 2. 2. Consumption degrowth In quantity not value terms Hoped to cause sustainable resource use & pollution Ineffective and inefficient way to reach environmental sustainability: underrates shift from dirty to clean consumption (again composition neglected) Two approaches to realize consumption degrowth: (voluntary) frugality likely to reach the masses? equal individual quota politically feasible? 3. Work-time degrowth Increased labor productivity has been mainly used to consume more rather than to work less Working less means less production & lower wages, so less consumption, but also less work stress and more happiness due to more leisure and time for family and friends, certainly beyond a threshold income (finding of happiness research) Less work-time is concrete, one-dimensional aim unlike less consumption (multidimensional) Less working/income limits consumption rebound 4. Degrowth as radical change of the economy Ethics, values, finance, markets, work/jobs, money, or even profit-making & ownership Escaping from the [capitalist] economy (Fournier 2008) Grand ideas without thorough supporting analysis No systemic solutions/instrumentation, unclear how to upscale from niche to society Humanistic left-wing ideology attractive: equality, solidarity, citizenship, locality, good life Convergence to new system much time & unsure to meet environmental aim (no ecological imperative) Notably climate change demands urgent, simpler strategy: hard environmental constraints to which economy will adapt 2
  • 3. 5. Physical degrowth Isnt this trivial? Dont we all want this? But be careful: Environmentally/resource relevant physical dimensions Entropy argument (G-R) often simplistically used Old wine in new bottles: sustainable development, environmental regulation, H. Dalys minimal throughput. Does labelling these old ideas as degrowth deliver any new insights about environmental policy? Some assume physical degrowth = GDP degrowth But past (weak env. regulation) doesnt reflect future Intermediate conclusion Degrowth types 1, 2 and 4 not very convincing, while 5 isnt new. Type 3 makes most sense Better worry about effective environmental policies and getting democratic-political support for these Whether such policies will then give rise to GDP growth or degrowth should be irrelevant, as GDP (per capita) is not a good proxy of social welfare I agree though with Hueting: effective environmental regulation is likely to result in GDP degrowth. But dont reverse the causality (as in degrowth type 1) 6. Degrowth as opposing growth fetishism GDP fundamental problem, not growth GDP growth good in some periods / countries but growth not generally necessary or sufficient for progress degrowth not necessary or sufficient for sustainability also dirty degrowth possible Goal of unconditional GDP growth is a constraint on our search for progress frustrates good policies (climate, labour, health, public utilities). neoliberal ideology/tyranny of growth (Fournier 2008), GDP fetishism (Stiglitz 2009) But dont fall in the trap of replacing this by GDP degrowth fetishism (i.e. degrowth type 1) 3
  • 4. The GDP paradox Not useful to spend more time on criticizing growth or GDP: has proven to be an ineffective strategy (Galbraith, Mishan, Hueting, Nordhaus/Tobin, Hirsch, Scitovsky, Daly, etc.) Better try to understand the reasons for persistent support of the GDP indicator: Despite all theoretical and empirical criticism of GDP (per capita) as a social welfare and progress indicator, its role in economics, public policy, politics and society remains influential Explanation of the paradox Many academic economists accept the criticism of the GDP indicator but im/explicitly deny its relevance This denial comes in two forms. 1. a belief that the impact of GDP information on economic reality is modest 2. a belief that despite its shortcomings, GDP still provides useful information My proposal Without GDP no measurement of growth => GDP growth irrelevant - not against & not in favour but indifferent or neutral Degrowth (esp. type 1) gives too much credit to GDP. Agrowth as in atheism more precise (Latouche 2010) Combine degrowth of types 5 & 6: reduce physical throughput (Daly) & ignore GDP information => Relax about (de)growth 4
  • 5. More info J.C.J.M. van den Bergh (2009). The GDP Paradox. Journal of Economic Psychology 30(2): 117135. J.C.J.M. van den Bergh (2010). Relax about GDP Growth: Implications for climate and crisis policies. Journal of Cleaner Production, 18(6): 540-543. J.C.J.M. van den Bergh (2010). Six types of degrowth and a plea for agrowth. Mimeo. 5